Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 24
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 AM CST FRI FEB 3 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND PARTS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 225 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
ENID OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF ALTUS OKLAHOMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 23...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN SW-NE SQLN OVER WRN OK AND SE TX PANHANDLE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND MOVE SLOWLY SEWD...WHILE STORMS WITHIN THE
LINE MOVE MORE RAPIDLY NEWD ALONG IT. FARTHER E...WDLY SCTD
STORMS/SHOWERS ALSO MAY PERSIST ALONG SHALLOW WARM FRONTAL ZONE IN
WRN/CNTRL OK.
DEEP WIND FIELD ACROSS REGION WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS...AND SELY NEAR-SFC FLOW COULD SUPPORT LOW LVL
MESOSCYCLONES. MODEST SFC-BASED BUOYANCY WILL...HOWEVER...LIKELY
KEEP OVERALL TORNADO THREAT ISOLD. BUT OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT
LOW LVL MOISTURE INFLOW WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DESTABILIZE WW
AREA...ESPECIALLY OVER WRN/SRN OK E AHEAD OF SQLN. THIS WILL
SUPPORT A CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND/ISOLD TORNADOES
WITH ANY SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS THAT DO FORM.
LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD SLIGHTLY INCREASE OVER WRN OK
LATER THIS MORNING AS MID LVL SPEED MAX NOW OVER ERN NM CONTINUES
NEWD...POSSIBLY BOOSTING STORM COVERAGE AND STRENGTH.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 24 TORNADO OK TX 030825Z - 031600Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35WNW END/ENID OK/ - 40S LTS/ALTUS OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /30WNW END - 34W SPS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
LAT...LON 36549723 34069805 34060048 36549976
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 24 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 24
VALID 031545Z - 031600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE CDS TO
20 NE CDS TO 35 NNE CSM TO 25 NNE OKC.
WW 24 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 031600Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 100
..DIAL..02/03/12
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-031-033-039-051-055-057-065-075-137-141-149-031600-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KIOWA STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC197-487-031600-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDEMAN WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 24
VALID 031505Z - 031640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE CDS TO
45 WSW CSM TO 35 NNW CSM TO 25 NNE OKC.
..DIAL..02/03/12
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-015-017-031-033-039-051-055-057-065-075-129-137-141-149-
031640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON KIOWA ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC197-487-031640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDEMAN WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 24
VALID 031237Z - 031340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW GAG
TO 45 NE CSM TO 40 NW OKC TO 25 NNE OKC.
..EDWARDS..02/03/12
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-031-033-039-051-055-057-065-075-129-137-141-
149-031340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON KIOWA
ROGER MILLS STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC075-087-197-483-487-031340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH HARDEMAN
WHEELER WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 24
VALID 031140Z - 031240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW GAG
TO 35 NNW OKC TO 30 SSW PNC.
..EDWARDS..02/03/12
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-031-033-039-047-051-055-057-065-073-075-129-
137-141-149-031240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER GARFIELD GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC075-087-197-483-487-031240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH HARDEMAN
WHEELER WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 24
VALID 031025Z - 031140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW GAG
TO 15 SW END TO 20 NE END.
..EDWARDS..02/03/12
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-047-051-055-057-065-073-075-
129-137-141-149-031140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON KINGFISHER KIOWA
ROGER MILLS STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC075-087-197-483-487-031140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH HARDEMAN
WHEELER WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 24
VALID 030940Z - 031040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW GAG
TO 45 SSW AVK TO 20 SE AVK.
..EDWARDS..02/03/12
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-047-051-055-057-065-073-075-
093-129-137-141-149-031040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON KINGFISHER KIOWA
MAJOR ROGER MILLS STEPHENS
TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC075-087-197-483-487-031040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH HARDEMAN
WHEELER WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.