Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 6
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
515 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO
PARTS OF TEXAS PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 515 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF TUCUMCARI NEW MEXICO TO 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
WINK TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN A
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS JUST AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ERN NM. WITH
VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH ROTATING NEWD ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING...THE INITIAL SEVERE THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND THEN
TRANSITION INTO A WIND DAMAGE THREAT AS SQUALL LINE DEVELOPS AND
MOVES EWD.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 22035.
...HALES
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 6
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
515 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO
PARTS OF TEXAS PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 515 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF TUCUMCARI NEW MEXICO TO 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
WINK TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN A
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS JUST AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ERN NM. WITH
VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH ROTATING NEWD ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING...THE INITIAL SEVERE THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND THEN
TRANSITION INTO A WIND DAMAGE THREAT AS SQUALL LINE DEVELOPS AND
MOVES EWD.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 22035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 6 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 082315Z - 090400Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
65NNE TCC/TUCUMCARI NM/ - 25ESE INK/WINK TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /56NNE TCC - 26ESE INK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
LAT...LON 36040180 31620152 31620408 36040450
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 6 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 6
VALID 090330Z - 090400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S BGS TO
25 WNW BGS TO 10 W AMA TO 25 E DHT.
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CEASE FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE
QUASI-LINEAR MCS CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY MOVE EAST OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE WATCH AREA. A MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY REGARDING THE REMAINING PORTION OF THE
WATCH.
WW 6 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 090400Z.
..SMITH..02/09/09
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 6
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-065-115-189-233-303-305-317-341-375-381-437-090400-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON DAWSON
HALE HUTCHINSON LUBBOCK
LYNN MARTIN MOORE
POTTER RANDALL SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 6
VALID 090230Z - 090340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW MAF
TO 45 SSW LBB TO 30 W PVW TO 50 NW PVW TO 35 SSW DHT TO 20 SE CAO.
..DIAL..02/09/09
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 6
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC069-115-117-189-205-219-279-303-305-317-329-341-359-375-381-
437-445-090340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASTRO DAWSON DEAF SMITH
HALE HARTLEY HOCKLEY
LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MOORE
OLDHAM POTTER RANDALL
SWISHER TERRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 6
VALID 090120Z - 090240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW INK
TO 15 SE HOB TO 55 SSE CVS TO 20 WNW TCC TO 20 S CAO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 70
..DIAL..02/09/09
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 6
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-037-090240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY QUAY
$$
TXC003-017-069-079-115-117-135-165-189-205-219-279-303-305-317-
329-341-359-369-375-381-437-445-495-501-090240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BAILEY CASTRO
COCHRAN DAWSON DEAF SMITH
ECTOR GAINES HALE
HARTLEY HOCKLEY LAMB
LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN
MIDLAND MOORE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SWISHER TERRY WINKLER
YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
