Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 44
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 240 AM UNTIL 1000 AM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
GAINESVILLE FLORIDA TO 100 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF SAVANNAH
GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 43...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF
SOUTHERN GA AND NORTHERN FL...AHEAD OF POTENT UPPER TROUGH.
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE ARE MARGINAL AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...BUT
INCREASING LARGE SCALE FORCING AND FAVORABLE WIND FIELDS WILL
MAINTAIN A RISK OF ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE MORNING.
CELLULAR ACTIVITY WILL POSE A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES. LATER
THIS MORNING...A MORE ORGANIZED LINE OF STORMS MAY PUSH ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FL PENINSULA WITH A RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 44 TORNADO FL GA SC CW 010740Z - 011500Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40SSW GNV/GAINESVILLE FL/ - 100ENE SAV/SAVANNAH GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /39SE CTY - 25ESE CHS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 29138409 32658123 32657798 29138094
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 44 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 44
VALID 011430Z - 011500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW OCF
TO 35 N SAV.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 44 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
01/15Z.
..KERR..03/01/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 44
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-007-019-031-035-083-089-107-109-011500-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BRADFORD CLAY
DUVAL FLAGLER MARION
NASSAU PUTNAM ST. JOHNS
$$
GAC029-039-051-127-179-183-191-011500-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN CAMDEN CHATHAM
GLYNN LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH
$$
SCC013-019-029-053-011500-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CHARLESTON COLLETON
JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-452-454-011500-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 44
VALID 011255Z - 011340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE CTY
TO 30 W JAX TO 35 WSW SAV.
..SPC..03/01/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 44
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-007-019-031-035-083-089-107-109-011340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BRADFORD CLAY
DUVAL FLAGLER MARION
NASSAU PUTNAM ST. JOHNS
$$
GAC029-039-051-127-179-183-191-011340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN CAMDEN CHATHAM
GLYNN LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH
$$
SCC013-019-029-053-011340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CHARLESTON COLLETON
JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-452-454-011340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 44
VALID 011200Z - 011340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S CTY TO
20 SSE AYS TO 35 NE AYS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 182
..SPC..03/01/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 44
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-019-031-035-075-083-089-107-109-125-011340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CLAY DUVAL FLAGLER
LEVY MARION NASSAU
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS UNION
$$
GAC025-029-039-049-051-127-179-183-191-305-011340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY BRYAN CAMDEN
CHARLTON CHATHAM GLYNN
LIBERTY LONG MCINTOSH
WAYNE
$$
SCC013-019-029-053-011340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CHARLESTON COLLETON
JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-452-454-011340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 44
VALID 011055Z - 011140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WSW CTY
TO 30 ENE VLD.
..SPC..03/01/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 44
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-019-023-031-035-041-047-075-083-089-107-109-121-
125-011140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CLAY COLUMBIA DUVAL
FLAGLER GILCHRIST HAMILTON
LEVY MARION NASSAU
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS SUWANNEE
UNION
$$
GAC001-005-025-029-039-049-051-101-127-179-183-191-229-299-305-
011140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING BACON BRANTLEY
BRYAN CAMDEN CHARLTON
CHATHAM ECHOLS GLYNN
LIBERTY LONG MCINTOSH
PIERCE WARE WAYNE
$$
SCC013-019-029-053-011140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CHARLESTON COLLETON
JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-452-454-011140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 44
VALID 011000Z - 011140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..03/01/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 44
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-019-023-031-035-041-047-075-083-089-107-109-121-
125-011140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CLAY COLUMBIA DUVAL
FLAGLER GILCHRIST HAMILTON
LEVY MARION NASSAU
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS SUWANNEE
UNION
$$
GAC001-003-005-025-029-039-049-051-065-101-127-179-183-191-229-
299-305-011140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BRANTLEY BRYAN CAMDEN
CHARLTON CHATHAM CLINCH
ECHOLS GLYNN LIBERTY
LONG MCINTOSH PIERCE
WARE WAYNE
$$
SCC013-019-029-053-011140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CHARLESTON COLLETON
JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-452-454-011140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.