Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 19
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
810 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
FAR NORTHWEST SOUTH CAROLINA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 810 AM UNTIL
400 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
ATHENS GEORGIA TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MACON GEORGIA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 14...WW 15...WW 16...WW
17...WW 18...
DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL BANDS OF CONVECTION CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS MORNING FROM CNTRL/ERN AL INTO WRN
GA...AS LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE IS ENHANCED DOWNSTREAM FROM THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THE 12Z SOUNDINGS FROM BHM AND FFC SHOWED THE
PRESENCE OF A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH MLCAPE RANGING FROM AROUND
250 J/KG OVER NRN GA...TO AROUND 1000 J/KG OVER CNTRL AL. THE ONSET
OF BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING WILL SUPPORT A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
INSTABILITY TODAY...AND WHEN COUPLED WITH THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OBSERVED BY THESE SOUNDINGS...THE SETUP WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 19 TORNADO GA NC SC 301310Z - 302100Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
80NNW AHN/ATHENS GA/ - 55SSW MCN/MACON GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /34NW ODF - 23NE PZD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
LAT...LON 35008272 31958290 31958512 35008501
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 19 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 19
VALID 301730Z - 301840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW RMG TO
40 E CHA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 97
..COHEN..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-053-057-059-063-067-077-079-
085-089-093-097-105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-133-135-137-
139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-157-159-169-171-187-193-195-197-
199-207-211-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233-235-237-241-247-
249-255-257-259-261-263-265-269-281-285-289-291-293-297-307-311-
317-319-301840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CARROLL CHATTAHOOCHEE
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA CRAWFORD
DAWSON DEKALB DOOLY
DOUGLAS ELBERT FANNIN
FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GREENE GWINNETT
HABERSHAM HALL HANCOCK
HARALSON HARRIS HART
HEARD HENRY HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JONES
LAMAR LUMPKIN MACON
MADISON MARION MERIWETHER
MONROE MORGAN MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING PEACH PICKENS
PIKE POLK PULASKI
PUTNAM RABUN ROCKDALE
SCHLEY SPALDING STEPHENS
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TALIAFERRO TAYLOR TOWNS
TROUP TWIGGS UNION
UPSON WALTON WEBSTER
WHITE WILKES WILKINSON
$$
NCC075-099-113-173-301840-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRAHAM JACKSON MACON
SWAIN
$$
SCC073-301840-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OCONEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 19
VALID 301625Z - 301740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW RMG
TO 10 E CHA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 97
..COHEN..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-
077-079-085-089-093-097-105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-133-
135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-157-159-169-171-187-193-
195-197-199-207-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233-235-
237-241-247-249-255-257-259-261-263-265-269-281-285-289-291-293-
295-297-307-311-313-317-319-301740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CARROLL CATOOSA
CHATTAHOOCHEE CHATTOOGA CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAYTON COBB
COWETA CRAWFORD DAWSON
DEKALB DOOLY DOUGLAS
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GILMER GORDON
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HANCOCK HARALSON
HARRIS HART HEARD
HENRY HOUSTON JACKSON
JASPER JONES LAMAR
LUMPKIN MACON MADISON
MARION MERIWETHER MONROE
MORGAN MURRAY MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING PEACH PICKENS
PIKE POLK PULASKI
PUTNAM RABUN ROCKDALE
SCHLEY SPALDING STEPHENS
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TALIAFERRO TAYLOR TOWNS
TROUP TWIGGS UNION
UPSON WALKER WALTON
WEBSTER WHITE WHITFIELD
WILKES WILKINSON
$$
NCC075-099-113-173-301740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRAHAM JACKSON MACON
SWAIN
$$
SCC073-301740-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OCONEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 19
VALID 301525Z - 301640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-
077-079-083-085-089-093-097-105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-
133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-157-159-169-171-187-
193-195-197-199-207-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233-
235-237-241-247-249-255-257-259-261-263-265-269-281-285-289-291-
293-295-297-307-311-313-317-319-301640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CARROLL CATOOSA
CHATTAHOOCHEE CHATTOOGA CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAYTON COBB
COWETA CRAWFORD DADE
DAWSON DEKALB DOOLY
DOUGLAS ELBERT FANNIN
FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GREENE GWINNETT
HABERSHAM HALL HANCOCK
HARALSON HARRIS HART
HEARD HENRY HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JONES
LAMAR LUMPKIN MACON
MADISON MARION MERIWETHER
MONROE MORGAN MURRAY
MUSCOGEE NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PEACH
PICKENS PIKE POLK
PULASKI PUTNAM RABUN
ROCKDALE SCHLEY SPALDING
STEPHENS STEWART SUMTER
TALBOT TALIAFERRO TAYLOR
TOWNS TROUP TWIGGS
UNION UPSON WALKER
WALTON WEBSTER WHITE
WHITFIELD WILKES WILKINSON
$$
NCC075-099-113-173-301640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRAHAM JACKSON MACON
SWAIN
$$
SCC073-301640-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OCONEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 19
VALID 301435Z - 301540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-
077-079-083-085-089-093-097-105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-
133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-157-159-169-171-187-
193-195-197-199-207-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233-
235-237-241-247-249-255-257-259-261-263-265-269-281-285-289-291-
293-295-297-307-311-313-317-319-301540-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CARROLL CATOOSA
CHATTAHOOCHEE CHATTOOGA CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAYTON COBB
COWETA CRAWFORD DADE
DAWSON DEKALB DOOLY
DOUGLAS ELBERT FANNIN
FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GREENE GWINNETT
HABERSHAM HALL HANCOCK
HARALSON HARRIS HART
HEARD HENRY HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JONES
LAMAR LUMPKIN MACON
MADISON MARION MERIWETHER
MONROE MORGAN MURRAY
MUSCOGEE NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PEACH
PICKENS PIKE POLK
PULASKI PUTNAM RABUN
ROCKDALE SCHLEY SPALDING
STEPHENS STEWART SUMTER
TALBOT TALIAFERRO TAYLOR
TOWNS TROUP TWIGGS
UNION UPSON WALKER
WALTON WEBSTER WHITE
WHITFIELD WILKES WILKINSON
$$
NCC075-099-113-173-301540-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRAHAM JACKSON MACON
SWAIN
$$
SCC073-301540-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OCONEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.