Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 4
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN GEORGIA
PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
PARTS OF WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 540 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
ROME GEORGIA TO 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF GREENVILLE SOUTH CAROLINA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 3...
DISCUSSION...SURFACE LOW ON FRONT NWRN GA ENHANCING SHEAR WITH
RAPIDLY MOVING SUPERCELLS DEVELOPING ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.
ALTHOUGH AIR MASS ONLY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE...SHEAR AND HIGH PW/S
SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS/SUPERCELLS AND THREAT OF TORNADOES AS
SYSTEM CONTINUES EWD.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 4 TORNADO GA NC SC 062240Z - 070400Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50SSW RMG/ROME GA/ - 5NE GSP/GREENVILLE SC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /41NNW LGC - 12WSW SPA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 34338550 35598216 34298216 33028550
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 4 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 4
VALID 062345Z - 070040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW RMG
TO 60 S TYS.
..DIAL..01/06/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC011-013-015-045-057-059-063-067-077-085-089-097-105-111-113-
117-119-121-123-135-137-139-143-147-149-151-157-187-195-217-219-
221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-297-311-070040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CHEROKEE CLARKE
CLAYTON COBB COWETA
DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN FULTON
GILMER GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HARALSON HART
HEARD HENRY JACKSON
LUMPKIN MADISON NEWTON
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PAULDING
PICKENS POLK RABUN
ROCKDALE STEPHENS TOWNS
UNION WALTON WHITE
$$
NCC089-099-113-149-161-175-070040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON JACKSON MACON
POLK RUTHERFORD TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-045-047-059-073-077-083-070040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON GREENVILLE
GREENWOOD LAURENS OCONEE
PICKENS SPARTANBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.