Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 54
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PART OF CENTRAL KANSAS
PARTS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL 700
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF
CONCORDIA KANSAS TO 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ENID OKLAHOMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 53...
DISCUSSION...HEATING HAS DISSIPATED THE INHIBITION ALONG THE DRY
LINE ALLOWING SURFACE BASED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ALONG WRN EDGE OF
WATCH. WITH VERY FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND ADEQUATE
INSTABILITY SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP AS STORMS INCREASE IN
NUMBER ALONG DRY LINE. IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL...TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 54 TORNADO KS OK 231805Z - 240000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NE CNK/CONCORDIA KS/ - 15SE END/ENID OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /48WSW PWE - 13SE END/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
LAT...LON 39889595 36189655 36189890 39889841
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 54 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 54
VALID 232345Z - 240040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW END
TO 15 NNW HUT TO 30 S BIE.
..GARNER..03/23/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...GID...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC013-015-017-027-035-041-049-061-073-077-079-085-095-111-113-
115-117-127-131-149-161-169-173-191-197-201-240040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUTLER CHASE
CLAY COWLEY DICKINSON
ELK GEARY GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY JACKSON
KINGMAN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MORRIS
NEMAHA POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SUMNER
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
OKC003-093-240040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA MAJOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 54
VALID 232245Z - 232340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW AVK TO
20 NW HUT TO 10 NNW SLN TO 35 NE CNK.
..GARNER..03/23/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...GID...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC013-015-017-027-035-041-049-061-073-077-079-085-095-111-113-
115-117-127-131-149-155-159-161-169-173-191-197-201-232340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUTLER CHASE
CLAY COWLEY DICKINSON
ELK GEARY GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY JACKSON
KINGMAN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MORRIS
NEMAHA POTTAWATOMIE RENO
RICE RILEY SALINE
SEDGWICK SUMNER WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC003-093-232340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA MAJOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 54
VALID 232135Z - 232240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW AVK TO
20 WNW HUT TO 10 SSW CNK TO 25 N CNK.
..GARNER..03/23/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...GID...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-027-029-035-041-049-061-073-077-079-095-111-113-115-
117-127-143-149-155-157-159-161-169-173-191-197-201-232240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE CLAY
CLOUD COWLEY DICKINSON
ELK GEARY GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MORRIS OTTAWA
POTTAWATOMIE RENO REPUBLIC
RICE RILEY SALINE
SEDGWICK SUMNER WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC003-047-053-071-093-103-151-232240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA GARFIELD GRANT
KAY MAJOR NOBLE
WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 54
VALID 232035Z - 232140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N P28 TO
30 W HUT TO 25 SW CNK TO 35 NNW CNK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 241
..JEWELL..03/23/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...GID...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-027-029-035-041-049-053-061-073-077-079-095-105-111-
113-115-117-127-143-149-155-157-159-161-169-173-191-197-201-
232140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE CLAY
CLOUD COWLEY DICKINSON
ELK ELLSWORTH GEARY
GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY
KINGMAN LINCOLN LYON
MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL
MORRIS OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
RENO REPUBLIC RICE
RILEY SALINE SEDGWICK
SUMNER WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
OKC003-047-053-071-093-103-151-232140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA GARFIELD GRANT
KAY MAJOR NOBLE
WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 54
VALID 231835Z - 231940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..03/23/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...GID...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-027-029-035-041-049-053-061-073-077-079-089-095-105-
111-113-115-117-123-127-143-149-155-157-159-161-169-173-191-197-
201-231940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE CLAY
CLOUD COWLEY DICKINSON
ELK ELLSWORTH GEARY
GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY
JEWELL KINGMAN LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SUMNER
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
OKC003-047-053-071-093-103-151-231940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA GARFIELD GRANT
KAY MAJOR NOBLE
WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.