Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 42
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
PARTS OF FLORIDA PANHANDLE
LARGE PART OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1140 AM UNTIL
700 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CRESTVIEW FLORIDA TO 60 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF VIDALIA GEORGIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 41. WATCH NUMBER 41 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1140
AM EST.
DISCUSSION...LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS FROM
CENTRAL GA SWWD WRN FL PANHANDLE WILL SLOWLY DEVELOP EWD THRU THE
AFTERNOON. AIR MASS IN ADVANCE OF LINE IS DESTABILIZING AND
BECOMING SUPPORTIVE OF MORE DISCRETE STORM FORMATION AS MLCAPES
CLIMB TO 1000 J/KG. STRONG SHEAR PROFILES WILL CONTINUED THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND AT LEAST ISOLATED TORNADOES...PARTICULARLY WITH
ANY SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 42 TORNADO AL FL GA 281640Z - 010000Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
10NW CEW/CRESTVIEW FL/ - 60ENE VDI/VIDALIA GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /4NE CEW - 27NW SAV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
REPLACES WW 41..GA
LAT...LON 31688663 33318141 31718141 30098663
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 42 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 42
VALID 282135Z - 282240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE PNS TO
5 SSW TOI TO 15 NW SAV.
..KERR..02/28/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...JAX...FFC...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 42
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-282240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-073-077-129-131-133-282240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON LEON LIBERTY
WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-029-037-049-051-061-065-069-
071-075-087-095-099-101-109-131-155-161-173-177-179-183-185-191-
201-205-229-239-243-253-267-273-275-277-287-299-305-321-
282240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN
CALHOUN CHARLTON CHATHAM
CLAY CLINCH COFFEE
COLQUITT COOK DECATUR
DOUGHERTY EARLY ECHOLS
EVANS GRADY IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS LANIER LEE
LIBERTY LONG LOWNDES
MCINTOSH MILLER MITCHELL
PIERCE QUITMAN RANDOLPH
SEMINOLE TATTNALL TERRELL
THOMAS TIFT TURNER
WARE WAYNE WORTH
$$
AMZ354-282240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
AMZ354
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 42
VALID 282045Z - 282140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE PNS TO
5 SW TOI TO 15 NW SAV.
..KERR..02/28/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...JAX...FFC...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 42
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-282140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-059-063-131-133-282140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN HOLMES
JACKSON WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-029-037-051-061-069-071-075-087-095-
099-109-131-155-161-177-179-183-191-201-205-239-243-253-267-273-
275-277-287-305-321-282140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRYAN CALHOUN CHATHAM
CLAY COFFEE COLQUITT
COOK DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY EVANS GRADY
IRWIN JEFF DAVIS LEE
LIBERTY LONG MCINTOSH
MILLER MITCHELL QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SEMINOLE TATTNALL
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WAYNE WORTH
$$
AMZ354-282140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
AMZ354
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 42
VALID 281940Z - 282040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..02/28/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...JAX...FFC...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 42
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-282040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-059-063-091-131-133-282040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN HOLMES
JACKSON OKALOOSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-029-031-033-037-043-061-069-071-075-
081-087-091-095-099-107-109-131-155-161-165-167-175-177-179-183-
201-205-209-239-243-245-251-253-267-271-273-275-277-279-283-287-
305-309-315-321-282040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRYAN BULLOCH BURKE
CALHOUN CANDLER CLAY
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DECATUR DODGE
DOUGHERTY EARLY EMANUEL
EVANS GRADY IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS JENKINS JOHNSON
LAURENS LEE LIBERTY
LONG MILLER MITCHELL
MONTGOMERY QUITMAN RANDOLPH
RICHMOND SCREVEN SEMINOLE
TATTNALL TELFAIR TERRELL
THOMAS TIFT TOOMBS
TREUTLEN TURNER WAYNE
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 42
VALID 281900Z - 282040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..02/28/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...JAX...FFC...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 42
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-039-045-061-067-069-282040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE COVINGTON DALE
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-059-063-091-131-133-282040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN HOLMES
JACKSON OKALOOSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-023-029-031-033-037-043-053-061-069-
071-075-081-087-091-093-095-099-107-109-125-131-153-155-161-163-
165-167-175-177-179-183-193-197-201-205-209-225-235-239-243-245-
249-251-253-259-261-267-271-273-275-277-279-283-287-289-303-305-
307-309-315-319-321-282040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BLECKLEY BRYAN BULLOCH
BURKE CALHOUN CANDLER
CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY COFFEE
COLQUITT COOK CRISP
DECATUR DODGE DOOLY
DOUGHERTY EARLY EMANUEL
EVANS GLASCOCK GRADY
HOUSTON IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
JEFFERSON JENKINS JOHNSON
LAURENS LEE LIBERTY
LONG MACON MARION
MILLER MITCHELL MONTGOMERY
PEACH PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH RICHMOND SCHLEY
SCREVEN SEMINOLE STEWART
SUMTER TATTNALL TELFAIR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TURNER
TWIGGS WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER WHEELER WILCOX
WILKINSON WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 42
VALID 281755Z - 281840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..02/28/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...JAX...FFC...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 42
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-039-045-061-067-069-281840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE COVINGTON DALE
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-059-063-091-131-133-281840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN HOLMES
JACKSON OKALOOSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-023-029-031-033-037-043-053-061-069-
071-075-081-087-091-093-095-099-107-109-125-131-153-155-161-163-
165-167-175-177-179-183-193-197-201-205-209-225-235-239-243-245-
249-251-253-259-261-267-271-273-275-277-279-283-287-289-303-305-
307-309-315-319-321-281840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BLECKLEY BRYAN BULLOCH
BURKE CALHOUN CANDLER
CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY COFFEE
COLQUITT COOK CRISP
DECATUR DODGE DOOLY
DOUGHERTY EARLY EMANUEL
EVANS GLASCOCK GRADY
HOUSTON IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
JEFFERSON JENKINS JOHNSON
LAURENS LEE LIBERTY
LONG MACON MARION
MILLER MITCHELL MONTGOMERY
PEACH PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH RICHMOND SCHLEY
SCREVEN SEMINOLE STEWART
SUMTER TATTNALL TELFAIR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TURNER
TWIGGS WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER WHEELER WILCOX
WILKINSON WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.