Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 19
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
405 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH GEORGIA
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 405 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EST.
HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
HOT SPRINGS NORTH CAROLINA TO 45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTA
GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 16...WW 17...WW 18...
DISCUSSION...LINE OF CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TRACKING EASTWARD
ACROSS PARTS OF GA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. DESPITE VERY MARGINAL INSTABILITY...STRONG WIND FIELDS
WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 19 SEVERE TSTM GA NC SC 112105Z - 120300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15NW HSS/HOT SPRINGS NC/ - 45SE ATL/ATLANTA GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /44ENE VXV - 31NNW MCN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 36048166 33158258 33158518 36048434
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 19 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 19
VALID 120140Z - 120240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW AGS
TO 5 WNW AHN TO 25 NNW AND TO 15 SSW AVL TO 20 NNE SPA.
..LEVIT..02/12/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC105-147-120240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ELBERT HART
$$
SCC001-007-045-047-059-083-120240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON GREENVILLE
GREENWOOD LAURENS SPARTANBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 19
VALID 120035Z - 120140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE LGC
TO 45 NNW AHN TO 25 NNW AND TO 35 SE TRI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 105
..LEVIT..02/12/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC011-013-035-059-105-119-133-147-151-157-159-195-211-217-219-
221-237-247-255-297-120140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BUTTS
CLARKE ELBERT FRANKLIN
GREENE HART HENRY
JACKSON JASPER MADISON
MORGAN NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PUTNAM ROCKDALE
SPALDING WALTON
$$
NCC023-027-111-149-161-120140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURKE CALDWELL MCDOWELL
POLK RUTHERFORD
$$
SCC001-007-045-047-059-077-083-120140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON GREENVILLE
GREENWOOD LAURENS PICKENS
SPARTANBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 19
VALID 112350Z - 120040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW LGC
TO 20 NE HSS.
..LEVIT..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC011-013-035-059-063-067-077-089-097-105-113-117-119-121-133-
135-137-139-147-151-157-159-187-195-199-211-217-219-221-237-241-
247-255-257-285-297-311-120040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BUTTS
CLARKE CLAYTON COBB
COWETA DEKALB DOUGLAS
ELBERT FAYETTE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GREENE
GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL
HART HENRY JACKSON
JASPER LUMPKIN MADISON
MERIWETHER MORGAN NEWTON
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PUTNAM
RABUN ROCKDALE SPALDING
STEPHENS TROUP WALTON
WHITE
$$
NCC011-021-023-027-087-089-099-111-113-115-121-149-161-175-199-
120040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE
CALDWELL HAYWOOD HENDERSON
JACKSON MCDOWELL MACON
MADISON MITCHELL POLK
RUTHERFORD TRANSYLVANIA YANCEY
$$
SCC001-007-045-047-059-073-077-083-120040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON GREENVILLE
GREENWOOD LAURENS OCONEE
PICKENS SPARTANBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 19
VALID 112235Z - 112340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC011-013-035-059-063-067-077-085-089-097-105-113-117-119-121-
133-135-137-139-147-151-157-159-187-195-199-211-217-219-221-237-
241-247-255-257-281-285-291-297-311-112340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BUTTS
CLARKE CLAYTON COBB
COWETA DAWSON DEKALB
DOUGLAS ELBERT FAYETTE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN FULTON
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HART HENRY
JACKSON JASPER LUMPKIN
MADISON MERIWETHER MORGAN
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PUTNAM RABUN ROCKDALE
SPALDING STEPHENS TOWNS
TROUP UNION WALTON
WHITE
$$
NCC011-021-075-087-089-099-111-113-115-121-149-161-173-175-199-
112340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AVERY BUNCOMBE GRAHAM
HAYWOOD HENDERSON JACKSON
MCDOWELL MACON MADISON
MITCHELL POLK RUTHERFORD
SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA YANCEY
$$
SCC001-007-045-047-059-073-077-083-112340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON GREENVILLE
GREENWOOD LAURENS OCONEE
PICKENS SPARTANBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.