Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 26
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CST.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF
DE QUEEN ARKANSAS TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DALLAS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 25...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS FROM DUA TO MWL HAS RECENTLY
INTENSIFIED LIKELY DUE TO INCREASED LOW-LEVEL UPLIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ARRIVAL OF COLD FRONT FROM THE NW/W. 00Z FWD SOUNDING IS
REPRESENTATIVE OF THE AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT...FEATURING A RATHER DEEP
LOW-LEVEL MOIST LAYER AND STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH MLCAPE OF
1000-1500 J/KG. KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR
UPDRAFT ROTATION GIVEN 40-50 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...AND A BRIEF
TORNADO REMAINS POSSIBLE AS CONVECTIVE LINE INTERACTS WITH WARM
FRONT PRESENT ACROSS SERN OK. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE PREDOMINANT
LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE AND TENDENCY FOR THE LLJ TO WEAKEN THROUGH
04/06Z ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...EXPECT SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS TO BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 26 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 040100Z - 040800Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NW DEQ/DE QUEEN AR/ - 25SW DAL/DALLAS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /50ESE MLC - 18SSW DFW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 34459366 32599594 32599836 34459612
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 26 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 26
VALID 040630Z - 040740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW TYR
TO 25 ENE DEQ TO 40 NE DEQ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 110.
..EDWARDS..02/04/12
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 26
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC063-159-343-387-449-459-499-040740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP FRANKLIN MORRIS
RED RIVER TITUS UPSHUR
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 26
VALID 040535Z - 040640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE DAL TO
35 NNE DEQ.
..COHEN..02/04/12
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 26
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC089-040640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC063-159-223-257-343-379-387-449-459-467-499-040640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP FRANKLIN HOPKINS
KAUFMAN MORRIS RAINS
RED RIVER TITUS UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 26
VALID 040425Z - 040540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S DAL TO
30 SSW RKR.
..COHEN..02/04/12
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 26
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC089-040540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC063-119-159-223-231-257-277-343-379-387-397-449-459-467-499-
040540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP DELTA FRANKLIN
HOPKINS HUNT KAUFMAN
LAMAR MORRIS RAINS
RED RIVER ROCKWALL TITUS
UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 26
VALID 040345Z - 040440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE FTW
TO 40 SW RKR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 108
..COHEN..02/04/12
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 26
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC023-089-127-040440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW MCCURTAIN PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC063-085-113-119-147-159-223-231-257-277-343-379-387-397-449-
459-467-499-040440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP COLLIN DALLAS
DELTA FANNIN FRANKLIN
HOPKINS HUNT KAUFMAN
LAMAR MORRIS RAINS
RED RIVER ROCKWALL TITUS
UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 26
VALID 040240Z - 040340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N SEP TO
25 S MLC.
..COHEN..02/04/12
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 26
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC023-089-127-040340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW MCCURTAIN PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC063-085-113-119-121-147-159-181-223-231-257-277-343-367-379-
387-397-439-449-459-467-499-040340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP COLLIN DALLAS
DELTA DENTON FANNIN
FRANKLIN GRAYSON HOPKINS
HUNT KAUFMAN LAMAR
MORRIS PARKER RAINS
RED RIVER ROCKWALL TARRANT
TITUS UPSHUR VAN ZANDT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 26
VALID 040130Z - 040240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..02/04/12
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 26
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC023-089-127-040240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW MCCURTAIN PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC063-085-097-113-119-121-147-159-181-223-231-257-277-343-367-
379-387-397-439-449-459-467-497-499-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
HOPKINS HUNT KAUFMAN
LAMAR MORRIS PARKER
RAINS RED RIVER ROCKWALL
TARRANT TITUS UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WISE WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.