Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 18
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 95 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
LONDON KENTUCKY TO 65 MILES NORTH OF LONDON KENTUCKY. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 16...WW 17...
DISCUSSION...WITH WARM FRONT MOVING NWD INTO CENTRAL/ERN
KY...CONDITIONS ARE NOW FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS GIVEN THE
VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 18 TORNADO KY 102020Z - 110200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
95WSW LOZ/LONDON KY/ - 65N LOZ/LONDON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /44ESE BWG - 60N LOZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.
LAT...LON 36548673 38028518 38028298 36548458
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 18 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 18
VALID 110040Z - 110140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW LOZ TO
10 NW LOZ TO 15 NNE JKL.
..BROYLES..01/11/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC125-189-235-110140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAUREL OWSLEY WHITLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 18
VALID 102330Z - 110040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE CSV
TO 35 N LOZ TO 35 N JKL.
..GRAMS..01/10/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC063-065-109-125-129-147-165-175-189-197-203-235-237-110040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ELLIOTT ESTILL JACKSON
LAUREL LEE MCCREARY
MENIFEE MORGAN OWSLEY
POWELL ROCKCASTLE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 18
VALID 102250Z - 102340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW CSV
TO 45 SSW LEX TO 10 ENE LEX.
..GRAMS..01/10/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-049-053-063-065-079-109-125-129-137-147-151-165-173-175-
189-197-199-203-205-207-231-235-237-102340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH CLARK CLINTON
ELLIOTT ESTILL GARRARD
JACKSON LAUREL LEE
LINCOLN MCCREARY MADISON
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWSLEY POWELL PULASKI
ROCKCASTLE ROWAN RUSSELL
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 18
VALID 102135Z - 102240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..CROSBIE..01/10/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-005-009-011-021-025-045-049-051-053-057-061-063-065-
067-079-087-099-109-113-123-125-129-137-147-151-153-155-165-167-
169-171-173-175-179-189-197-199-203-205-207-213-215-217-227-229-
231-235-237-239-102240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BATH BOYLE
BREATHITT CASEY CLARK
CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON ELLIOTT ESTILL
FAYETTE GARRARD GREEN
HART JACKSON JESSAMINE
LARUE LAUREL LEE
LINCOLN MCCREARY MADISON
MAGOFFIN MARION MENIFEE
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN NELSON
OWSLEY POWELL PULASKI
ROCKCASTLE ROWAN RUSSELL
SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITLEY WOLFE WOODFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.