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Tornado Watch 16
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WW0016 Radar
Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Moderate
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Moderate Moderate

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
   SEL6
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 16
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   210 PM CST WED JAN 25 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
          LOUISIANA
          WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
          FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
   900 PM CST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
   INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF MONROE
   LOUISIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
   WATCH NUMBER 15. WATCH NUMBER 15 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 210
   PM CST. 
   
   DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED QLCS WITH EMBEDDED LEWP AND SUPERCELL
   STRUCTURES IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EWD TOWARD THE MS RIVER THIS
   AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.  18Z LCH SOUNDING AND CURRENT VAD DATA FROM
   FT. POLK LA INDICATE A FAVORABLE SEVERE STORM ENVIRONMENT WITH
   MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG...50 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND 0-1
   KM SRH OF AROUND 300 M2/S2.  WHILE THE DOMINANT LINEAR CONVECTIVE
   MODE WILL LIMIT A MORE ROBUST TORNADO THREAT...A FEW TORNADOES WILL
   REMAIN POSSIBLE.  DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH
   SOME SEVERE HAIL ALSO POSSIBLE.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
   
   
   ...MEAD
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