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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 21
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
HICKORY NORTH CAROLINA TO 50 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF DOTHAN
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 18...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 19. WATCH NUMBER 18 19
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 120 PM EST.
DISCUSSION...THE PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE FROM
E CENTRAL AL INTO N GA...WITH OTHER MORE ISOLATED STORMS CONTINUING
TO FORM IN THE WARM SECTOR AND MERGE INTO THE BAND. INSTABILITY AND
VERTICAL SHEAR REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS/TORNADOES WITH THE
WARM SECTOR STORMS...WHILE DAMAGING WINDS AND EMBEDDED CIRCULATIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE BAND. THE SEVERE RISK WILL
BEGIN TO SPREAD NEWD ACROSS UPSTATE SC AND WRN NC AS THE LOW LEVELS
DESTABILIZE AND THE SYNOPTIC SYSTEM EJECTS NEWD FROM THE LOWER MS
VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 21 TORNADO AL GA NC SC 301820Z - 310100Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20NNW HKY/HICKORY NC/ - 50WSW DHN/DOTHAN AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /40SE HMV - 26ENE CEW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
REPLACES WW 18..AL MS
REPLACES WW 19..GA NC SC
LAT...LON 35978026 31048505 31048741 35978276
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 21 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 21
VALID 302340Z - 310040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE MCN TO
15 S GSP TO 20 NNW HKY.
..GUYER..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 21
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC105-310040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ELBERT
$$
NCC003-023-025-027-035-045-059-071-097-109-111-119-159-161-179-
310040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BURKE CABARRUS
CALDWELL CATAWBA CLEVELAND
DAVIE GASTON IREDELL
LINCOLN MCDOWELL MECKLENBURG
ROWAN RUTHERFORD UNION
$$
SCC001-021-023-047-059-083-087-091-310040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE CHEROKEE CHESTER
GREENWOOD LAURENS SPARTANBURG
UNION YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 21
VALID 302130Z - 302240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CEW TO
20 SSE ATL TO 30 SSE TRI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 102
..COHEN..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 21
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-031-045-061-067-069-113-302240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR COFFEE DALE
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
RUSSELL
$$
GAC007-009-011-013-021-023-035-037-053-059-061-071-079-087-093-
095-099-105-119-131-133-141-145-147-151-153-157-159-169-171-177-
193-195-197-199-201-205-207-211-215-217-219-221-225-231-235-237-
239-243-247-249-253-255-257-259-261-263-265-269-273-275-277-287-
289-293-297-307-317-319-321-302240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BANKS
BARROW BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLARKE CLAY COLQUITT
CRAWFORD DECATUR DOOLY
DOUGHERTY EARLY ELBERT
FRANKLIN GRADY GREENE
HANCOCK HARRIS HART
HENRY HOUSTON JACKSON
JASPER JONES LAMAR
LEE MACON MADISON
MARION MERIWETHER MILLER
MITCHELL MONROE MORGAN
MUSCOGEE NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PEACH PIKE
PULASKI PUTNAM QUITMAN
RANDOLPH ROCKDALE SCHLEY
SEMINOLE SPALDING STEPHENS
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TALIAFERRO TAYLOR TERRELL
THOMAS TIFT TURNER
TWIGGS UPSON WALTON
WEBSTER WILKES WILKINSON
WORTH
$$
NCC003-011-021-023-025-027-035-045-059-071-089-097-109-111-119-
121-149-159-161-175-179-302240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER AVERY BUNCOMBE
BURKE CABARRUS CALDWELL
CATAWBA CLEVELAND DAVIE
GASTON HENDERSON IREDELL
LINCOLN MCDOWELL MECKLENBURG
MITCHELL POLK ROWAN
RUTHERFORD TRANSYLVANIA UNION
$$
SCC001-007-021-023-045-047-059-073-077-083-087-091-302240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON CHEROKEE
CHESTER GREENVILLE GREENWOOD
LAURENS OCONEE PICKENS
SPARTANBURG UNION YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 21
VALID 302030Z - 302140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW CEW TO
30 ENE HSS.
..COHEN..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 21
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-031-039-041-045-061-067-069-081-087-109-113-302140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK COFFEE
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
LEE MACON PIKE
RUSSELL
$$
GAC009-011-013-021-023-035-037-053-059-061-063-077-079-089-093-
097-099-105-113-117-119-121-133-135-137-139-141-145-147-151-153-
157-159-169-171-193-195-197-199-207-211-215-217-219-221-225-231-
235-237-239-241-243-247-249-255-257-259-261-263-265-269-273-285-
289-293-297-307-311-317-319-302140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BIBB BLECKLEY BUTTS
CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLARKE
CLAY CLAYTON COWETA
CRAWFORD DEKALB DOOLY
DOUGLAS EARLY ELBERT
FAYETTE FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GREENE GWINNETT
HABERSHAM HALL HANCOCK
HARRIS HART HENRY
HOUSTON JACKSON JASPER
JONES LAMAR MACON
MADISON MARION MERIWETHER
MONROE MORGAN MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PEACH PIKE PULASKI
PUTNAM QUITMAN RABUN
RANDOLPH ROCKDALE SCHLEY
SPALDING STEPHENS STEWART
SUMTER TALBOT TALIAFERRO
TAYLOR TERRELL TROUP
TWIGGS UPSON WALTON
WEBSTER WHITE WILKES
WILKINSON
$$
NCC003-011-021-023-025-027-035-045-059-071-089-097-099-109-111-
119-121-149-159-161-175-179-199-302140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER AVERY BUNCOMBE
BURKE CABARRUS CALDWELL
CATAWBA CLEVELAND DAVIE
GASTON HENDERSON IREDELL
JACKSON LINCOLN MCDOWELL
MECKLENBURG MITCHELL POLK
ROWAN RUTHERFORD TRANSYLVANIA
UNION YANCEY
$$
SCC001-007-021-023-045-047-059-073-077-083-087-091-302140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON CHEROKEE
CHESTER GREENVILLE GREENWOOD
LAURENS OCONEE PICKENS
SPARTANBURG UNION YORK
$$
TNC171-302140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
UNICOI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 21
VALID 301925Z - 302040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 21
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-013-017-031-035-039-041-045-051-053-061-067-069-081-
085-087-101-109-111-113-123-302040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER
CHAMBERS COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ELMORE ESCAMBIA GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON LEE
LOWNDES MACON MONTGOMERY
PIKE RANDOLPH RUSSELL
TALLAPOOSA
$$
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-037-045-053-057-059-061-063-067-
077-079-085-089-093-097-099-105-113-117-119-121-133-135-137-139-
141-143-145-147-149-151-153-157-159-169-171-187-193-195-197-199-
207-211-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-235-237-239-241-243-247-
249-255-257-259-261-263-265-269-273-281-285-289-291-293-297-307-
311-317-319-302040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CALHOUN CARROLL
CHATTAHOOCHEE CHEROKEE CLARKE
CLAY CLAYTON COBB
COWETA CRAWFORD DAWSON
DEKALB DOOLY DOUGLAS
EARLY ELBERT FAYETTE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN FULTON
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HANCOCK HARALSON
HARRIS HART HEARD
HENRY HOUSTON JACKSON
JASPER JONES LAMAR
LUMPKIN MACON MADISON
MARION MERIWETHER MONROE
MORGAN MUSCOGEE NEWTON
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PAULDING
PEACH PICKENS PIKE
PULASKI PUTNAM QUITMAN
RABUN RANDOLPH ROCKDALE
SCHLEY SPALDING STEPHENS
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TALIAFERRO TAYLOR TERRELL
TOWNS TROUP TWIGGS
UNION UPSON WALTON
WEBSTER WHITE WILKES
WILKINSON
$$
NCC003-011-021-023-025-027-035-045-059-071-075-087-089-097-099-
109-111-113-115-119-121-149-159-161-173-175-179-199-302040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER AVERY BUNCOMBE
BURKE CABARRUS CALDWELL
CATAWBA CLEVELAND DAVIE
GASTON GRAHAM HAYWOOD
HENDERSON IREDELL JACKSON
LINCOLN MCDOWELL MACON
MADISON MECKLENBURG MITCHELL
POLK ROWAN RUTHERFORD
SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA UNION
YANCEY
$$
SCC001-007-021-023-045-047-059-073-077-083-087-091-302040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON CHEROKEE
CHESTER GREENVILLE GREENWOOD
LAURENS OCONEE PICKENS
SPARTANBURG UNION YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.