SEL0
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 20
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1235 PM CST WED FEB 1 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
          NORTHERN LOUISIANA
          EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
          NORTHEAST TEXAS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
   800 PM CST.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTHWEST
   OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PINE BLUFF
   ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST OK WILL
   SPREAD EASTWARD INTO AR...WHILE NEW STORMS POTENTIALLY DEVELOPING
   SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHEAST TX.  STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
   MODERATE CAPE VALUES WILL PROMOTE THE RISK OF A FEW INTENSE CELLS
   CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27035.
   
   
   ...HART

   SEL0
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 20
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1235 PM CST WED FEB 1 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
          NORTHERN LOUISIANA
          EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
          NORTHEAST TEXAS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
   800 PM CST.
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTHWEST
   OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PINE BLUFF
   ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST OK WILL
   SPREAD EASTWARD INTO AR...WHILE NEW STORMS POTENTIALLY DEVELOPING
   SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHEAST TX.  STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
   MODERATE CAPE VALUES WILL PROMOTE THE RISK OF A FEW INTENSE CELLS
   CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27035.
   
   
   ...HART

   SEL0
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 20
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1235 PM CST WED FEB 1 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
          NORTHERN LOUISIANA
          EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
          NORTHEAST TEXAS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
   800 PM CST.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTHWEST
   OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PINE BLUFF
   ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST OK WILL
   SPREAD EASTWARD INTO AR...WHILE NEW STORMS POTENTIALLY DEVELOPING
   SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHEAST TX.  STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
   MODERATE CAPE VALUES WILL PROMOTE THE RISK OF A FEW INTENSE CELLS
   CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27035.
   
   
   ...HART

   WOUS64 KWNS 011831
   WOU0
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 20
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1235 PM CST WED FEB 1 2012
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 20 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   ARC001-011-013-019-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-051-053-057-059-
   061-069-073-079-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-
   117-119-125-127-133-139-145-147-149-020200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0020.120201T1835Z-120202T0200Z/
   
   AR 
   .    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ARKANSAS             BRADLEY             CALHOUN             
   CLARK                CLEVELAND           COLUMBIA            
   CONWAY               DALLAS              DESHA               
   DREW                 FAULKNER            GARLAND             
   GRANT                HEMPSTEAD           HOT SPRING          
   HOWARD               JEFFERSON           LAFAYETTE           
   LINCOLN              LITTLE RIVER        LOGAN               
   LONOKE               MILLER              MONROE              
   MONTGOMERY           NEVADA              OUACHITA            
   PERRY                PIKE                POLK                
   POPE                 PRAIRIE             PULASKI             
   SALINE               SCOTT               SEVIER              
   UNION                WHITE               WOODRUFF            
   YELL                 
   
   
   LAC013-015-017-027-061-111-119-020200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0020.120201T1835Z-120202T0200Z/
   
   LA 
   .    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BIENVILLE            BOSSIER             CADDO               
   CLAIBORNE            LINCOLN             UNION               
   WEBSTER              
   
   
   OKC089-020200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0020.120201T1835Z-120202T0200Z/
   
   OK 
   .    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   MCCURTAIN            
   
   
   TXC037-063-067-159-183-203-315-343-387-449-459-499-020200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0020.120201T1835Z-120202T0200Z/
   
   TX 
   .    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BOWIE                CAMP                CASS                
   FRANKLIN             GREGG               HARRISON            
   MARION               MORRIS              RED RIVER           
   TITUS                UPSHUR              WOOD                
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
   
   
   

   SAW0 
   WW 20 SEVERE TSTM AR LA OK TX 011835Z - 020200Z
   AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   60SW DEQ/DE QUEEN AR/ - 50ENE PBF/PINE BLUFF AR/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM N/S /54W TXK - 54ESE LIT/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
   
   LAT...LON 34819513 35819112 33069112 32069513
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU0.
   

Watch 20 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 20

VALID 012325Z - 020040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MLU TO
60 WSW MEM.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 88

..COHEN..02/01/12

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 20 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC041-043-020040-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DESHA		     DREW		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 20

VALID 012230Z - 012340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW SHV TO
20 SW PBF TO 40 SSW JBR.

..COHEN..02/01/12

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 20 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC001-011-013-025-041-043-079-095-139-147-012340-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARKANSAS	     BRADLEY		 CALHOUN	     
CLEVELAND	     DESHA		 DREW		     
LINCOLN 	     MONROE		 UNION		     
WOODRUFF	     
$$


LAC013-015-027-061-111-119-012340-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

BIENVILLE	     BOSSIER		 CLAIBORNE	     
LINCOLN 	     UNION		 WEBSTER	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 20

VALID 011925Z - 012040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE PRX
TO 25 NW DEQ TO 35 ESE RKR TO 15 NNE RUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 85

..JEWELL..02/01/12

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 20 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC001-011-013-019-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-051-053-057-059-
061-069-073-079-081-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-117-
119-125-127-133-139-145-147-149-012040-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARKANSAS	     BRADLEY		 CALHOUN	     
CLARK		     CLEVELAND		 COLUMBIA	     
CONWAY		     DALLAS		 DESHA		     
DREW		     FAULKNER		 GARLAND	     
GRANT		     HEMPSTEAD		 HOT SPRING	     
HOWARD		     JEFFERSON		 LAFAYETTE	     
LINCOLN 	     LITTLE RIVER	 LONOKE 	     
MILLER		     MONROE		 MONTGOMERY	     
NEVADA		     OUACHITA		 PERRY		     
PIKE		     POLK		 POPE		     
PRAIRIE 	     PULASKI		 SALINE 	     
SCOTT		     SEVIER		 UNION		     
WHITE		     WOODRUFF		 YELL		     
$$


LAC013-015-017-027-061-111-119-012040-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

BIENVILLE	     BOSSIER		 CADDO		     
CLAIBORNE	     LINCOLN		 UNION		     
WEBSTER 	     
$$


OKC089-012040-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

MCCURTAIN	     
$$


TXC037-063-067-159-183-203-315-343-387-449-459-499-012040-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOWIE		     CAMP		 CASS		     
FRANKLIN	     GREGG		 HARRISON	     
MARION		     MORRIS		 RED RIVER	     
TITUS		     UPSHUR		 WOOD		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.