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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 17
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
705 PM CDT THU APR 2 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL MISSOURI
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 705 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF WEST PLAINS
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
DISCUSSION...RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY WITH
SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY EVOLVE WITH A RISK FOR VERY LARGE
HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES. A TRANSITION TO BOWING LINE SEGMENTS
MIXED WITH SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY OCCUR TONIGHT WITH A CONTINUED
RISK FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND CORRIDORS OF WIND DAMAGE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 17 TORNADO AR KS MO OK 030005Z - 030700Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
65WNW BVO/BARTLESVILLE OK/ - 40NE UNO/WEST PLAINS MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /44SSE ICT - 62WSW FAM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 37919711 37959136 36369136 36339711
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 17 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 17
VALID 030550Z - 030640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE GMJ TO
15 SW UMN TO 30 E SGF TO 15 SSE VIH.
..PETERS..04/03/15
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-049-089-030640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL FULTON MARION
$$
MOC009-043-065-067-091-149-153-161-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-
030640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DENT
DOUGLAS HOWELL OREGON
OZARK PHELPS PULASKI
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 17
VALID 030435Z - 030540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW GMJ
TO 15 NW GMJ TO 10 ENE UMN TO 10 WSW VIH.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 193
..GLEASON..04/03/15
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-049-089-030540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL FULTON MARION
$$
MOC009-043-065-067-091-105-119-145-149-153-161-169-203-209-213-
215-225-229-030540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DENT
DOUGLAS HOWELL LACLEDE
MCDONALD NEWTON OREGON
OZARK PHELPS PULASKI
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC041-115-030540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE OTTAWA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 17
VALID 030335Z - 030440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE TUL
TO 30 E BVO TO 20 NNW TBN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 193
..CORFIDI..04/03/15
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-049-089-030440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL FULTON MARION
$$
MOC009-043-057-059-065-067-077-091-097-105-109-119-145-149-153-
161-167-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-030440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HOWELL JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
NEWTON OREGON OZARK
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC035-041-097-115-030440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES
OTTAWA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 17
VALID 030235Z - 030340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N CQB TO
15 NNE BVO TO 55 WNW TBN.
..GLEASON..04/03/15
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-049-089-030340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL FULTON MARION
$$
KSC021-099-125-030340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE LABETTE MONTGOMERY
$$
MOC009-011-039-043-057-059-065-067-077-091-097-105-109-119-145-
149-153-161-167-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-030340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON CEDAR
CHRISTIAN DADE DALLAS
DENT DOUGLAS GREENE
HOWELL JASPER LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PHELPS
POLK PULASKI SHANNON
STONE TANEY TEXAS
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC035-041-097-105-113-115-117-131-147-030340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES
NOWATA OSAGE OTTAWA
PAWNEE ROGERS WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 17
VALID 030140Z - 030240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..04/03/15
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-049-089-030240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL FULTON MARION
$$
KSC001-011-015-019-021-035-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-
030240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON BUTLER
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COWLEY
CRAWFORD ELK GREENWOOD
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-039-043-057-059-065-067-077-091-097-105-109-119-145-
149-153-161-167-169-203-209-213-215-217-225-229-030240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON CEDAR
CHRISTIAN DADE DALLAS
DENT DOUGLAS GREENE
HOWELL JASPER LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PHELPS
POLK PULASKI SHANNON
STONE TANEY TEXAS
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC035-041-071-097-105-113-115-117-131-147-030240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE KAY
MAYES NOWATA OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE ROGERS
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 17
VALID 030040Z - 030140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..04/03/15
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-049-089-030140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL FULTON MARION
$$
KSC001-011-015-019-021-035-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-
030140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON BUTLER
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COWLEY
CRAWFORD ELK GREENWOOD
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-039-043-057-059-065-067-077-091-097-105-109-119-145-
149-153-161-167-169-203-209-213-215-217-225-229-030140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON CEDAR
CHRISTIAN DADE DALLAS
DENT DOUGLAS GREENE
HOWELL JASPER LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PHELPS
POLK PULASKI SHANNON
STONE TANEY TEXAS
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC035-041-071-097-105-113-115-117-131-147-030140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE KAY
MAYES NOWATA OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE ROGERS
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.