Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 24
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 PM CST WED FEB 18 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
PARTS OF NORTHWEST GEORGIA
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1245 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 23...
DISCUSSION...AIR MASS HAS CONTINUED TO DESTABILIZE ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA AND 18Z SOUNDINGS AT JAN/BHM INDICATE STRONG SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY IN PLACE TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. STORMS WILL
INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY EWD ACROSS THE WATCH WITH
SUPERCELLS ALONG WITH A TORNADO THREAT EXPECTED. STORMS WILL EVOLVE
ALSO INTO SHORT LINE SEGMENTS DURING AFTERNOON INCREASING THE WIND
DAMAGE THREAT UNDER A VERY STRONG WIND PROFILE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26045.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 24 TORNADO AL GA MS 181845Z - 190200Z
AXIS..110 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55ENE HSV/HUNTSVILLE AL/ - 15S MEI/MERIDIAN MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 95NM E/W /36W GQO - 16S MEI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26045.
LAT...LON 34938394 32098687 32099062 34938781
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 24 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 24
VALID 190145Z - 190200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW JAN
TO 30 E ANB.
WW 24 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 190200Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 131
..SMITH..02/19/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-021-027-029-037-047-051-063-065-085-091-101-105-111-
117-119-121-123-190200-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB CHILTON
CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA
DALLAS ELMORE GREENE
HALE LOWNDES MARENGO
MONTGOMERY PERRY RANDOLPH
SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA
TALLAPOOSA
$$
MSC023-061-069-075-101-123-129-190200-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE JASPER KEMPER
LAUDERDALE NEWTON SCOTT
SMITH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 24
VALID 190045Z - 190140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW JAN
TO 30 E GAD TO 60 ENE RMG.
..SMITH..02/19/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-015-021-027-029-037-047-051-063-065-073-085-091-101-
105-107-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-190140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB CALHOUN
CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE
COOSA DALLAS ELMORE
GREENE HALE JEFFERSON
LOWNDES MARENGO MONTGOMERY
PERRY PICKENS RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA
$$
GAC015-129-143-223-233-190140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTOW GORDON HARALSON
PAULDING POLK
$$
MSC023-061-069-075-099-101-103-121-123-129-190140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE JASPER KEMPER
LAUDERDALE NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE RANKIN SCOTT
SMITH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 24
VALID 182355Z - 190040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW JAN
TO 25 NNW BHM TO 20 ESE CHA.
..SMITH..02/18/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-015-019-021-027-029-037-047-051-055-063-065-073-
085-091-101-105-107-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-190040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHILTON
CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA
DALLAS ELMORE ETOWAH
GREENE HALE JEFFERSON
LOWNDES MARENGO MONTGOMERY
PERRY PICKENS RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA
$$
GAC015-055-115-129-143-213-223-233-295-313-190040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTOW CHATTOOGA FLOYD
GORDON HARALSON MURRAY
PAULDING POLK WALKER
WHITFIELD
$$
MSC023-049-061-069-075-079-089-099-101-103-121-123-129-190040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE HINDS JASPER
KEMPER LAUDERDALE LEAKE
MADISON NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE RANKIN SCOTT
SMITH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 24
VALID 182230Z - 182340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N JAN TO
20 WNW RMG TO 20 WSW CHA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 127
..SMITH..02/18/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-015-019-021-027-029-037-047-051-055-063-065-073-
085-091-101-105-107-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-182340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHILTON
CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA
DALLAS ELMORE ETOWAH
GREENE HALE JEFFERSON
LOWNDES MARENGO MONTGOMERY
PERRY PICKENS RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA
$$
GAC015-047-055-083-115-129-143-213-223-233-295-313-182340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTOW CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
DADE FLOYD GORDON
HARALSON MURRAY PAULDING
POLK WALKER WHITFIELD
$$
MSC023-049-061-069-075-079-089-099-101-103-121-123-129-159-
182340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE HINDS JASPER
KEMPER LAUDERDALE LEAKE
MADISON NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE RANKIN SCOTT
SMITH WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 24
VALID 182135Z - 182240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE GWO TO
25 ENE CBM TO 45 W CHA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 127
..SMITH..02/18/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-015-019-021-027-029-037-043-047-049-051-055-057-
063-065-071-073-085-091-095-101-105-107-111-115-117-119-121-123-
125-127-182240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHILTON
CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA
CULLMAN DALLAS DEKALB
ELMORE ETOWAH FAYETTE
GREENE HALE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LOWNDES MARENGO
MARSHALL MONTGOMERY PERRY
PICKENS RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA
TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WALKER
$$
GAC015-047-055-083-115-129-143-213-223-233-295-313-182240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTOW CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
DADE FLOYD GORDON
HARALSON MURRAY PAULDING
POLK WALKER WHITFIELD
$$
MSC023-049-061-069-075-079-089-099-101-103-121-123-129-159-
182240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE HINDS JASPER
KEMPER LAUDERDALE LEAKE
MADISON NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE RANKIN SCOTT
SMITH WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 24
VALID 182050Z - 182140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW CBM
TO 25 NNW HSV.
..SMITH..02/18/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-015-019-021-027-029-037-043-047-049-051-055-057-
063-065-071-073-075-079-083-085-089-091-093-095-101-103-105-107-
111-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-182140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHILTON
CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA
CULLMAN DALLAS DEKALB
ELMORE ETOWAH FAYETTE
GREENE HALE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAMAR LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE LOWNDES MADISON
MARENGO MARION MARSHALL
MONTGOMERY MORGAN PERRY
PICKENS RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA
TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WALKER
WINSTON
$$
GAC015-047-055-083-115-129-143-213-223-233-295-313-182140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTOW CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
DADE FLOYD GORDON
HARALSON MURRAY PAULDING
POLK WALKER WHITFIELD
$$
MSC007-019-023-025-049-061-069-075-079-087-089-099-101-103-105-
121-123-129-159-182140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CHOCTAW CLARKE
CLAY HINDS JASPER
KEMPER LAUDERDALE LEAKE
LOWNDES MADISON NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
RANKIN SCOTT SMITH
WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 24
VALID 181945Z - 182040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..02/18/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 24
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-015-019-021-027-029-033-037-043-047-049-051-055-
057-059-063-065-071-073-075-077-079-083-085-089-091-093-095-101-
103-105-107-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-182040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHILTON
CLAY CLEBURNE COLBERT
COOSA CULLMAN DALLAS
DEKALB ELMORE ETOWAH
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE LOWNDES MADISON
MARENGO MARION MARSHALL
MONTGOMERY MORGAN PERRY
PICKENS RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA
TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WALKER
WINSTON
$$
GAC015-047-055-083-115-129-143-213-223-233-295-313-182040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTOW CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
DADE FLOYD GORDON
HARALSON MURRAY PAULDING
POLK WALKER WHITFIELD
$$
MSC007-019-023-025-049-057-061-069-075-079-087-089-095-099-101-
103-105-121-123-129-159-182040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CHOCTAW CLARKE
CLAY HINDS ITAWAMBA
JASPER KEMPER LAUDERDALE
LEAKE LOWNDES MADISON
MONROE NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA RANKIN
SCOTT SMITH WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.