Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 4
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN ALABAMA
GEORGIA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AUBURN
ALABAMA TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF ORANGEBURG SOUTH CAROLINA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 3...
DISCUSSION...QLCS WITH EMBEDDED BOWING AND SUPERCELL STRUCTURES IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...AND IN THE WAKE OF WEDGE
FRONT PASSAGE TODAY. 40-50 KT SWLY LLJ WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE
MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS GA INTO SC...SUPPORTING AIR MASS
DESTABILIZATION IN THESE AREAS. WHEN COUPLED WITH 40-55 KT OF
DEEP...WLY SHEAR AND 0-1 KM SRH OF 250-400 M2/S2...SETUP WILL REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR A FEW TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS AS STORMS
MOVE/DEVELOP EWD/SEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 4 TORNADO AL GA SC 211730Z - 220100Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
30SW AUO/AUBURN AL/ - 25NNE OGB/ORANGEBURG SC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM EITHER SIDE /27E MGM - 19ESE CAE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
LAT...LON 33348616 34848105 32758031 31268544
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 4 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 4
VALID 220030Z - 220100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW DHN
TO 35 NE ABY TO 5 NNW VDI TO 25 NW SAV.
WW 4 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 220100Z.
..GARNER..01/22/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC067-220100-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENRY
$$
GAC017-037-061-095-109-177-239-243-267-273-287-321-220100-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEN HILL CALHOUN CLAY
DOUGHERTY EVANS LEE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH TATTNALL
TERRELL TURNER WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 4
VALID 212325Z - 220040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE TOI
TO 35 W VDI TO 10 N VDI TO 30 NW CHS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 44
..GARNER..01/21/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC067-220040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENRY
$$
GAC017-037-061-081-091-093-095-109-177-209-235-239-243-259-261-
267-271-273-279-287-307-309-315-321-220040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEN HILL CALHOUN CLAY
CRISP DODGE DOOLY
DOUGHERTY EVANS LEE
MONTGOMERY PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH STEWART SUMTER
TATTNALL TELFAIR TERRELL
TOOMBS TURNER WEBSTER
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 4
VALID 212230Z - 212340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE TOI
TO 40 ESE CSG TO 25 NNW VDI TO 15 E OGB.
..GARNER..01/21/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-067-113-212340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK HENRY
RUSSELL
$$
GAC017-023-031-037-043-053-061-081-091-093-095-107-109-153-165-
167-175-177-193-197-209-235-239-243-249-251-259-261-267-271-273-
279-283-287-307-309-315-321-212340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEN HILL BLECKLEY BULLOCH
CALHOUN CANDLER CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY CRISP DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EMANUEL
EVANS HOUSTON JENKINS
JOHNSON LAURENS LEE
MACON MARION MONTGOMERY
PULASKI QUITMAN RANDOLPH
SCHLEY SCREVEN STEWART
SUMTER TATTNALL TELFAIR
TERRELL TOOMBS TREUTLEN
TURNER WEBSTER WHEELER
WILCOX WORTH
$$
SCC005-049-212340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE HAMPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 4
VALID 212135Z - 212240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE TOI
TO 35 E CSG TO 35 NNW VDI TO 15 ENE OGB.
..SPC..01/21/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-067-113-212240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK HENRY
RUSSELL
$$
GAC017-023-031-033-037-043-053-061-081-091-093-095-107-109-153-
165-167-175-177-193-197-209-235-239-243-249-251-259-261-267-271-
273-279-283-287-307-309-315-321-212240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEN HILL BLECKLEY BULLOCH
BURKE CALHOUN CANDLER
CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY CRISP
DODGE DOOLY DOUGHERTY
EMANUEL EVANS HOUSTON
JENKINS JOHNSON LAURENS
LEE MACON MARION
MONTGOMERY PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCHLEY SCREVEN
STEWART SUMTER TATTNALL
TELFAIR TERRELL TOOMBS
TREUTLEN TURNER WEBSTER
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
SCC005-049-212240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE HAMPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 4
VALID 212040Z - 212140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW AUO
TO 15 NE CSG TO 40 ENE MCN TO 20 NNE OGB.
..SPC..01/21/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-067-081-087-113-212140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK HENRY
LEE MACON RUSSELL
$$
GAC017-021-023-031-033-037-043-053-061-079-081-091-093-095-107-
109-153-163-165-167-175-177-193-197-209-215-225-235-239-243-245-
249-251-259-261-267-269-271-273-279-283-287-289-303-307-309-315-
319-321-212140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEN HILL BIBB BLECKLEY
BULLOCH BURKE CALHOUN
CANDLER CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
CRAWFORD CRISP DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EMANUEL
EVANS HOUSTON JEFFERSON
JENKINS JOHNSON LAURENS
LEE MACON MARION
MONTGOMERY MUSCOGEE PEACH
PULASKI QUITMAN RANDOLPH
RICHMOND SCHLEY SCREVEN
STEWART SUMTER TATTNALL
TAYLOR TELFAIR TERRELL
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TURNER
TWIGGS WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WHEELER WILCOX WILKINSON
WORTH
$$
SCC003-005-009-011-049-075-212140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AIKEN ALLENDALE BAMBERG
BARNWELL HAMPTON ORANGEBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 4
VALID 211840Z - 211940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW AUO
TO 35 NNW MCN TO 25 S AHN TO 40 NNE CAE.
..SPC..01/21/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-017-067-081-087-113-123-211940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK CHAMBERS
HENRY LEE MACON
RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA
$$
GAC009-017-021-023-031-033-035-037-043-053-061-073-079-081-091-
093-095-107-109-125-133-141-145-153-159-163-165-167-169-171-175-
177-181-189-193-197-199-207-209-211-215-221-225-231-235-237-239-
243-245-249-251-259-261-263-265-267-269-271-273-279-283-285-287-
289-293-301-303-307-309-315-317-319-321-211940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BEN HILL BIBB
BLECKLEY BULLOCH BURKE
BUTTS CALHOUN CANDLER
CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY COLUMBIA
CRAWFORD CRISP DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EMANUEL
EVANS GLASCOCK GREENE
HANCOCK HARRIS HOUSTON
JASPER JEFFERSON JENKINS
JOHNSON JONES LAMAR
LAURENS LEE LINCOLN
MCDUFFIE MACON MARION
MERIWETHER MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN MUSCOGEE OGLETHORPE
PEACH PIKE PULASKI
PUTNAM QUITMAN RANDOLPH
RICHMOND SCHLEY SCREVEN
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TALIAFERRO TATTNALL TAYLOR
TELFAIR TERRELL TOOMBS
TREUTLEN TROUP TURNER
TWIGGS UPSON WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WHEELER
WILCOX WILKES WILKINSON
WORTH
$$
SCC003-005-009-011-017-037-039-049-063-065-071-075-079-081-
211940-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AIKEN ALLENDALE BAMBERG
BARNWELL CALHOUN EDGEFIELD
FAIRFIELD HAMPTON LEXINGTON
MCCORMICK NEWBERRY ORANGEBURG
RICHLAND SALUDA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.