Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 55
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF WESTERN IOWA
SMALL PART OF NORTHWEST MISSOURI
PARTS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA
PARTS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
FALLS CITY NEBRASKA TO 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF HURON SOUTH
DAKOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 53. WATCH NUMBER 53 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 350
PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 54...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING NEWD AHEAD OF
VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL NEB.
WITH VERY STRONG SHEAR AND ADEQUATE INSTABILITY...SUPERCELLS ARE
LIKELY WITH LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS AND POTENTIAL TORNADOS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 55 TORNADO IA MO NE SD 232050Z - 240300Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
10WSW FNB/FALLS CITY NE/ - 35WNW HON/HURON SD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /23ESE PWE - 55SSW ABR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.
REPLACES WW 53..NE SD
LAT...LON 40009748 44560072 44569705 40009406
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 55 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 55
VALID 240230Z - 240340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E FNB TO
40 WNW LWD.
AIRMASS IS BECOMING COOL AND INCREASINGLY STABLE...RESULTING IN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THUNDERSTORM REDEVELOPMENT. REMAINING
STORMS OVER SWRN IA AND NWRN MO WILL EXIT THE WATCH SHORTLY.
THEREFORE...TORNADO WATCH 55 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.
..GARNER..03/24/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...FSD...EAX...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 55
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC173-240340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
TAYLOR
$$
MOC087-147-240340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOLT NODAWAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 55
VALID 240135Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W FNB TO
20 N DNS.
..GARNER..03/24/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...FSD...EAX...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 55
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC003-009-029-047-071-129-137-145-155-165-173-240240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AUDUBON CASS
CRAWFORD FREMONT MILLS
MONTGOMERY PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY TAYLOR
$$
MOC005-087-147-240240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC127-147-240240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEMAHA RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 55
VALID 240035Z - 240140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..03/24/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...FSD...EAX...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 55
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC003-009-029-047-071-085-119-129-133-137-145-149-155-165-167-
173-193-240140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AUDUBON CASS
CRAWFORD FREMONT HARRISON
LYON MILLS MONONA
MONTGOMERY PAGE PLYMOUTH
POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY SIOUX
TAYLOR WOODBURY
$$
MOC005-087-147-240140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC021-025-043-051-053-055-097-127-131-133-147-153-155-173-177-
240140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURT CASS DAKOTA
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
JOHNSON NEMAHA OTOE
PAWNEE RICHARDSON SARPY
SAUNDERS THURSTON WASHINGTON
$$
SDC005-011-027-035-061-067-073-077-079-083-087-097-099-101-111-
125-127-135-240140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BROOKINGS CLAY
DAVISON HANSON HUTCHINSON
JERAULD KINGSBURY LAKE
LINCOLN MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 55
VALID 232350Z - 240040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE BIE
TO 30 SW SUX TO 45 ENE PIR.
..GARNER..03/23/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...FSD...EAX...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 55
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC003-009-029-047-071-085-119-129-133-137-145-149-155-165-167-
173-193-240040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AUDUBON CASS
CRAWFORD FREMONT HARRISON
LYON MILLS MONONA
MONTGOMERY PAGE PLYMOUTH
POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY SIOUX
TAYLOR WOODBURY
$$
MOC005-087-147-240040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC021-025-043-051-053-055-097-127-131-133-147-153-155-173-177-
240040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURT CASS DAKOTA
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
JOHNSON NEMAHA OTOE
PAWNEE RICHARDSON SARPY
SAUNDERS THURSTON WASHINGTON
$$
SDC005-011-027-035-061-067-073-077-079-083-087-097-099-101-111-
125-127-135-240040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BROOKINGS CLAY
DAVISON HANSON HUTCHINSON
JERAULD KINGSBURY LAKE
LINCOLN MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 55
VALID 232245Z - 232340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW BIE TO
20 WNW LNK TO 30 N ONL TO 20 SSW 9V9 TO 20 SSW PIR.
..GARNER..03/23/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...FSD...EAX...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 55
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC003-009-029-047-071-085-119-129-133-137-145-149-155-165-167-
173-193-232340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AUDUBON CASS
CRAWFORD FREMONT HARRISON
LYON MILLS MONONA
MONTGOMERY PAGE PLYMOUTH
POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY SIOUX
TAYLOR WOODBURY
$$
MOC005-087-147-232340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC021-025-027-037-039-043-051-053-055-067-097-107-109-119-127-
131-133-139-147-153-155-167-173-177-179-232340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURT CASS CEDAR
COLFAX CUMING DAKOTA
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
GAGE JOHNSON KNOX
LANCASTER MADISON NEMAHA
OTOE PAWNEE PIERCE
RICHARDSON SARPY SAUNDERS
STANTON THURSTON WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
SDC003-005-009-011-015-017-023-027-035-043-059-061-065-067-069-
073-077-079-083-085-087-097-099-101-111-119-125-127-135-
232340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME
BROOKINGS BRULE BUFFALO
CHARLES MIX CLAY DAVISON
DOUGLAS HAND HANSON
HUGHES HUTCHINSON HYDE
JERAULD KINGSBURY LAKE
LINCOLN LYMAN MCCOOK
MINER MINNEHAHA MOODY
SANBORN SULLY TURNER
UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 55
VALID 232135Z - 232240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE CNK
TO 45 ESE GRI TO 40 WSW OFK TO 15 WNW ONL TO 30 NE ANW.
..GARNER..03/23/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...FSD...EAX...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 55
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC003-009-029-047-071-085-119-129-133-137-145-149-155-165-167-
173-193-232240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AUDUBON CASS
CRAWFORD FREMONT HARRISON
LYON MILLS MONONA
MONTGOMERY PAGE PLYMOUTH
POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY SIOUX
TAYLOR WOODBURY
$$
MOC005-087-147-232240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC003-021-023-025-027-037-039-043-051-053-055-067-095-097-107-
109-119-127-131-133-139-141-147-151-153-155-159-167-173-177-179-
232240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BURT BUTLER
CASS CEDAR COLFAX
CUMING DAKOTA DIXON
DODGE DOUGLAS GAGE
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LANCASTER MADISON NEMAHA
OTOE PAWNEE PIERCE
PLATTE RICHARDSON SALINE
SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD
STANTON THURSTON WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
SDC003-005-009-011-015-017-023-027-035-043-053-059-061-065-067-
069-073-077-079-083-085-087-095-097-099-101-111-119-121-123-125-
127-135-232240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME
BROOKINGS BRULE BUFFALO
CHARLES MIX CLAY DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HAND
HANSON HUGHES HUTCHINSON
HYDE JERAULD KINGSBURY
LAKE LINCOLN LYMAN
MCCOOK MELLETTE MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
SULLY TODD TRIPP
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.