Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 43
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
NORTHERN FLORIDA AND THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE
PANHANDLE
PANHANDLE
PANHANDLE
PANHANDLE
SOUTHERN GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 645 PM
UNTIL 300 AM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF PANAMA
CITY FLORIDA TO 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 42. WATCH NUMBER 42 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 645
PM EST.
DISCUSSION...BROKEN BAND OF SUSTAINED STORMS...INCLUDING A FEW
SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS S GA AND NW FL THIS EVE.
THE BAND SHOULD DRIFT SLOWLY ESE WHILE STORMS MOVE MORE RAPIDLY E OR
ENE ALONG IT. FARTHER NW...ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY FORM ALONG NE/SW
COLD FRONT NOW MOVING INTO FAR WRN PART OF WW. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
FOR ISOLD TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO SVR HAIL AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND
FROM STORMS WITH SMALL SCALE BOWING SEGMENTS.
DEEP TROPOSPHERIC FLOW SHOULD STRENGTHEN AND BACK LATER
TONIGHT/EARLY SUN AS AR UPR LOW CONTINUES SE INTO MS LATER TONIGHT.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE...AND POSSIBLY
STRENGTH...OVER MUCH OF WW AREA THROUGH 08Z SUN AND BEYOND,
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...CORFIDI
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 43
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
NORTHERN FLORIDA AND THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE
PANHANDLE
PANHANDLE
PANHANDLE
PANHANDLE
SOUTHERN GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 645 PM
UNTIL 300 AM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF PANAMA
CITY FLORIDA TO 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 42. WATCH NUMBER 42 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 645
PM EST.
DISCUSSION...BROKEN BAND OF SUSTAINED STORMS...INCLUDING A FEW
SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS S GA AND NW FL THIS EVE.
THE BAND SHOULD DRIFT SLOWLY ESE WHILE STORMS MOVE MORE RAPIDLY E OR
ENE ALONG IT. FARTHER NW...ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY FORM ALONG NE/SW
COLD FRONT NOW MOVING INTO FAR WRN PART OF WW. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
FOR ISOLD TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO SVR HAIL AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND
FROM STORMS WITH SMALL SCALE BOWING SEGMENTS.
DEEP TROPOSPHERIC FLOW SHOULD STRENGTHEN AND BACK LATER
TONIGHT/EARLY SUN AS AR UPR LOW CONTINUES SE INTO MS LATER TONIGHT.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE...AND POSSIBLY
STRENGTH...OVER MUCH OF WW AREA THROUGH 08Z SUN AND BEYOND,
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 43 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 282345Z - 010800Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35NW PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/ - 25ENE SSI/BRUNSWICK GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /34ESE CEW - 52S SAV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
REPLACES WW 42..AL FL GA
LAT...LON 31528609 32228105 30358105 29638609
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 43 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 43
VALID 010705Z - 010840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE AAF
TO 30 WSW VDI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 180
..SPC..03/01/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 43
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC003-023-029-031-047-065-067-079-089-121-123-125-010840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER COLUMBIA DIXIE
DUVAL HAMILTON JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE MADISON NASSAU
SUWANNEE TAYLOR UNION
$$
GAC001-003-005-019-025-027-029-039-049-051-065-069-075-101-109-
127-161-173-179-183-185-191-229-267-299-305-010840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BERRIEN BRANTLEY BROOKS
BRYAN CAMDEN CHARLTON
CHATHAM CLINCH COFFEE
COOK ECHOLS EVANS
GLYNN JEFF DAVIS LANIER
LIBERTY LONG LOWNDES
MCINTOSH PIERCE TATTNALL
WARE WAYNE
$$
AMZ354-450-452-GMZ730-755-765-010840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 43
VALID 010550Z - 010640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NE AAF TO
50 WSW VDI.
..SPC..03/01/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 43
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC003-023-029-031-037-047-065-067-073-079-089-121-123-125-129-
010640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER COLUMBIA DIXIE
DUVAL FRANKLIN HAMILTON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON
MADISON NASSAU SUWANNEE
TAYLOR UNION WAKULLA
$$
GAC001-003-005-017-019-025-027-029-039-049-051-065-069-071-075-
101-109-127-155-161-173-179-183-185-191-229-267-275-277-299-305-
010640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BEN HILL BERRIEN BRANTLEY
BROOKS BRYAN CAMDEN
CHARLTON CHATHAM CLINCH
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
ECHOLS EVANS GLYNN
IRWIN JEFF DAVIS LANIER
LIBERTY LONG LOWNDES
MCINTOSH PIERCE TATTNALL
THOMAS TIFT WARE
WAYNE
$$
AMZ354-450-452-GMZ730-755-765-010640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 43
VALID 010400Z - 010540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW PFN
TO 50 ENE ABY.
..SPC..03/01/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 43
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC003-013-023-029-031-037-039-045-047-063-065-067-073-077-079-
089-121-123-125-129-010540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN COLUMBIA
DIXIE DUVAL FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HAMILTON
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
NASSAU SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION WAKULLA
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-029-039-049-051-065-069-071-
075-087-095-101-109-127-131-155-161-173-179-183-185-191-201-205-
229-253-267-275-277-287-299-305-321-010540-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN
CAMDEN CHARLTON CHATHAM
CLINCH COFFEE COLQUITT
COOK DECATUR DOUGHERTY
ECHOLS EVANS GLYNN
GRADY IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LIBERTY LONG
LOWNDES MCINTOSH MILLER
MITCHELL PIERCE SEMINOLE
TATTNALL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WARE WAYNE
WORTH
$$
AMZ354-450-452-GMZ730-750-755-765-010540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 43
VALID 010140Z - 010240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..03/01/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 43
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-010240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC003-005-013-023-029-031-037-039-045-047-059-063-065-067-073-
077-079-089-121-123-125-129-131-133-010240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BAY CALHOUN
COLUMBIA DIXIE DUVAL
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF
HAMILTON HOLMES JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON NASSAU
SUWANNEE TAYLOR UNION
WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-029-037-039-049-051-061-065-
069-071-075-087-095-099-101-109-127-131-155-161-173-177-179-183-
185-191-201-205-229-253-267-273-275-277-287-299-305-321-
010240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN
CALHOUN CAMDEN CHARLTON
CHATHAM CLAY CLINCH
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
DECATUR DOUGHERTY EARLY
ECHOLS EVANS GLYNN
GRADY IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LEE LIBERTY
LONG LOWNDES MCINTOSH
MILLER MITCHELL PIERCE
SEMINOLE TATTNALL TERRELL
THOMAS TIFT TURNER
WARE WAYNE WORTH
$$
AMZ354-450-452-GMZ730-750-755-765-010240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.