SEL0
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 30
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   155 AM EST THU FEB 19 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHERN FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
          SOUTH GEORGIA
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 155 AM UNTIL 900 AM EST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 145 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
   WAYCROSS GEORGIA TO 5 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA
   FLORIDA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 29. WATCH NUMBER 29 WILL NOT BE IN
   EFFECT AFTER 155 AM EST. CONTINUE...WW 26...WW 27...WW 28...
   
   DISCUSSION...SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
   AT LEAST 12Z ALONG LOOSELY-ORGANIZED PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE AXIS
   EXTENDING WSW FROM NEAR VAD.  ABSENCE OF STRONG LINEAR
   FORCING...LONG RESIDENCE TIMES OF STORMS IN SATELLITE-DERIVED PW
   AXIS...VERY STRONG/SLIGHTLY CURVED WIND PROFILES...AND EXPECTED
   STRENGTHENING OF WIND FIELD/ LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH CONTINUED
   AMPLIFICATION OF LARGER SCALE TROUGH SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR
   SEMI-DISCRETE SVR STORMS AND ISOLD STRONG TORNADOES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27045.
   
   
   ...CORFIDI

   SEL0
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 30
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   155 AM EST THU FEB 19 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHERN FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
          SOUTH GEORGIA
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 155 AM UNTIL 900 AM EST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 145 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
   WAYCROSS GEORGIA TO 5 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA
   FLORIDA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 29. WATCH NUMBER 29 WILL NOT BE IN
   EFFECT AFTER 155 AM EST. CONTINUE...WW 26...WW 27...WW 28...
   
   DISCUSSION...SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
   AT LEAST 12Z ALONG LOOSELY-ORGANIZED PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE AXIS
   EXTENDING WSW FROM NEAR VAD.  ABSENCE OF STRONG LINEAR
   FORCING...LONG RESIDENCE TIMES OF STORMS IN SATELLITE-DERIVED PW
   AXIS...VERY STRONG/SLIGHTLY CURVED WIND PROFILES...AND EXPECTED
   STRENGTHENING OF WIND FIELD/ LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH CONTINUED
   AMPLIFICATION OF LARGER SCALE TROUGH SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR
   SEMI-DISCRETE SVR STORMS AND ISOLD STRONG TORNADOES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27045.
   
   
   ...CORFIDI

   WOUS64 KWNS 190652
   WOU0
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 30
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   155 AM EST THU FEB 19 2009
   
   TORNADO WATCH 30 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM EST FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   FLC001-003-005-007-013-019-023-029-031-037-039-041-045-047-059-
   063-065-067-073-077-079-089-109-121-123-125-129-131-133-
   191400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0030.090219T0655Z-090219T1400Z/
   
   FL 
   .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ALACHUA              BAKER               BAY                 
   BRADFORD             CALHOUN             CLAY                
   COLUMBIA             DIXIE               DUVAL               
   FRANKLIN             GADSDEN             GILCHRIST           
   GULF                 HAMILTON            HOLMES              
   JACKSON              JEFFERSON           LAFAYETTE           
   LEON                 LIBERTY             MADISON             
   NASSAU               ST. JOHNS           SUWANNEE            
   TAYLOR               UNION               WAKULLA             
   WALTON               WASHINGTON          
   
   
   GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-037-039-049-065-069-071-075-
   087-095-099-101-127-131-155-161-173-177-185-201-205-229-253-273-
   275-277-287-299-305-321-191400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0030.090219T0655Z-090219T1400Z/
   
   GA 
   .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   APPLING              ATKINSON            BACON               
   BAKER                BEN HILL            BERRIEN             
   BRANTLEY             BROOKS              CALHOUN             
   CAMDEN               CHARLTON            CLINCH              
   COFFEE               COLQUITT            COOK                
   DECATUR              DOUGHERTY           EARLY               
   ECHOLS               GLYNN               GRADY               
   IRWIN                JEFF DAVIS          LANIER              
   LEE                  LOWNDES             MILLER              
   MITCHELL             PIERCE              SEMINOLE            
   TERRELL              THOMAS              TIFT                
   TURNER               WARE                WAYNE               
   WORTH                
   
   
   AMZ450-452-GMZ730-750-755-765-191400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0030.090219T0655Z-090219T1400Z/
   
   CW 
   
   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
   NM 
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
   NM 
   
   APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
   RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM 
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM 
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
   20 NM 
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 
   
   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...
   
   
   

   SAW0 
   WW 30 TORNADO FL GA CW 190655Z - 191400Z
   AXIS..145 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   35ENE AYS/WAYCROSS GA/ - 5WSW AAF/APALACHICOLA FL/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 125NM E/W /34E AMG - 64SW TLH/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27045.
   
   REPLACES WW 29..GA CW 
   
   LAT...LON 31427938 29688269 29688751 31428430
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU0.
   

Watch 30 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 30

VALID 191235Z - 191340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW CTY
TO 25 NW GNV TO 25 SSW JAX.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 138.

..PETERS..02/19/09

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 30 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-007-019-029-031-041-109-191340-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA 	     BRADFORD		 CLAY		     
DIXIE		     DUVAL		 GILCHRIST	     
ST. JOHNS	     
$$


AMZ452-GMZ765-191340-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 30

VALID 191130Z - 191240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE TLH
TO 25 NNE CTY TO 35 WSW JAX TO 20 ENE JAX TO 30 NE SSI.

..PETERS..02/19/09

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 30 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-041-067-109-121-125-191240-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA 	     BAKER		 BRADFORD	     
CLAY		     COLUMBIA		 DIXIE		     
DUVAL		     GILCHRIST		 LAFAYETTE	     
ST. JOHNS	     SUWANNEE		 UNION		     
$$


AMZ450-452-GMZ765-191240-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 30

VALID 191045Z - 191140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WSW AAF TO
30 SE TLH TO 30 SSE VLD TO 20 SE AYS TO 25 NNW SSI.

..PETERS..02/19/09

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 30 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-037-041-047-067-089-109-121-123-
125-191140-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA 	     BAKER		 BRADFORD	     
CLAY		     COLUMBIA		 DIXIE		     
DUVAL		     FRANKLIN		 GILCHRIST	     
HAMILTON	     LAFAYETTE		 NASSAU 	     
ST. JOHNS	     SUWANNEE		 TAYLOR 	     
UNION		     
$$


GAC025-039-049-127-191140-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRANTLEY	     CAMDEN		 CHARLTON	     
GLYNN		     
$$


AMZ450-452-GMZ730-750-755-765-191140-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM 

APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 30

VALID 190930Z - 191040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SW PFN TO
20 ESE PFN TO 15 NNW TLH TO 25 N VLD TO 25 WNW AYS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 137.

..PETERS..02/19/09

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 30 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-037-039-041-045-047-065-067-073-
077-079-089-109-121-123-125-129-191040-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA 	     BAKER		 BRADFORD	     
CLAY		     COLUMBIA		 DIXIE		     
DUVAL		     FRANKLIN		 GADSDEN	     
GILCHRIST	     GULF		 HAMILTON	     
JEFFERSON	     LAFAYETTE		 LEON		     
LIBERTY 	     MADISON		 NASSAU 	     
ST. JOHNS	     SUWANNEE		 TAYLOR 	     
UNION		     WAKULLA		 
$$


GAC001-003-005-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-101-127-161-173-185-
229-275-299-305-191040-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

APPLING 	     ATKINSON		 BACON		     
BERRIEN 	     BRANTLEY		 BROOKS 	     
CAMDEN		     CHARLTON		 CLINCH 	     
COFFEE		     ECHOLS		 GLYNN		     
JEFF DAVIS	     LANIER		 LOWNDES	     
PIERCE		     THOMAS		 WARE		     
WAYNE		     
$$


AMZ450-452-GMZ730-750-755-765-191040-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM 

APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 30

VALID 190850Z - 190940Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE PNS
TO 45 S CEW TO 35 S CEW.

..PETERS..02/19/09

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 30 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-003-005-007-013-019-023-029-031-037-039-041-045-047-059-
063-065-067-073-077-079-089-109-121-123-125-129-131-133-
190940-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA 	     BAKER		 BAY		     
BRADFORD	     CALHOUN		 CLAY		     
COLUMBIA	     DIXIE		 DUVAL		     
FRANKLIN	     GADSDEN		 GILCHRIST	     
GULF		     HAMILTON		 HOLMES 	     
JACKSON 	     JEFFERSON		 LAFAYETTE	     
LEON		     LIBERTY		 MADISON	     
NASSAU		     ST. JOHNS		 SUWANNEE	     
TAYLOR		     UNION		 WAKULLA	     
WALTON		     WASHINGTON 	 
$$


GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-071-075-087-
095-101-127-131-155-161-173-185-201-205-229-253-275-277-299-305-
321-190940-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

APPLING 	     ATKINSON		 BACON		     
BAKER		     BEN HILL		 BERRIEN	     
BRANTLEY	     BROOKS		 CAMDEN 	     
CHARLTON	     CLINCH		 COFFEE 	     
COLQUITT	     COOK		 DECATUR	     
DOUGHERTY	     ECHOLS		 GLYNN		     
GRADY		     IRWIN		 JEFF DAVIS	     
LANIER		     LOWNDES		 MILLER 	     
MITCHELL	     PIERCE		 SEMINOLE	     
THOMAS		     TIFT		 WARE		     
WAYNE		     WORTH		 
$$


AMZ450-452-GMZ730-750-755-765-190940-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM 

APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.