SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 38
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   520 PM CST THU FEB 21 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 520 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
   TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST OF NATCHEZ
   MISSISSIPPI TO 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 37...
   
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED W OF HEZ AND JUST SW OF
   JAN...ALONG OR JUST TO THE N OF A WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD THROUGH SRN
   MS.  GIVEN THE MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION INVOF OF WARM FRONT WHICH
   IS COINCIDENT WITH ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...THE
   POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A
   TORNADO OR TWO.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 38
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   520 PM CST THU FEB 21 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 520 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CST.
   
   SEVERAL TORNADOES
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST OF NATCHEZ
   MISSISSIPPI TO 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 37...
   
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED W OF HEZ AND JUST SW OF
   JAN...ALONG OR JUST TO THE N OF A WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD THROUGH SRN
   MS.  GIVEN THE MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION INVOF OF WARM FRONT WHICH
   IS COINCIDENT WITH ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...THE
   POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A
   TORNADO OR TWO.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 38
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   520 PM CST THU FEB 21 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 520 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
   TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST OF NATCHEZ
   MISSISSIPPI TO 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 37...
   
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED W OF HEZ AND JUST SW OF
   JAN...ALONG OR JUST TO THE N OF A WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD THROUGH SRN
   MS.  GIVEN THE MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION INVOF OF WARM FRONT WHICH
   IS COINCIDENT WITH ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...THE
   POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A
   TORNADO OR TWO.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   WOUS64 KWNS 212316
   WOU8
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 38
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   520 PM CST THU FEB 21 2013
   
   TORNADO WATCH 38 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   MSC001-005-021-029-031-035-037-063-065-067-073-077-085-091-113-
   127-129-147-157-220500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0038.130221T2320Z-130222T0500Z/
   
   MS 
   .    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ADAMS                AMITE               CLAIBORNE           
   COPIAH               COVINGTON           FORREST             
   FRANKLIN             JEFFERSON           JEFFERSON DAVIS     
   JONES                LAMAR               LAWRENCE            
   LINCOLN              MARION              PIKE                
   SIMPSON              SMITH               WALTHALL            
   WILKINSON            
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
   
   
   

   SAW8 
   WW 38 TORNADO MS 212320Z - 220500Z
   AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   15W HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/ - 15ENE PIB/PINE BELT MS/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /53ENE AEX - 52SSW MEI/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
   
   LAT...LON 32209155 32138908 30968908 31049155
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU8.
   

Watch 38 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 38

VALID 220325Z - 220440Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW HEZ
TO 20 E HEZ TO 15 SW JAN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 198.

..PETERS..02/22/13

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MSC005-029-031-035-037-065-067-073-077-085-091-113-127-129-147-
157-220440-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AMITE		     COPIAH		 COVINGTON	     
FORREST 	     FRANKLIN		 JEFFERSON DAVIS     
JONES		     LAMAR		 LAWRENCE	     
LINCOLN 	     MARION		 PIKE		     
SIMPSON 	     SMITH		 WALTHALL	     
WILKINSON	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 38

VALID 220240Z - 220340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW HEZ
TO 30 WSW JAN.

..PETERS..02/22/13

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MSC005-029-031-035-037-065-067-073-077-085-091-113-127-129-147-
157-220340-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AMITE		     COPIAH		 COVINGTON	     
FORREST 	     FRANKLIN		 JEFFERSON DAVIS     
JONES		     LAMAR		 LAWRENCE	     
LINCOLN 	     MARION		 PIKE		     
SIMPSON 	     SMITH		 WALTHALL	     
WILKINSON	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 38

VALID 220135Z - 220240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW HEZ
TO 40 WSW JAN.

..PETERS..02/22/13

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MSC001-005-021-029-031-035-037-063-065-067-073-077-085-091-113-
127-129-147-157-220240-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     AMITE		 CLAIBORNE	     
COPIAH		     COVINGTON		 FORREST	     
FRANKLIN	     JEFFERSON		 JEFFERSON DAVIS     
JONES		     LAMAR		 LAWRENCE	     
LINCOLN 	     MARION		 PIKE		     
SIMPSON 	     SMITH		 WALTHALL	     
WILKINSON	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 38

VALID 220050Z - 220140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..PETERS..02/22/13

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MSC001-005-021-029-031-035-037-063-065-067-073-077-085-091-113-
127-129-147-157-220140-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     AMITE		 CLAIBORNE	     
COPIAH		     COVINGTON		 FORREST	     
FRANKLIN	     JEFFERSON		 JEFFERSON DAVIS     
JONES		     LAMAR		 LAWRENCE	     
LINCOLN 	     MARION		 PIKE		     
SIMPSON 	     SMITH		 WALTHALL	     
WILKINSON	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.