Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 40
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
720 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 720 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
CLARKSVILLE TENNESSEE TO 85 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF NASHVILLE
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 35...WW 36...WW 37...WW
38...WW 39...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS OVER WESTERN TN AND
NORTHEAST MS WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS WATCH AREA THIS
EVENING. VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES AND SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN A RISK OF TORNADOES...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND HAIL THROUGH FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS. FARTHER
WEST...SQUALL LINE OVER AR WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT REGION AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 40 TORNADO TN 060120Z - 060700Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15ENE CKV/CLARKSVILLE TN/ - 85SSW BNA/NASHVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /38WSW BWG - 21NNE MSL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 36688636 34998645 34998805 36688798
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 40 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 40
VALID 060645Z - 060740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E MKL TO
45 SW CKV TO 25 SW CKV TO CKV TO 20 ENE CKV.
..EDWARDS..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 40
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC021-037-043-055-081-083-085-099-101-111-117-119-125-135-147-
149-165-169-181-187-189-060740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEATHAM DAVIDSON DICKSON
GILES HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAWRENCE LEWIS
MACON MARSHALL MAURY
MONTGOMERY PERRY ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SUMNER TROUSDALE
WAYNE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 40
VALID 060535Z - 060640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 40
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC005-021-037-043-055-081-083-085-099-101-111-117-119-125-135-
147-149-161-165-169-181-187-189-060640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CHEATHAM DAVIDSON
DICKSON GILES HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS LAWRENCE
LEWIS MACON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY PERRY
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD STEWART
SUMNER TROUSDALE WAYNE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 40
VALID 060440Z - 060540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 40
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC005-021-037-043-055-081-083-085-099-101-111-117-119-125-135-
147-149-161-165-169-181-187-189-060540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CHEATHAM DAVIDSON
DICKSON GILES HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS LAWRENCE
LEWIS MACON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY PERRY
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD STEWART
SUMNER TROUSDALE WAYNE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 40
VALID 060340Z - 060440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 40
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC005-021-037-043-055-081-083-085-099-101-111-117-119-125-135-
147-149-161-165-169-181-187-189-060440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CHEATHAM DAVIDSON
DICKSON GILES HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS LAWRENCE
LEWIS MACON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY PERRY
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD STEWART
SUMNER TROUSDALE WAYNE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 40
VALID 060250Z - 060340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 40
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC005-021-037-043-055-081-083-085-099-101-111-117-119-125-135-
147-149-161-165-169-181-187-189-060340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CHEATHAM DAVIDSON
DICKSON GILES HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS LAWRENCE
LEWIS MACON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY PERRY
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD STEWART
SUMNER TROUSDALE WAYNE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.