Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 50
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM EDT SUN MAR 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
INDIANA
CENTRAL KENTUCKY
WESTERN OHIO
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL 800
PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
MUNCIE INDIANA TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 48...WW 49...
DISCUSSION...VERY DYNAMIC SITUATION THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS WW
AS VERY STRONG UPPER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED 90+ KT MID LEVEL/55+ KT
H85 JETS EJECT ACROSS THIS REGION. SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL LIKELY
BE LIFTED SLIGHTLY NWD THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AS LOW CENTER
DEEPENS INTO SRN LAKE MI. DESPITE THE LIMITED INSTABILITY...DEEP
ASCENT ALONG AND AHEAD OF SURFACE COLD FRONT SHOULD SUSTAIN
SEMI-DISCRETE LINE OF SUPERCELLS/SMALL BOW ECHOES MOVING RAPIDLY
ENEWD THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID EVENING. THREAT OF WIND DAMAGE WILL
BE PARAMOUNT WITH THESE STORMS...ALTHOUGH EXTREME LOW LEVEL SHEAR
WILL ALSO SUPPORT A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 50 TORNADO IN KY OH 081855Z - 090000Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NNE MIE/MUNCIE IN/ - 20SW BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /9E FWA - 15SW BWG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 40978394 36758568 36758766 40978605
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 50 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 50
VALID 082340Z - 090000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW HOP TO
20 SE SDF TO 15 W FDY.
WW 50 MAY BE EXTENDED LOCALLY ACROSS PARTS OF S CNTRL KY ANOTHER
HOUR OR TWO...OTHERWISE AN ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT 00Z
EXPIRATION FOR WW 50.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 214.
..KERR..03/08/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 50
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC115-155-090000-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OHIO SWITZERLAND
$$
KYC003-009-015-041-061-077-081-099-103-117-123-141-179-187-211-
213-215-227-090000-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BOONE
CARROLL EDMONSON GALLATIN
GRANT HART HENRY
KENTON LARUE LOGAN
NELSON OWEN SHELBY
SIMPSON SPENCER WARREN
$$
OHC011-017-061-109-113-135-149-090000-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUGLAIZE BUTLER HAMILTON
MIAMI MONTGOMERY PREBLE
SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 50
VALID 082240Z - 082340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW OWB
TO 40 NW LUK TO 20 E FWA.
..KERR..03/08/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 50
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-029-043-061-077-115-123-137-143-155-161-175-082340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK DEARBORN FLOYD
HARRISON JEFFERSON OHIO
PERRY RIPLEY SCOTT
SWITZERLAND UNION WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-009-015-027-029-031-041-061-077-081-085-091-093-099-103-
111-117-123-141-163-179-183-185-187-211-213-215-223-227-
082340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BOONE
BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER
CARROLL EDMONSON GALLATIN
GRANT GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HART HENRY
JEFFERSON KENTON LARUE
LOGAN MEADE NELSON
OHIO OLDHAM OWEN
SHELBY SIMPSON SPENCER
TRIMBLE WARREN
$$
OHC003-011-017-037-061-107-109-113-125-135-137-149-161-082340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AUGLAIZE BUTLER
DARKE HAMILTON MERCER
MIAMI MONTGOMERY PAULDING
PREBLE PUTNAM SHELBY
VAN WERT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 50
VALID 082150Z - 082240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE EVV TO
40 E IND TO 20 W FWA.
..KERR..03/08/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 50
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-019-025-029-031-035-037-041-043-047-061-065-
069-071-075-077-079-093-115-117-123-135-137-139-143-155-161-175-
177-179-183-082240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD CLARK CRAWFORD
DEARBORN DECATUR DELAWARE
DUBOIS FAYETTE FLOYD
FRANKLIN HARRISON HENRY
HUNTINGTON JACKSON JAY
JEFFERSON JENNINGS LAWRENCE
OHIO ORANGE PERRY
RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH
SCOTT SWITZERLAND UNION
WASHINGTON WAYNE WELLS
WHITLEY
$$
KYC003-009-015-027-029-031-041-061-077-081-085-091-093-099-103-
111-117-123-141-163-179-183-185-187-211-213-215-223-227-
082240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BOONE
BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER
CARROLL EDMONSON GALLATIN
GRANT GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HART HENRY
JEFFERSON KENTON LARUE
LOGAN MEADE NELSON
OHIO OLDHAM OWEN
SHELBY SIMPSON SPENCER
TRIMBLE WARREN
$$
OHC003-011-017-037-061-107-109-113-125-135-137-149-161-082240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AUGLAIZE BUTLER
DARKE HAMILTON MERCER
MIAMI MONTGOMERY PAULDING
PREBLE PUTNAM SHELBY
VAN WERT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 50
VALID 082045Z - 082140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW OWB TO
20 SW IND TO 35 E LAF TO 45 SSE SBN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 212
..DIAL..03/08/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 50
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-013-019-025-029-031-035-037-041-043-047-053-
057-059-061-065-067-069-071-075-077-079-081-085-093-095-097-103-
115-117-123-135-137-139-143-145-155-159-161-169-175-177-179-183-
082140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BROWN CLARK
CRAWFORD DEARBORN DECATUR
DELAWARE DUBOIS FAYETTE
FLOYD FRANKLIN GRANT
HAMILTON HANCOCK HARRISON
HENRY HOWARD HUNTINGTON
JACKSON JAY JEFFERSON
JENNINGS JOHNSON KOSCIUSKO
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MIAMI OHIO ORANGE
PERRY RANDOLPH RIPLEY
RUSH SCOTT SHELBY
SWITZERLAND TIPTON UNION
WABASH WASHINGTON WAYNE
WELLS WHITLEY
$$
KYC003-009-015-027-029-031-041-061-077-081-085-091-093-099-103-
111-117-123-141-163-179-183-185-187-211-213-215-223-227-
082140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BOONE
BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER
CARROLL EDMONSON GALLATIN
GRANT GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HART HENRY
JEFFERSON KENTON LARUE
LOGAN MEADE NELSON
OHIO OLDHAM OWEN
SHELBY SIMPSON SPENCER
TRIMBLE WARREN
$$
OHC003-011-017-037-061-107-109-113-125-135-137-149-161-082140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AUGLAIZE BUTLER
DARKE HAMILTON MERCER
MIAMI MONTGOMERY PAULDING
PREBLE PUTNAM SHELBY
VAN WERT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.