Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 42
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN OHIO
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1240 AM UNTIL 600 AM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 95 MILES NORTHEAST OF
CINCINNATI OHIO TO 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LONDON KENTUCKY. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 37...WW 39...WW 40...WW
41...
DISCUSSION...INTENSE SQUALL LINE IS MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF
KY/IND AND INTO WATCH AREA. THESE STORMS WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF
WIDESPREAD STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT.
ALSO...ISOLATED SUPERCELL STORMS AHEAD OF THE LINE WILL BE CAPABLE
OF HAIL AND TORNADOES...MAINLY OVER KY AND FAR SOUTHERN PARTS OF OH.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 42 TORNADO KY OH 060540Z - 061100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
95NE LUK/CINCINNATI OH/ - 45SW LOZ/LONDON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /26W APE - 36SW LOZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 40068201 36618356 36618573 40068427
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 42 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 42
VALID 061045Z - 061100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N CSV TO
20 NNW LOZ TO 20 ENE JKL.
REMAINDER WW 42 SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 061100Z.
..EDWARDS..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 42
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC025-051-109-121-125-147-189-199-203-231-235-061100-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREATHITT CLAY JACKSON
KNOX LAUREL MCCREARY
OWSLEY PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
WAYNE WHITLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 42
VALID 060840Z - 060940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE BWG
TO 45 SSW LEX TO 30 NNE LOZ TO 20 ENE JKL.
..EVANS..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 42
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-009-025-045-051-053-057-109-121-125-137-147-169-171-
189-199-203-207-231-235-060940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BREATHITT CASEY CLAY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND JACKSON
KNOX LAUREL LINCOLN
MCCREARY METCALFE MONROE
OWSLEY PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
RUSSELL WAYNE WHITLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 42
VALID 060745Z - 060840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE SDF
TO 35 N LOZ TO 40 WSW HTS TO 45 WSW UNI TO 30 SSW CMH TO 10 NNW
CMH.
..EVANS..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 42
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-009-019-025-043-045-051-053-057-063-089-109-115-121-
125-127-129-137-147-153-169-171-175-189-199-203-207-231-235-237-
060840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BOYD BREATHITT CARTER
CASEY CLAY CLINTON
CUMBERLAND ELLIOTT GREENUP
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOX
LAUREL LAWRENCE LEE
LINCOLN MCCREARY MAGOFFIN
METCALFE MONROE MORGAN
OWSLEY PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
RUSSELL WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
OHC009-045-049-053-073-079-087-089-105-115-127-129-131-141-145-
163-060840-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS FAIRFIELD FRANKLIN
GALLIA HOCKING JACKSON
LAWRENCE LICKING MEIGS
MORGAN PERRY PICKAWAY
PIKE ROSS SCIOTO
VINTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 42
VALID 060635Z - 060740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE BWG
TO 30 SSW LEX TO 30 NNE LEX TO 5 SW LUK TO 20 SSW DAY TO 5 SE DAY
TO 35 ENE DAY.
..EDWARDS..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 42
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-009-011-017-019-023-025-043-045-049-051-053-057-063-
065-067-069-079-089-097-109-113-115-121-125-127-129-135-137-147-
151-153-161-165-169-171-173-175-181-189-197-199-201-203-205-207-
231-235-237-060740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BATH BOURBON BOYD
BRACKEN BREATHITT CARTER
CASEY CLARK CLAY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND ELLIOTT
ESTILL FAYETTE FLEMING
GARRARD GREENUP HARRISON
JACKSON JESSAMINE JOHNSON
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LEWIS LINCOLN
MCCREARY MADISON MAGOFFIN
MASON MENIFEE METCALFE
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NICHOLAS OWSLEY POWELL
PULASKI ROBERTSON ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN RUSSELL WAYNE
WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
OHC001-009-015-027-045-047-049-053-057-071-073-079-087-089-097-
105-115-127-129-131-141-145-163-060740-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATHENS BROWN
CLINTON FAIRFIELD FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLIA GREENE
HIGHLAND HOCKING JACKSON
LAWRENCE LICKING MADISON
MEIGS MORGAN PERRY
PICKAWAY PIKE ROSS
SCIOTO VINTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.