SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 29
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1150 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHERN ALABAMA
          WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
          SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1150 AM UNTIL
   500 PM CST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
   PENSACOLA FLORIDA TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF PENSACOLA
   FLORIDA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 28...
   
   DISCUSSION...MESOLOW AND ASSOCIATED COMPACT SVR MCS CONTINUE TO
   TRACK EAST ALONG A WARM FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST LA. EXPECT THIS
   DISTURBANCE TO MOVE ACROSS THE DELTA TO MOBILE BAY OVER THE NEXT
   COUPLE OF HOURS AS LARGER SYNOPTIC LOW TAKES FORM ACROSS THE WRN
   GULF. WITH TRUE MARITIME TROPICAL AIRMASS REMAINING TO THE SOUTH OF
   THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX...OVERALL SVR STORM COVERAGE APPEARS TO HAVE
   DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. DESPITE THIS
   TREND...FORCED ASCENT WITH THE MESOLOW...AND ALONG THE WARM
   FRONT...WILL CONTINUE TO ACT ON A WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH AN
   INCREASING CHANCE THAT PARCELS BECOME SURFACE-BASED THIS AFTERNOON.
   MORE THAN ADEQUATE SHEAR AND FORCING SHOULD PERSIST WITH THE
   MESOSLOW AS IT SPREADS EAST TO SUPPORT EPISODES OF OCCASIONAL STORM
   INTENSIFICATION AND A CHANCE FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR
   TWO.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
   
   
   ...CARBIN

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 29
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1150 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHERN ALABAMA
          WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
          SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1150 AM UNTIL
   500 PM CST.
   
   SEVERAL TORNADOES
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH
   WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
   PENSACOLA FLORIDA TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF PENSACOLA
   FLORIDA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 28...
   
   DISCUSSION...MESOLOW AND ASSOCIATED COMPACT SVR MCS CONTINUE TO
   TRACK EAST ALONG A WARM FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST LA. EXPECT THIS
   DISTURBANCE TO MOVE ACROSS THE DELTA TO MOBILE BAY OVER THE NEXT
   COUPLE OF HOURS AS LARGER SYNOPTIC LOW TAKES FORM ACROSS THE WRN
   GULF. WITH TRUE MARITIME TROPICAL AIRMASS REMAINING TO THE SOUTH OF
   THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX...OVERALL SVR STORM COVERAGE APPEARS TO HAVE
   DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. DESPITE THIS
   TREND...FORCED ASCENT WITH THE MESOLOW...AND ALONG THE WARM
   FRONT...WILL CONTINUE TO ACT ON A WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH AN
   INCREASING CHANCE THAT PARCELS BECOME SURFACE-BASED THIS AFTERNOON.
   MORE THAN ADEQUATE SHEAR AND FORCING SHOULD PERSIST WITH THE
   MESOSLOW AS IT SPREADS EAST TO SUPPORT EPISODES OF OCCASIONAL STORM
   INTENSIFICATION AND A CHANCE FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR
   TWO.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
   
   
   ...CARBIN

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 29
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1150 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHERN ALABAMA
          WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
          SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1150 AM UNTIL
   500 PM CST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
   PENSACOLA FLORIDA TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF PENSACOLA
   FLORIDA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 28...
   
   DISCUSSION...MESOLOW AND ASSOCIATED COMPACT SVR MCS CONTINUE TO
   TRACK EAST ALONG A WARM FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST LA. EXPECT THIS
   DISTURBANCE TO MOVE ACROSS THE DELTA TO MOBILE BAY OVER THE NEXT
   COUPLE OF HOURS AS LARGER SYNOPTIC LOW TAKES FORM ACROSS THE WRN
   GULF. WITH TRUE MARITIME TROPICAL AIRMASS REMAINING TO THE SOUTH OF
   THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX...OVERALL SVR STORM COVERAGE APPEARS TO HAVE
   DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. DESPITE THIS
   TREND...FORCED ASCENT WITH THE MESOLOW...AND ALONG THE WARM
   FRONT...WILL CONTINUE TO ACT ON A WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH AN
   INCREASING CHANCE THAT PARCELS BECOME SURFACE-BASED THIS AFTERNOON.
   MORE THAN ADEQUATE SHEAR AND FORCING SHOULD PERSIST WITH THE
   MESOSLOW AS IT SPREADS EAST TO SUPPORT EPISODES OF OCCASIONAL STORM
   INTENSIFICATION AND A CHANCE FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR
   TWO.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
   
   
   ...CARBIN

   WOUS64 KWNS 181747
   WOU9
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 29
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1150 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
   
   TORNADO WATCH 29 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   ALC003-039-053-097-182300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0029.120218T1750Z-120218T2300Z/
   
   AL 
   .    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BALDWIN              COVINGTON           ESCAMBIA            
   MOBILE               
   
   
   FLC033-091-113-182300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0029.120218T1750Z-120218T2300Z/
   
   FL 
   .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ESCAMBIA             OKALOOSA            SANTA ROSA          
   
   
   MSC039-131-182300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0029.120218T1750Z-120218T2300Z/
   
   MS 
   .    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   GEORGE               STONE               
   
   
   GMZ630-650-655-182300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0029.120218T1750Z-120218T2300Z/
   
   CW 
   
   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
   
   MOBILE BAY 
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM 
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM 
   
   ATTN...WFO...MOB...
   
   
   

   SAW9 
   WW 29 TORNADO AL FL MS CW 181750Z - 182300Z
   AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   40SSW PNS/PENSACOLA FL/ - 55NNW PNS/PENSACOLA FL/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /66SW CEW - 49WNW CEW/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
   
   LAT...LON 29938859 31208872 31208634 29938626
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU9.
   

Watch 29 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 29

VALID 182140Z - 182240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..HURLBUT..02/18/12

ATTN...WFO...MOB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 29 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ALC003-039-053-097-182240-

AL 
.    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN 	     COVINGTON		 ESCAMBIA	     
MOBILE		     
$$


FLC033-091-113-182240-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESCAMBIA	     OKALOOSA		 SANTA ROSA	     
$$


MSC039-131-182240-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GEORGE		     STONE		 
$$


GMZ630-650-655-182240-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

MOBILE BAY 

COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 29

VALID 182035Z - 182140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 128

..HURLBUT..02/18/12

ATTN...WFO...MOB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 29 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ALC003-039-053-097-182140-

AL 
.    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN 	     COVINGTON		 ESCAMBIA	     
MOBILE		     
$$


FLC033-091-113-182140-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESCAMBIA	     OKALOOSA		 SANTA ROSA	     
$$


MSC039-131-182140-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GEORGE		     STONE		 
$$


GMZ630-650-655-182140-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

MOBILE BAY 

COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 29

VALID 181940Z - 182040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..HURLBUT..02/18/12

ATTN...WFO...MOB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 29 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ALC003-039-053-097-182040-

AL 
.    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN 	     COVINGTON		 ESCAMBIA	     
MOBILE		     
$$


FLC033-091-113-182040-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESCAMBIA	     OKALOOSA		 SANTA ROSA	     
$$


MSC039-131-182040-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GEORGE		     STONE		 
$$


GMZ630-650-655-182040-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

MOBILE BAY 

COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.