SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 3
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   520 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHWESTERN THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS
          BOOT-HEEL OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 520 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
   TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
   HOT SPRINGS ARKANSAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF WALNUT RIDGE
   ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   DISCUSSION...GRADUAL INCREASE IN SVR THREAT AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
   TORNADOES IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FEW HOURS AS FRONTAL-WAVE LOW
   MOVES NEWD ALONG SW-NE ALIGNED BOUNDARY...IN ENVIRONMENT
   CHARACTERIZED BY
   1. STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH 55-65 KT LLJ AND
   2. AT LEAST MRGL BUOYANCY WITH WARM-SECTOR MLCAPE 250-750
   K/KG...BASED ON MODIFIED MSU MOBILE SOUNDING PROVIDED VIA WFO MEG.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
   
   
   ...EDWARDS

   SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 3
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   520 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHWESTERN THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS
          BOOT-HEEL OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 520 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST.
   
   SEVERAL TORNADOES
   ISOLATED INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
   HOT SPRINGS ARKANSAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF WALNUT RIDGE
   ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   DISCUSSION...GRADUAL INCREASE IN SVR THREAT AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
   TORNADOES IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FEW HOURS AS FRONTAL-WAVE LOW
   MOVES NEWD ALONG SW-NE ALIGNED BOUNDARY...IN ENVIRONMENT
   CHARACTERIZED BY
   1. STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH 55-65 KT LLJ AND
   2. AT LEAST MRGL BUOYANCY WITH WARM-SECTOR MLCAPE 250-750
   K/KG...BASED ON MODIFIED MSU MOBILE SOUNDING PROVIDED VIA WFO MEG.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
   
   
   ...EDWARDS

   SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 3
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   520 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHWESTERN THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS
          BOOT-HEEL OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 520 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
   TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
   HOT SPRINGS ARKANSAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF WALNUT RIDGE
   ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   DISCUSSION...GRADUAL INCREASE IN SVR THREAT AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
   TORNADOES IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FEW HOURS AS FRONTAL-WAVE LOW
   MOVES NEWD ALONG SW-NE ALIGNED BOUNDARY...IN ENVIRONMENT
   CHARACTERIZED BY
   1. STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH 55-65 KT LLJ AND
   2. AT LEAST MRGL BUOYANCY WITH WARM-SECTOR MLCAPE 250-750
   K/KG...BASED ON MODIFIED MSU MOBILE SOUNDING PROVIDED VIA WFO MEG.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
   
   
   ...EDWARDS

   WOUS64 KWNS 122317
   WOU3
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 3
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   520 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013
   
   TORNADO WATCH 3 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CST FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   ARC001-011-013-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-037-039-045-051-053-
   055-057-059-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-079-081-085-091-093-095-
   097-099-103-105-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-135-
   137-139-141-145-147-149-130600-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0003.130112T2320Z-130113T0600Z/
   
   AR 
   .    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ARKANSAS             BRADLEY             CALHOUN             
   CLARK                CLAY                CLEBURNE            
   CLEVELAND            COLUMBIA            CONWAY              
   CRAIGHEAD            CROSS               DALLAS              
   FAULKNER             GARLAND             GRANT               
   GREENE               HEMPSTEAD           HOT SPRING          
   HOWARD               INDEPENDENCE        IZARD               
   JACKSON              JEFFERSON           LAFAYETTE           
   LAWRENCE             LINCOLN             LITTLE RIVER        
   LONOKE               MILLER              MISSISSIPPI         
   MONROE               MONTGOMERY          NEVADA              
   OUACHITA             PERRY               PIKE                
   POINSETT             POLK                POPE                
   PRAIRIE              PULASKI             RANDOLPH            
   SALINE               SCOTT               SEVIER              
   SHARP                ST. FRANCIS         STONE               
   UNION                VAN BUREN           WHITE               
   WOODRUFF             YELL                
   
   
   MOC069-155-130600-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0003.130112T2320Z-130113T0600Z/
   
   MO 
   .    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   DUNKLIN              PEMISCOT            
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...
   
   
   

   SAW3 
   WW 3 TORNADO AR MO 122320Z - 130600Z
   AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   70SSW HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/ - 20NNE ARG/WALNUT RIDGE AR/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /25E TXK - 19NNE ARG/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
   
   LAT...LON 33529477 36389205 36388952 33529234
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU3.
   

Watch 3 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 3

VALID 130350Z - 130440Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE GGG TO
30 ENE TXK TO 10 SE HOT TO 20 NNW LIT TO 10 ESE BVX TO 20 ESE POF.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 20

..JEWELL..01/13/13

ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC001-011-013-019-021-025-027-031-037-039-045-053-055-057-059-
067-069-073-079-085-091-093-095-099-103-111-117-119-123-125-139-
145-147-130440-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARKANSAS	     BRADLEY		 CALHOUN	     
CLARK		     CLAY		 CLEVELAND	     
COLUMBIA	     CRAIGHEAD		 CROSS		     
DALLAS		     FAULKNER		 GRANT		     
GREENE		     HEMPSTEAD		 HOT SPRING	     
JACKSON 	     JEFFERSON		 LAFAYETTE	     
LINCOLN 	     LONOKE		 MILLER 	     
MISSISSIPPI	     MONROE		 NEVADA 	     
OUACHITA	     POINSETT		 PRAIRIE	     
PULASKI 	     ST. FRANCIS	 SALINE 	     
UNION		     WHITE		 WOODRUFF	     
$$


MOC069-155-130440-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DUNKLIN 	     PEMISCOT		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 3

VALID 130215Z - 130340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW TXK
TO 25 ESE DEQ TO 25 W HOT TO 20 SSE RUE TO 20 WSW BVX TO 20 WNW
ARG TO 5 WNW POF.

..JEWELL..01/13/13

ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC001-011-013-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-037-039-045-051-053-
055-057-059-061-063-067-069-073-075-079-081-085-091-093-095-097-
099-103-105-109-111-117-119-121-123-125-139-145-147-130340-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARKANSAS	     BRADLEY		 CALHOUN	     
CLARK		     CLAY		 CLEBURNE	     
CLEVELAND	     COLUMBIA		 CONWAY 	     
CRAIGHEAD	     CROSS		 DALLAS 	     
FAULKNER	     GARLAND		 GRANT		     
GREENE		     HEMPSTEAD		 HOT SPRING	     
HOWARD		     INDEPENDENCE	 JACKSON	     
JEFFERSON	     LAFAYETTE		 LAWRENCE	     
LINCOLN 	     LITTLE RIVER	 LONOKE 	     
MILLER		     MISSISSIPPI	 MONROE 	     
MONTGOMERY	     NEVADA		 OUACHITA	     
PERRY		     PIKE		 POINSETT	     
PRAIRIE 	     PULASKI		 RANDOLPH	     
ST. FRANCIS	     SALINE		 UNION		     
WHITE		     WOODRUFF		 
$$


MOC069-155-130340-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DUNKLIN 	     PEMISCOT		 
$$


TXC037-130340-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOWIE		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 3

VALID 130110Z - 130240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE PRX
TO 40 NE DEQ TO 5 WSW RUE TO 25 SSE FLP TO 35 ESE UNO.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 18

..JEWELL..01/13/13

ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC001-011-013-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-037-039-045-051-053-
055-057-059-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-079-081-085-091-093-095-
097-099-103-105-109-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-133-135-137-139-
141-145-147-149-130240-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARKANSAS	     BRADLEY		 CALHOUN	     
CLARK		     CLAY		 CLEBURNE	     
CLEVELAND	     COLUMBIA		 CONWAY 	     
CRAIGHEAD	     CROSS		 DALLAS 	     
FAULKNER	     GARLAND		 GRANT		     
GREENE		     HEMPSTEAD		 HOT SPRING	     
HOWARD		     INDEPENDENCE	 IZARD		     
JACKSON 	     JEFFERSON		 LAFAYETTE	     
LAWRENCE	     LINCOLN		 LITTLE RIVER	     
LONOKE		     MILLER		 MISSISSIPPI	     
MONROE		     MONTGOMERY 	 NEVADA 	     
OUACHITA	     PERRY		 PIKE		     
POINSETT	     POPE		 PRAIRIE	     
PULASKI 	     RANDOLPH		 ST. FRANCIS	     
SALINE		     SEVIER		 SHARP		     
STONE		     UNION		 VAN BUREN	     
WHITE		     WOODRUFF		 YELL		     
$$


MOC069-155-130240-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DUNKLIN 	     PEMISCOT		 
$$


TXC037-130240-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOWIE		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.