Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 3
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
700 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
GADSDEN ALABAMA TO 210 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING ALONG SURFACE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN MS INTO NORTHEAST AL. WEAK
THERMODYNAMICS WILL LIKELY LIMIT INITIATION AHEAD OF FRONT.
HOWEVER...STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES INDICATE A RISK OF
SUPERCELLS/BOW STRUCTURES WITH STORMS ALONG BOUNDARY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES APPEAR
TO BE THE MAIN THREATS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HART
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 3
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
700 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
GADSDEN ALABAMA TO 210 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING ALONG SURFACE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN MS INTO NORTHEAST AL. WEAK
THERMODYNAMICS WILL LIKELY LIMIT INITIATION AHEAD OF FRONT.
HOWEVER...STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES INDICATE A RISK OF
SUPERCELLS/BOW STRUCTURES WITH STORMS ALONG BOUNDARY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES APPEAR
TO BE THE MAIN THREATS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 3 TORNADO AL MS 062005Z - 070100Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35ENE GAD/GADSDEN AL/ - 210SW BHM/BIRMINGHAM AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /51SSW GQO - 51E MCB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 33438551 30678926 32118926 34888551
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 3 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 3
VALID 070030Z - 070100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW GPT
TO 30 ENE ANB.
WW 3 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 070100Z. A MARGINAL THREAT FOR
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND OR AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY PERSIST EAST OF
WW 3. HOWEVER...THE LIMITING FACTOR IMPOSED BY THE WEAK
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT SUGGEST ANY ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER
WILL REMAIN VERY ISOLATED AND CONDITIONAL IN NATURE. AREA WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...AND UNLESS STORMS BEGIN TO
REINTENSIFY...ANOTHER WW WILL PROBABLY NOT BE NEEDED.
..DIAL..01/07/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...HUN...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-025-027-029-097-099-111-129-131-070100-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN CLARKE CLAY
CLEBURNE MOBILE MONROE
RANDOLPH WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
MSC039-041-131-070100-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE STONE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 3
VALID 062345Z - 070040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW GPT
TO 35 NE ANB.
..DIAL..01/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...HUN...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-021-025-027-029-047-097-099-111-129-131-070040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN CHILTON CLARKE
CLAY CLEBURNE DALLAS
MOBILE MONROE RANDOLPH
WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
MSC039-041-131-070040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE STONE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 3
VALID 062300Z - 070040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S PIB TO
30 W SEM TO 15 SE GAD TO 25 SW RMG.
..DIAL..01/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...HUN...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC015-021-025-027-029-047-111-121-129-131-070040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CHILTON CLARKE
CLAY CLEBURNE DALLAS
RANDOLPH TALLADEGA WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
MSC035-039-041-111-131-070040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FORREST GEORGE GREENE
PERRY STONE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 3
VALID 062145Z - 062240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE PIB
TO 15 SW GAD TO 25 NW RMG.
..GOSS..01/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...HUN...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-015-019-021-023-025-047-055-065-091-105-115-117-121-129-
131-062240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB CALHOUN CHEROKEE
CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE
DALLAS ETOWAH HALE
MARENGO PERRY ST. CLAIR
SHELBY TALLADEGA WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
MSC035-039-041-073-111-131-153-062240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FORREST GEORGE GREENE
LAMAR PERRY STONE
WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.