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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 8...CORRECTED
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013
CORRECTED FOR GEOGRAPHIC DESCRIPTION
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1130 AM UNTIL
500 PM CST.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF JUNCTION TEXAS TO 20 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF SHERMAN
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 5...WW 6...WW 7...
DISCUSSION...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FORM AND MATURE ALONG THE COLD
FRONT AIDED BY DAYTIME HEATING AND COOLING ALOFT. STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR/LONG HODOGRAPHS WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL
AND PERHAPS A FEW SMALL BOWS WITH DAMAGING WINDS. VEERING LOW LEVEL
WINDS AS WELL AS LINEAR FORCING MECHANISM SHOULD MINIMIZE TORNADO
THREAT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...JEWELL/THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 8 SEVERE TSTM TX 291730Z - 292300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15SSW JCT/JUNCTION TX/ - 20WNW GYI/SHERMAN TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /17S JCT - 24SSE ADM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 30300095 33839812 33839586 30309877
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 8 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 8
VALID 292235Z - 292300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NW AUS TO
40 NW TPL TO 20 NNW DAL TO 10 WSW GYI TO 10 NNW GYI.
WW 8 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 292300Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 75
..MOSIER..01/29/13
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-099-139-217-251-281-309-292300-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE CORYELL ELLIS
HILL JOHNSON LAMPASAS
MCLENNAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 8
VALID 292140Z - 292240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW AUS TO
55 SSE BWD TO 10 NNW GYI.
..COHEN..01/29/13
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-099-113-121-139-193-217-251-281-309-425-439-292240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE CORYELL DALLAS
DENTON ELLIS HAMILTON
HILL JOHNSON LAMPASAS
MCLENNAN SOMERVELL TARRANT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 8
VALID 292035Z - 292140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW JCT TO
30 SSW BWD TO 30 E BWD TO 35 SW ADM.
..COHEN..01/29/13
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-093-097-099-113-121-139-143-193-217-221-251-267-281-307-
309-319-327-333-367-411-425-439-497-292140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COMANCHE COOKE
CORYELL DALLAS DENTON
ELLIS ERATH HAMILTON
HILL HOOD JOHNSON
KIMBLE LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH
MCLENNAN MASON MENARD
MILLS PARKER SAN SABA
SOMERVELL TARRANT WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 8
VALID 291930Z - 292040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW JCT
TO 40 SW ADM.
..COHEN..01/29/13
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-049-083-093-095-097-099-113-121-133-139-143-193-217-221-
237-251-267-281-307-309-319-327-333-337-363-367-411-413-425-429-
435-439-497-503-292040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN COLEMAN
COMANCHE CONCHO COOKE
CORYELL DALLAS DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
HAMILTON HILL HOOD
JACK JOHNSON KIMBLE
LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN
MASON MENARD MILLS
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO PARKER
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SOMERVELL
STEPHENS SUTTON TARRANT
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 8
VALID 291820Z - 291940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N DRT TO
35 SSE SJT TO 35 E SJT TO 25 WSW BWD TO 40 E ABI TO 35 SE SPS TO
40 ENE SPS.
..JEWELL..01/29/13
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-049-083-093-095-097-099-113-121-133-139-143-193-217-221-
237-251-267-281-307-309-319-327-333-337-363-367-411-413-425-429-
435-439-497-503-291940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN COLEMAN
COMANCHE CONCHO COOKE
CORYELL DALLAS DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
HAMILTON HILL HOOD
JACK JOHNSON KIMBLE
LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN
MASON MENARD MILLS
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO PARKER
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SOMERVELL
STEPHENS SUTTON TARRANT
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
