Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 37
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1205 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
NORTHWEST FLORIDA
SOUTHERN GEORGIA
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1205 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON
SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 35...WW 36...
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG THE RAPIDLY
ADVANCING COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS
DEVELOPING IN THE WARM SECTOR IN A WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. STRONG SWLY WINDS ALOFT ARE RESULTING IN VERY STRONG
LOW- AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING
SUPERCELLS. CONTINUED DIURNAL HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 1000 J/KG. THREAT FOR
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SEVERAL TORNADOES WILL INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ENDING FROM THE NORTHWEST AS THE FRONT MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...WEISS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 37 TORNADO AL FL GA SC CW 241705Z - 250100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
25NNW PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/ - 25ESE CHS/CHARLESTON SC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /46ESE CEW - 22ESE CHS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
LAT...LON 31378619 33587998 31947927 29738550
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 37 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 37
VALID 242330Z - 250040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW AYS
TO 35 NNE CHS.
..MOSIER..02/24/12
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 37
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC025-029-039-049-051-127-179-191-305-250040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY BRYAN CAMDEN
CHARLTON CHATHAM GLYNN
LIBERTY MCINTOSH WAYNE
$$
SCC013-015-019-250040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERKELEY CHARLESTON
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-250040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 37
VALID 242245Z - 242340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E VLD TO
15 SSW OGB.
..MOSIER..02/24/12
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 37
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC025-029-039-049-051-103-127-179-183-191-229-299-305-242340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY BRYAN CAMDEN
CHARLTON CHATHAM EFFINGHAM
GLYNN LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH PIERCE WARE
WAYNE
$$
SCC013-015-019-029-035-049-053-242340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERKELEY CHARLESTON
COLLETON DORCHESTER HAMPTON
JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-242340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 37
VALID 242145Z - 242240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S PFN TO
35 SW OGB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 159
..COHEN..02/24/12
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 37
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC065-073-079-129-242240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON LEON MADISON
WAKULLA
$$
GAC001-003-005-025-027-029-031-039-043-049-051-065-069-101-103-
109-127-161-165-173-179-183-185-191-209-229-251-267-271-279-299-
305-309-242240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN
BULLOCH CAMDEN CANDLER
CHARLTON CHATHAM CLINCH
COFFEE ECHOLS EFFINGHAM
EVANS GLYNN JEFF DAVIS
JENKINS LANIER LIBERTY
LONG LOWNDES MCINTOSH
MONTGOMERY PIERCE SCREVEN
TATTNALL TELFAIR TOOMBS
WARE WAYNE WHEELER
$$
SCC005-013-015-019-029-035-049-053-242240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BEAUFORT BERKELEY
CHARLESTON COLLETON DORCHESTER
HAMPTON JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-242240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 37
VALID 242025Z - 242140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW PFN TO
20 SE MCN.
..COHEN..02/24/12
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 37
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-129-133-242140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON WAKULLA WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-029-031-037-039-043-049-051-
065-069-071-075-081-087-095-099-101-103-109-127-131-155-161-165-
173-177-179-183-185-191-201-205-209-229-251-253-267-271-275-277-
279-287-299-305-309-315-321-242140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN
BULLOCH CALHOUN CAMDEN
CANDLER CHARLTON CHATHAM
CLINCH COFFEE COLQUITT
COOK CRISP DECATUR
DOUGHERTY EARLY ECHOLS
EFFINGHAM EVANS GLYNN
GRADY IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
JENKINS LANIER LEE
LIBERTY LONG LOWNDES
MCINTOSH MILLER MITCHELL
MONTGOMERY PIERCE SCREVEN
SEMINOLE TATTNALL TELFAIR
THOMAS TIFT TOOMBS
TURNER WARE WAYNE
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
SCC005-013-015-019-029-035-049-053-242140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BEAUFORT BERKELEY
CHARLESTON COLLETON DORCHESTER
HAMPTON JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-242140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 37
VALID 241935Z - 242040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E CEW TO
35 SSW MCN.
..KERR..02/24/12
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 37
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC069-242040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-065-073-077-079-129-131-133-
242040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON
LIBERTY MADISON WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-029-031-037-039-043-049-051-
061-065-069-071-075-081-087-095-099-101-103-109-127-131-155-161-
165-173-177-179-183-185-191-201-205-209-229-243-251-253-267-271-
273-275-277-279-287-299-305-309-315-321-242040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN
BULLOCH CALHOUN CAMDEN
CANDLER CHARLTON CHATHAM
CLAY CLINCH COFFEE
COLQUITT COOK CRISP
DECATUR DOUGHERTY EARLY
ECHOLS EFFINGHAM EVANS
GLYNN GRADY IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS JENKINS LANIER
LEE LIBERTY LONG
LOWNDES MCINTOSH MILLER
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY PIERCE
RANDOLPH SCREVEN SEMINOLE
TATTNALL TELFAIR TERRELL
THOMAS TIFT TOOMBS
TURNER WARE WAYNE
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
SCC005-013-015-019-029-035-049-053-242040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BEAUFORT BERKELEY
CHARLESTON COLLETON DORCHESTER
HAMPTON JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-242040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 37
VALID 241850Z - 241940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E CEW TO
40 NW ABY.
..SPC..02/24/12
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 37
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC069-241940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-065-073-077-079-129-131-133-
241940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON
LIBERTY MADISON WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-029-031-037-039-043-049-051-
061-065-069-071-075-081-087-095-099-101-103-109-127-131-155-161-
165-173-177-179-183-185-191-201-205-209-229-243-251-253-267-271-
273-275-277-279-287-299-305-309-315-321-241940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN
BULLOCH CALHOUN CAMDEN
CANDLER CHARLTON CHATHAM
CLAY CLINCH COFFEE
COLQUITT COOK CRISP
DECATUR DOUGHERTY EARLY
ECHOLS EFFINGHAM EVANS
GLYNN GRADY IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS JENKINS LANIER
LEE LIBERTY LONG
LOWNDES MCINTOSH MILLER
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY PIERCE
RANDOLPH SCREVEN SEMINOLE
TATTNALL TELFAIR TERRELL
THOMAS TIFT TOOMBS
TURNER WARE WAYNE
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
SCC005-013-015-019-029-035-049-053-241940-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BEAUFORT BERKELEY
CHARLESTON COLLETON DORCHESTER
HAMPTON JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-241940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 37
VALID 241750Z - 241840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..02/24/12
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 37
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-241840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-065-073-077-079-129-131-133-
241840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON
LIBERTY MADISON WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-029-031-037-039-043-049-051-
061-065-069-071-075-081-087-095-099-101-103-109-127-131-155-161-
165-173-177-179-183-185-191-201-205-209-229-239-243-251-253-267-
271-273-275-277-279-287-299-305-309-315-321-241840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN
BULLOCH CALHOUN CAMDEN
CANDLER CHARLTON CHATHAM
CLAY CLINCH COFFEE
COLQUITT COOK CRISP
DECATUR DOUGHERTY EARLY
ECHOLS EFFINGHAM EVANS
GLYNN GRADY IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS JENKINS LANIER
LEE LIBERTY LONG
LOWNDES MCINTOSH MILLER
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY PIERCE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SCREVEN
SEMINOLE TATTNALL TELFAIR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TURNER WARE
WAYNE WHEELER WILCOX
WORTH
$$
SCC005-013-015-019-029-035-049-053-241840-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BEAUFORT BERKELEY
CHARLESTON COLLETON DORCHESTER
HAMPTON JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-241840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.