Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 12
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1035 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
SOUTHERN INDIANA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1035 PM
UNTIL 500 AM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
BLOOMINGTON INDIANA TO 5 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF FORT CAMPBELL
KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 10...WW 11...
DISCUSSION...INTENSE SQUALL LINE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL IL INTO
SOUTHEAST MO. THESE STORMS WILL RACE EASTWARD OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA. EXTREMELY STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS...DESPITE VERY LIMITED INSTABILITY.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE
OF THE SQUALL LINE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 12 TORNADO IL IN KY 300335Z - 301000Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NNE BMG/BLOOMINGTON IN/ - 5WSW HOP/FORT CAMPBELL KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /20S IND - 52NW BNA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.
LAT...LON 39478494 36638612 36638901 39478794
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 12 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 12
VALID 300910Z - 300940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E CKV TO
40 ESE IND.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 88.
..PETERS..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...LMK...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-031-043-061-077-079-143-175-300940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK DECATUR FLOYD
HARRISON JEFFERSON JENNINGS
SCOTT WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-009-027-029-031-061-085-093-099-103-111-123-141-163-179-
185-211-213-215-223-227-300940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER EDMONSON
GRAYSON HARDIN HART
HENRY JEFFERSON LARUE
LOGAN MEADE NELSON
OLDHAM SHELBY SIMPSON
SPENCER TRIMBLE WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 12
VALID 300750Z - 300840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W HOP TO
35 SSW BMG TO 15 S IND.
..PETERS..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...LMK...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC005-013-019-025-031-035-037-043-059-061-065-071-077-079-081-
093-095-117-123-135-139-143-145-147-175-300840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK
CRAWFORD DECATUR DELAWARE
DUBOIS FLOYD HANCOCK
HARRISON HENRY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JENNINGS JOHNSON
LAWRENCE MADISON ORANGE
PERRY RANDOLPH RUSH
SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER
WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-009-027-029-031-047-059-061-085-091-093-099-103-107-111-
123-141-149-163-177-179-183-185-211-213-215-219-221-223-227-
300840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CHRISTIAN
DAVIESS EDMONSON GRAYSON
HANCOCK HARDIN HART
HENRY HOPKINS JEFFERSON
LARUE LOGAN MCLEAN
MEADE MUHLENBERG NELSON
OHIO OLDHAM SHELBY
SIMPSON SPENCER TODD
TRIGG TRIMBLE WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 12
VALID 300700Z - 300740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE PAH
TO 5 E EVV TO 30 SW BMG TO 25 NNW BMG.
..PETERS..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...LMK...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC005-011-013-019-023-025-031-035-037-043-057-059-061-063-065-
067-071-077-079-081-093-095-097-101-105-109-117-123-125-135-139-
143-145-147-159-173-175-300740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CLARK CLINTON CRAWFORD
DECATUR DELAWARE DUBOIS
FLOYD HAMILTON HANCOCK
HARRISON HENDRICKS HENRY
HOWARD JACKSON JEFFERSON
JENNINGS JOHNSON LAWRENCE
MADISON MARION MARTIN
MONROE MORGAN ORANGE
PERRY PIKE RANDOLPH
RUSH SCOTT SHELBY
SPENCER TIPTON WARRICK
WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-009-027-029-031-033-035-047-059-061-085-091-093-099-101-
103-107-111-123-141-143-149-157-163-177-179-183-185-211-213-215-
219-221-223-227-233-300740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL
CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN DAVIESS
EDMONSON GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HART HENDERSON
HENRY HOPKINS JEFFERSON
LARUE LOGAN LYON
MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE
MUHLENBERG NELSON OHIO
OLDHAM SHELBY SIMPSON
SPENCER TODD TRIGG
TRIMBLE WARREN WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.