Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 3
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
455 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ALABAMA
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GEORGIA
EASTERN MISSISSIPPI
FAR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHERN MIDDLE AND EAST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING FROM 455 AM UNTIL NOON CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
ATHENS GEORGIA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 2...
DISCUSSION...BAND OF WSW-ENE COLD FRONT TSTMS NOW IN NRN MS/NRN
AL/MIDDLE TN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ESEWD...WITH EMBEDDED SUSTAINED
STORMS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS POSING A RISK FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND
PERHAPS A QLCS TORNADO. FARTHER S...MORE WDLY SCTD STORMS/POSSIBLE
SUPERCELLS MAY ARISE FROM PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE BANDS NOW EXTENDING
FROM NEAR JAN ENE TO MCN/ATL. THESE MAY POSE A RISK FOR
TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY IN ERN AL AND GA WHERE LOW-LVL SRH SHOULD BE
GREATEST NEAR RESIDUAL WEDGE BOUNDARY/WARM FRONT. COMBINATION OF
MODEST DAYTIME HEATING AND INCREASING DPVA WITH APPROACH OF AR UPR
TROUGH MAY YIELD AN INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE AND STRENGTH
THROUGHOUT WW OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 3 TORNADO AL GA MS NC TN 211055Z - 211800Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
20NNE AHN/ATHENS GA/ - 30S CBM/COLUMBUS MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM EITHER SIDE /29S ODF - 17SSE IGB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 33088293 32068819 34338872 35348347
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 3 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 3
VALID 211645Z - 211740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE MEI TO
30 WSW AND.
..SPC..01/21/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-017-021-027-029-037-047-051-063-065-081-087-091-105-
111-113-117-119-121-123-211740-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB CHAMBERS
CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE
COOSA DALLAS ELMORE
GREENE HALE LEE
MACON MARENGO PERRY
RANDOLPH RUSSELL SHELBY
SUMTER TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA
$$
GAC009-011-013-021-035-045-053-059-063-067-077-079-089-097-113-
117-121-125-133-135-139-141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-169-
171-193-195-197-199-207-211-215-217-219-221-223-225-231-237-247-
249-255-263-265-269-285-289-293-297-301-303-317-319-211740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BIBB BUTTS CARROLL
CHATTAHOOCHEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA CRAWFORD
DEKALB DOUGLAS FAYETTE
FORSYTH FULTON GLASCOCK
GREENE GWINNETT HALL
HANCOCK HARALSON HARRIS
HEARD HENRY HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
JONES LAMAR MACON
MADISON MARION MERIWETHER
MONROE MORGAN MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING PEACH PIKE
PUTNAM ROCKDALE SCHLEY
SPALDING TALBOT TALIAFERRO
TAYLOR TROUP TWIGGS
UPSON WALTON WARREN
WASHINGTON WILKES WILKINSON
$$
MSC069-211740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KEMPER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 3
VALID 211530Z - 211640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S CBM TO
50 NW AND.
..SPC..01/21/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-015-017-019-021-027-029-037-047-051-063-065-073-081-
087-091-105-107-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-211640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB CALHOUN
CHAMBERS CHEROKEE CHILTON
CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA
DALLAS ELMORE GREENE
HALE JEFFERSON LEE
MACON MARENGO PERRY
PICKENS RANDOLPH RUSSELL
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA
$$
GAC009-011-013-015-021-035-045-053-057-059-063-067-077-079-085-
089-097-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-129-133-135-139-141-143-145-
149-151-153-157-159-163-169-171-187-193-195-197-199-207-211-215-
217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233-237-247-249-255-263-265-269-281-
285-289-291-293-297-301-303-311-317-319-211640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BUTTS
CARROLL CHATTAHOOCHEE CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAYTON COBB
COWETA CRAWFORD DAWSON
DEKALB DOUGLAS FANNIN
FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH
FULTON GILMER GLASCOCK
GORDON GREENE GWINNETT
HALL HANCOCK HARALSON
HARRIS HEARD HENRY
HOUSTON JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON JONES LAMAR
LUMPKIN MACON MADISON
MARION MERIWETHER MONROE
MORGAN MUSCOGEE NEWTON
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PAULDING
PEACH PICKENS PIKE
POLK PUTNAM ROCKDALE
SCHLEY SPALDING TALBOT
TALIAFERRO TAYLOR TOWNS
TROUP TWIGGS UNION
UPSON WALTON WARREN
WASHINGTON WHITE WILKES
WILKINSON
$$
MSC069-103-211640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KEMPER NOXUBEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 3
VALID 211322Z - 211440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W CBM TO
40 ENE CBM TO 45 SSE MSL TO 15 SSE HSV TO 45 WNW RMG TO 5 NW CHA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 41.
..EDWARDS..01/21/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-015-017-019-021-027-029-037-043-047-049-051-055-
057-063-065-071-073-075-081-087-091-095-103-105-107-111-113-115-
117-119-121-123-125-127-133-211440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE
CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE
COOSA CULLMAN DALLAS
DEKALB ELMORE ETOWAH
FAYETTE GREENE HALE
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR
LEE MACON MARENGO
MARSHALL MORGAN PERRY
PICKENS RANDOLPH RUSSELL
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
GAC009-011-013-015-021-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-077-
079-083-085-089-097-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-129-133-135-139-
141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-169-171-187-193-195-197-199-
207-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233-237-247-249-255-
263-265-269-281-285-289-291-293-295-297-301-303-311-313-317-319-
211440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BUTTS
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTAHOOCHEE
CHATTOOGA CHEROKEE CLARKE
CLAYTON COBB COWETA
CRAWFORD DADE DAWSON
DEKALB DOUGLAS FANNIN
FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH
FULTON GILMER GLASCOCK
GORDON GREENE GWINNETT
HALL HANCOCK HARALSON
HARRIS HEARD HENRY
HOUSTON JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON JONES LAMAR
LUMPKIN MACON MADISON
MARION MERIWETHER MONROE
MORGAN MURRAY MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING PEACH PICKENS
PIKE POLK PUTNAM
ROCKDALE SCHLEY SPALDING
TALBOT TALIAFERRO TAYLOR
TOWNS TROUP TWIGGS
UNION UPSON WALKER
WALTON WARREN WASHINGTON
WHITE WHITFIELD WILKES
WILKINSON
$$
MSC025-069-087-103-105-159-211440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY KEMPER LOWNDES
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA WINSTON
$$
NCC039-043-211440-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
TNC011-123-139-211440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY MONROE POLK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 3
VALID 211237Z - 211340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW CBM TO
30 SW HSV TO 35 W CHA.
..EDWARDS..01/21/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-015-017-019-021-027-029-037-043-047-049-051-055-
057-063-065-071-073-075-079-081-087-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-
111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-211340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE
CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE
COOSA CULLMAN DALLAS
DEKALB ELMORE ETOWAH
FAYETTE GREENE HALE
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR
LAWRENCE LEE MACON
MADISON MARENGO MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN PERRY
PICKENS RANDOLPH RUSSELL
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
GAC009-011-013-015-021-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-077-
079-083-085-089-097-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-129-133-135-139-
141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-169-171-187-193-195-197-199-
207-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233-237-247-249-255-
263-265-269-281-285-289-291-293-295-297-301-303-311-313-317-319-
211340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BUTTS
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTAHOOCHEE
CHATTOOGA CHEROKEE CLARKE
CLAYTON COBB COWETA
CRAWFORD DADE DAWSON
DEKALB DOUGLAS FANNIN
FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH
FULTON GILMER GLASCOCK
GORDON GREENE GWINNETT
HALL HANCOCK HARALSON
HARRIS HEARD HENRY
HOUSTON JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON JONES LAMAR
LUMPKIN MACON MADISON
MARION MERIWETHER MONROE
MORGAN MURRAY MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING PEACH PICKENS
PIKE POLK PUTNAM
ROCKDALE SCHLEY SPALDING
TALBOT TALIAFERRO TAYLOR
TOWNS TROUP TWIGGS
UNION UPSON WALKER
WALTON WARREN WASHINGTON
WHITE WHITFIELD WILKES
WILKINSON
$$
MSC019-025-069-087-103-105-155-159-211340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW CLAY KEMPER
LOWNDES NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
WEBSTER WINSTON
$$
NCC039-043-211340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
TNC011-065-107-115-121-123-139-153-211340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY HAMILTON MCMINN
MARION MEIGS MONROE
POLK SEQUATCHIE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 3
VALID 211140Z - 211240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..01/21/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-015-017-019-021-027-029-037-043-047-049-051-055-
057-059-063-065-071-073-075-079-081-083-087-089-091-093-095-103-
105-107-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-211240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE
CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE
COOSA CULLMAN DALLAS
DEKALB ELMORE ETOWAH
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAMAR LAWRENCE LEE
LIMESTONE MACON MADISON
MARENGO MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PERRY PICKENS
RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR
SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA
TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WALKER
WINSTON
$$
GAC009-011-013-015-021-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-077-
079-083-085-089-097-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-129-133-135-139-
141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-169-171-187-193-195-197-199-
207-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233-237-247-249-255-
263-265-269-281-285-289-291-293-295-297-301-303-311-313-317-319-
211240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BUTTS
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTAHOOCHEE
CHATTOOGA CHEROKEE CLARKE
CLAYTON COBB COWETA
CRAWFORD DADE DAWSON
DEKALB DOUGLAS FANNIN
FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH
FULTON GILMER GLASCOCK
GORDON GREENE GWINNETT
HALL HANCOCK HARALSON
HARRIS HEARD HENRY
HOUSTON JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON JONES LAMAR
LUMPKIN MACON MADISON
MARION MERIWETHER MONROE
MORGAN MURRAY MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING PEACH PICKENS
PIKE POLK PUTNAM
ROCKDALE SCHLEY SPALDING
TALBOT TALIAFERRO TAYLOR
TOWNS TROUP TWIGGS
UNION UPSON WALKER
WALTON WARREN WASHINGTON
WHITE WHITFIELD WILKES
WILKINSON
$$
MSC019-025-069-087-103-105-155-159-211240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW CLAY KEMPER
LOWNDES NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
WEBSTER WINSTON
$$
NCC039-043-211240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
TNC011-051-065-103-107-115-121-123-127-139-153-211240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY FRANKLIN HAMILTON
LINCOLN MCMINN MARION
MEIGS MONROE MOORE
POLK SEQUATCHIE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.