Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 16
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN INDIANA
CENTRAL KENTUCKY
SOUTHWEST OHIO
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1140 AM UNTIL
600 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF NASHVILLE
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...NARROW LINE OF CONVECTION IS INTENSIFYING OVER WESTERN
KY/TN AS VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH ROTATES INTO REGION. DESPITE VERY
WEAK INSTABILITY...THE THREAT OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL
INCREASE WITH TIME DUE TO DRYING ALOFT AND ENHANCED POTENTIAL FOR
DOWNWARD TRANSFER OF MOMENTUM. LOW AND MID LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR
PROFILES WILL ALSO BE FAVORABLE FOR BOW/LEWP STRUCTURES ALONG THE
LINE AND AN ATTENDANT RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...HART
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 16
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN INDIANA
CENTRAL KENTUCKY
SOUTHWEST OHIO
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1140 AM UNTIL
600 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF NASHVILLE
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...NARROW LINE OF CONVECTION IS INTENSIFYING OVER WESTERN
KY/TN AS VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH ROTATES INTO REGION. DESPITE VERY
WEAK INSTABILITY...THE THREAT OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL
INCREASE WITH TIME DUE TO DRYING ALOFT AND ENHANCED POTENTIAL FOR
DOWNWARD TRANSFER OF MOMENTUM. LOW AND MID LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR
PROFILES WILL ALSO BE FAVORABLE FOR BOW/LEWP STRUCTURES ALONG THE
LINE AND AN ATTENDANT RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 16 TORNADO IN KY OH TN 111640Z - 112300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
65NNE SDF/LOUISVILLE KY/ - 65SSE BNA/NASHVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /26W CVG - 56WNW GQO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
LAT...LON 39048405 35258508 35258738 39048648
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 16 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 16
VALID 112230Z - 112340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E LEX TO
35 NE SDF TO 55 SE IND.
..LEVIT..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...IND...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC029-115-137-155-112340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEARBORN OHIO RIPLEY
SWITZERLAND
$$
KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-161-187-191-201-112340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRACKEN CAMPBELL
CARROLL GALLATIN GRANT
KENTON MASON OWEN
PENDLETON ROBERTSON
$$
OHC015-025-061-112340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT HAMILTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 16
VALID 112130Z - 112240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E LEX TO
35 NE SDF TO 55 E BMG.
..LEVIT..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...IND...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC029-115-137-155-112240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEARBORN OHIO RIPLEY
SWITZERLAND
$$
KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-161-187-191-201-112240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRACKEN CAMPBELL
CARROLL GALLATIN GRANT
KENTON MASON OWEN
PENDLETON ROBERTSON
$$
OHC015-025-061-112240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT HAMILTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 16
VALID 112045Z - 112140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW LOZ
TO 55 E BMG.
..GOSS..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...IND...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC025-029-077-115-137-155-112140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD DEARBORN JEFFERSON
OHIO RIPLEY SWITZERLAND
$$
KYC015-017-023-037-041-049-067-073-077-079-081-097-103-113-117-
137-151-161-181-187-191-201-209-223-239-112140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BOURBON BRACKEN
CAMPBELL CARROLL CLARK
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN
GARRARD GRANT HARRISON
HENRY JESSAMINE KENTON
LINCOLN MADISON MASON
NICHOLAS OWEN PENDLETON
ROBERTSON SCOTT TRIMBLE
WOODFORD
$$
OHC015-025-061-112140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT HAMILTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 16
VALID 111945Z - 112040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE HSV
TO 20 ESE BWG TO 35 SW SDF TO 40 NNE OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 100
..LEVIT..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...IND...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-029-043-061-071-077-079-093-101-115-137-143-155-175-
112040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DEARBORN
FLOYD HARRISON JACKSON
JEFFERSON JENNINGS LAWRENCE
MARTIN OHIO RIPLEY
SCOTT SWITZERLAND WASHINGTON
$$
KYC001-005-009-015-017-021-023-029-037-041-045-049-053-057-067-
073-077-079-081-087-093-097-099-103-111-113-117-123-137-151-155-
161-163-167-169-171-179-181-185-187-191-201-207-209-211-215-217-
223-229-239-112040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDERSON BARREN
BOONE BOURBON BOYLE
BRACKEN BULLITT CAMPBELL
CARROLL CASEY CLARK
CLINTON CUMBERLAND FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLATIN GARRARD
GRANT GREEN HARDIN
HARRISON HART HENRY
JEFFERSON JESSAMINE KENTON
LARUE LINCOLN MADISON
MARION MASON MEADE
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
NELSON NICHOLAS OLDHAM
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
RUSSELL SCOTT SHELBY
SPENCER TAYLOR TRIMBLE
WASHINGTON WOODFORD
$$
OHC015-025-061-112040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT HAMILTON
$$
TNC027-031-035-041-049-061-087-133-137-141-175-177-185-112040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DEKALB FENTRESS GRUNDY
JACKSON OVERTON PICKETT
PUTNAM VAN BUREN WARREN
WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 16
VALID 111835Z - 111940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...IND...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-029-037-043-061-071-077-079-093-101-115-117-123-137-
143-155-175-111940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DEARBORN
DUBOIS FLOYD HARRISON
JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS
LAWRENCE MARTIN OHIO
ORANGE PERRY RIPLEY
SCOTT SWITZERLAND WASHINGTON
$$
KYC001-003-005-009-015-017-021-023-027-029-031-037-041-045-049-
053-057-061-067-073-077-079-081-085-087-091-093-097-099-103-111-
113-117-123-137-141-151-155-161-163-167-169-171-179-181-183-185-
187-191-201-207-209-211-213-215-217-223-227-229-239-111940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOONE BOURBON
BOYLE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CAMPBELL
CARROLL CASEY CLARK
CLINTON CUMBERLAND EDMONSON
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN
GARRARD GRANT GRAYSON
GREEN HANCOCK HARDIN
HARRISON HART HENRY
JEFFERSON JESSAMINE KENTON
LARUE LINCOLN LOGAN
MADISON MARION MASON
MEADE MERCER METCALFE
MONROE NELSON NICHOLAS
OHIO OLDHAM OWEN
PENDLETON ROBERTSON RUSSELL
SCOTT SHELBY SIMPSON
SPENCER TAYLOR TRIMBLE
WARREN WASHINGTON WOODFORD
$$
OHC015-025-061-111940-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT HAMILTON
$$
TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-049-061-087-111-117-119-133-
137-141-147-149-159-165-169-175-177-185-187-189-111940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DEKALB FENTRESS
GRUNDY JACKSON MACON
MARSHALL MAURY OVERTON
PICKETT PUTNAM ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SMITH SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 16
VALID 111740Z - 111840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...IND...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-029-037-043-061-071-077-079-093-101-115-117-123-137-
143-147-155-175-111840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DEARBORN
DUBOIS FLOYD HARRISON
JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS
LAWRENCE MARTIN OHIO
ORANGE PERRY RIPLEY
SCOTT SPENCER SWITZERLAND
WASHINGTON
$$
KYC001-003-005-009-015-017-021-023-027-029-031-037-041-045-049-
053-057-059-061-067-073-077-079-081-085-087-091-093-097-099-103-
111-113-117-123-137-141-149-151-155-161-163-167-169-171-177-179-
181-183-185-187-191-201-207-209-211-213-215-217-219-223-227-229-
239-111840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOONE BOURBON
BOYLE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CAMPBELL
CARROLL CASEY CLARK
CLINTON CUMBERLAND DAVIESS
EDMONSON FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GALLATIN GARRARD GRANT
GRAYSON GREEN HANCOCK
HARDIN HARRISON HART
HENRY JEFFERSON JESSAMINE
KENTON LARUE LINCOLN
LOGAN MCLEAN MADISON
MARION MASON MEADE
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
MUHLENBERG NELSON NICHOLAS
OHIO OLDHAM OWEN
PENDLETON ROBERTSON RUSSELL
SCOTT SHELBY SIMPSON
SPENCER TAYLOR TODD
TRIMBLE WARREN WASHINGTON
WOODFORD
$$
OHC015-025-061-111840-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT HAMILTON
$$
TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-049-061-087-111-117-119-133-
137-141-147-149-159-165-169-175-177-185-187-189-111840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DEKALB FENTRESS
GRUNDY JACKSON MACON
MARSHALL MAURY OVERTON
PICKETT PUTNAM ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SMITH SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.