Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 31
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Oklahoma
West-central and western North Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are slowly intensifying in vicinity of a
dryline over western Oklahoma and west Texas. This activity will
track eastward through the afternoon and early evening, posing a
risk of large hail and damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles south of San
Angelo TX to 40 miles east northeast of Alva OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 30...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Hart
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 31
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Oklahoma
West-central and western North Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are slowly intensifying in vicinity of a
dryline over western Oklahoma and west Texas. This activity will
track eastward through the afternoon and early evening, posing a
risk of large hail and damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles south of San
Angelo TX to 40 miles east northeast of Alva OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 30...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 31 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 072100Z - 080400Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20S SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/ - 40ENE AVK/ALVA OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /18S SJT - 39N END/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 31080143 36999900 36999700 31089957
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 31 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 31
VALID 080240Z - 080340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WSW SJT
TO 45 E BGS TO 55 NW ABI TO 15 SE LTS TO 20 W CHK TO 35 NW CQB.
..THORNTON..03/08/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC027-031-033-049-051-067-087-109-137-141-080340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
GARVIN GRADY JEFFERSON
MCCLAIN OKLAHOMA STEPHENS
TILLMAN
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-095-133-151-207-235-253-275-307-
353-399-417-429-431-441-447-451-485-487-503-080340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO EASTLAND
FISHER HASKELL IRION
JONES KNOX MCCULLOCH
NOLAN RUNNELS SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STERLING TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN WICHITA
WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 31
VALID 080140Z - 080240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N CDS TO
25 ENE CSM TO 25 NNW OKC TO 25 N PNC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 200
..THORNTON..03/08/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-027-031-033-049-051-055-057-065-067-075-083-087-103-
109-137-141-149-080240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON JEFFERSON KIOWA
LOGAN MCCLAIN NOBLE
OKLAHOMA STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-095-101-133-151-155-173-197-207-
235-253-269-275-307-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-
451-485-487-503-080240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO COTTLE
EASTLAND FISHER FOARD
GLASSCOCK HARDEMAN HASKELL
IRION JONES KING
KNOX MCCULLOCH MITCHELL
NOLAN REAGAN RUNNELS
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN WICHITA
WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 31
VALID 080045Z - 080140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N CDS TO
30 ENE CSM TO 10 WSW PNC TO 25 N PNC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 200
..THORNTON..03/08/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-027-031-033-049-051-055-057-065-067-073-075-083-087-
103-109-137-141-149-080140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON JEFFERSON KINGFISHER
KIOWA LOGAN MCCLAIN
NOBLE OKLAHOMA STEPHENS
TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-095-101-133-151-155-173-197-207-
235-253-269-275-307-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-
451-485-487-503-080140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO COTTLE
EASTLAND FISHER FOARD
GLASSCOCK HARDEMAN HASKELL
IRION JONES KING
KNOX MCCULLOCH MITCHELL
NOLAN REAGAN RUNNELS
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN WICHITA
WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 31
VALID 072340Z - 080040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CDS
TO 15 W CSM TO 25 SW AVK TO 30 WSW P28.
..THORNTON..03/07/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-027-031-033-039-043-047-049-051-055-057-065-067-
073-075-083-087-093-103-109-137-141-149-151-080040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAJOR NOBLE
OKLAHOMA STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODS
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-095-101-133-151-155-173-197-207-
235-253-269-275-307-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-
451-485-487-503-080040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO COTTLE
EASTLAND FISHER FOARD
GLASSCOCK HARDEMAN HASKELL
IRION JONES KING
KNOX MCCULLOCH MITCHELL
NOLAN REAGAN RUNNELS
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN WICHITA
WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 31
VALID 072250Z - 072340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CDS
TO 15 W CSM TO 25 SW AVK TO 30 WSW P28.
..THORNTON..03/07/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-027-031-033-039-043-047-049-051-055-057-065-067-
073-075-083-087-093-103-109-137-141-149-151-072340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAJOR NOBLE
OKLAHOMA STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODS
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-095-101-133-151-155-173-197-207-
235-253-269-275-307-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-
451-485-487-503-072340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO COTTLE
EASTLAND FISHER FOARD
GLASSCOCK HARDEMAN HASKELL
IRION JONES KING
KNOX MCCULLOCH MITCHELL
NOLAN REAGAN RUNNELS
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN WICHITA
WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 31
VALID 072125Z - 072240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..03/07/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-027-031-033-039-043-047-049-051-055-057-065-
067-073-075-083-087-093-103-109-129-137-141-149-151-153-
072240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER DEWEY
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
JEFFERSON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR
NOBLE OKLAHOMA ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-095-101-133-151-155-173-197-207-
235-253-269-275-307-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-
451-485-487-503-072240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO COTTLE
EASTLAND FISHER FOARD
GLASSCOCK HARDEMAN HASKELL
IRION JONES KING
KNOX MCCULLOCH MITCHELL
NOLAN REAGAN RUNNELS
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN WICHITA
WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.