Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 62
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1125 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF CORSICANA
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ACROSS CENTRAL AND N TX OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...AS ISENTROPIC LIFT STRENGTHENS ATOP THE LOW-LEVEL FRONTAL
SURFACE IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING MID-LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.
WITH 50 TO 60 KT MID-LEVEL WSWLYS ATOP VEERING LOW-LEVEL
FLOW...SHEAR WILL SUPPORT ROTATING/SUPERCELL STORMS. WHILE AN
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUST WILL BE POSSIBLE -- PARTICULARLY OVER
SRN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH -- GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR SOME DOWNDRAFT
ENHANCEMENT DUE TO SUB-CLOUD EVAPORATIVE COOLING...PRIMARY THREAT
WILL BE LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...GOSS
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 62
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1125 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF CORSICANA
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ACROSS CENTRAL AND N TX OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...AS ISENTROPIC LIFT STRENGTHENS ATOP THE LOW-LEVEL FRONTAL
SURFACE IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING MID-LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.
WITH 50 TO 60 KT MID-LEVEL WSWLYS ATOP VEERING LOW-LEVEL
FLOW...SHEAR WILL SUPPORT ROTATING/SUPERCELL STORMS. WHILE AN
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUST WILL BE POSSIBLE -- PARTICULARLY OVER
SRN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH -- GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR SOME DOWNDRAFT
ENHANCEMENT DUE TO SUB-CLOUD EVAPORATIVE COOLING...PRIMARY THREAT
WILL BE LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...GOSS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 62 SEVERE TSTM TX 251625Z - 252300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25NNW SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/ - 40NE CRS/CORSICANA TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /22NNW SJT - 59W GGG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 32720066 33459591 31439591 30690066
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 62 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 62
VALID 252230Z - 252340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE JCT TO
30 ESE SEP TO 25 WSW PRX.
..HURLBUT..03/25/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-099-113-139-145-161-213-217-231-257-281-293-309-349-
379-397-467-252340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE CORYELL
DALLAS ELLIS FALLS
FREESTONE HENDERSON HILL
HUNT KAUFMAN LAMPASAS
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN NAVARRO
RAINS ROCKWALL VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 62
VALID 252145Z - 252240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW JCT TO
35 SSW BWD TO 20 SSE SEP TO 20 SE FTW TO 35 WSW PRX.
..BROYLES..03/25/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-099-113-139-145-161-193-213-217-231-251-257-281-293-
307-309-327-333-349-379-397-411-467-252240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE CORYELL
DALLAS ELLIS FALLS
FREESTONE HAMILTON HENDERSON
HILL HUNT JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LAMPASAS LIMESTONE
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MENARD
MILLS NAVARRO RAINS
ROCKWALL SAN SABA VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 62
VALID 252040Z - 252140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW JCT TO
30 WSW PRX.
..GOSS..03/25/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-099-113-139-145-161-193-213-217-231-251-257-281-293-
307-309-327-333-349-379-397-411-467-252140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE CORYELL
DALLAS ELLIS FALLS
FREESTONE HAMILTON HENDERSON
HILL HUNT JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LAMPASAS LIMESTONE
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MENARD
MILLS NAVARRO RAINS
ROCKWALL SAN SABA VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 62
VALID 251950Z - 252040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW SJT
TO 25 NW MWL.
..GOSS..03/25/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-049-059-083-085-093-095-099-113-121-133-139-143-145-
161-193-213-217-221-231-237-251-257-281-293-307-309-327-333-349-
363-367-379-397-411-413-425-429-439-467-497-252040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN COLEMAN COLLIN
COMANCHE CONCHO CORYELL
DALLAS DENTON EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FALLS
FREESTONE HAMILTON HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMPASAS LIMESTONE MCCULLOCH
MCLENNAN MENARD MILLS
NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER
RAINS ROCKWALL SAN SABA
SCHLEICHER SOMERVELL STEPHENS
TARRANT VAN ZANDT WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 62
VALID 251835Z - 251940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E BGS TO
30 N ABI.
..GOSS..03/25/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-049-059-081-083-085-093-095-099-113-121-133-139-143-
145-161-193-213-217-221-231-235-237-251-253-257-281-293-307-309-
327-333-349-353-363-367-379-397-399-411-413-417-425-429-431-439-
441-451-467-497-503-251940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE CONCHO
CORYELL DALLAS DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
FALLS FREESTONE HAMILTON
HENDERSON HILL HOOD
HUNT IRION JACK
JOHNSON JONES KAUFMAN
LAMPASAS LIMESTONE MCCULLOCH
MCLENNAN MENARD MILLS
NAVARRO NOLAN PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL STEPHENS
STERLING TARRANT TAYLOR
TOM GREEN VAN ZANDT WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.