Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 63
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF DEL RIO
TEXAS TO 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HUNTSVILLE TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 62...
DISCUSSION...SURFACE-BASED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE NW EDGE OF THE SURFACE WARM SECTOR BETWEEN DRT AND SJT.
THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AS A MID LEVEL SPEED MAX EJECTS EWD FROM THE BIG
BEND...AND A SURFACE WARM FRONT LIFTS SLOWLY NWD ACROSS S CENTRAL
AND SE TX. MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE AOA 1500 J/KG/ AND
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 50 KT WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. LOW-LEVEL
FLOW/SHEAR WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
CENTRAL/SE TX IN ADVANCE OF THE EJECTING MID LEVEL SPEED MAX...THUS
SUPPORTING A THREAT FOR TORNADOES WITH STORMS ALONG THE WARM FRONT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 63 TORNADO TX 251905Z - 260200Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30N DRT/DEL RIO TX/ - 30ENE UTS/HUNTSVILLE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /28NNW DLF - 22SW LFK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 30600091 31699500 30109500 29010091
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 63 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 63
VALID 260130Z - 260200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N VCT TO
UTS TO 10 WSW LFK.
WW 63 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 260200Z.
..HURLBUT..03/26/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC339-373-407-455-260200-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MONTGOMERY POLK SAN JACINTO
TRINITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 63
VALID 260040Z - 260140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E SAT TO
20 SSW AUS TO 35 W CLL TO 30 NNW UTS TO 20 NW LFK.
..BROYLES..03/26/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC021-041-051-055-149-177-185-187-287-313-339-373-407-455-471-
477-260140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BASTROP BRAZOS BURLESON
CALDWELL FAYETTE GONZALES
GRIMES GUADALUPE LEE
MADISON MONTGOMERY POLK
SAN JACINTO TRINITY WALKER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 63
VALID 252335Z - 260040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E HDO TO
15 WNW AUS TO 30 S TPL TO 40 S CRS.
..BROYLES..03/25/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-021-029-041-051-055-091-149-177-185-187-209-225-287-289-
313-331-339-373-395-407-453-455-471-477-260040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BASTROP BEXAR
BRAZOS BURLESON CALDWELL
COMAL FAYETTE GONZALES
GRIMES GUADALUPE HAYS
HOUSTON LEE LEON
MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY
POLK ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO
TRAVIS TRINITY WALKER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 63
VALID 252235Z - 252340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE DRT
TO 55 W TPL.
..HURLBUT..03/25/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-019-021-029-031-041-051-053-055-091-149-171-177-185-187-
209-225-259-265-287-289-299-313-325-331-339-373-395-407-453-455-
463-471-477-491-252340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BASTROP
BEXAR BLANCO BRAZOS
BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL
COMAL FAYETTE GILLESPIE
GONZALES GRIMES GUADALUPE
HAYS HOUSTON KENDALL
KERR LEE LEON
LLANO MADISON MEDINA
MILAM MONTGOMERY POLK
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS
TRINITY UVALDE WALKER
WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 63
VALID 252140Z - 252240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW DRT TO
10 NE JCT TO 30 NNE JCT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 263
..HURLBUT..03/25/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-019-021-029-031-041-051-053-055-091-149-171-177-185-187-
209-225-259-265-267-271-287-289-299-313-319-325-331-339-373-385-
395-407-453-455-463-471-477-491-252240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BASTROP
BEXAR BLANCO BRAZOS
BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL
COMAL FAYETTE GILLESPIE
GONZALES GRIMES GUADALUPE
HAYS HOUSTON KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
LEE LEON LLANO
MADISON MASON MEDINA
MILAM MONTGOMERY POLK
REAL ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO
TRAVIS TRINITY UVALDE
WALKER WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 63
VALID 252040Z - 252140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N DRT TO
20 NNW JCT.
..GOSS..03/25/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-019-021-029-031-041-051-053-055-091-137-149-171-177-185-
187-209-225-259-265-267-271-287-289-299-313-319-325-331-339-373-
385-395-407-453-455-463-471-477-491-252140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BASTROP
BEXAR BLANCO BRAZOS
BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL
COMAL EDWARDS FAYETTE
GILLESPIE GONZALES GRIMES
GUADALUPE HAYS HOUSTON
KENDALL KERR KIMBLE
KINNEY LEE LEON
LLANO MADISON MASON
MEDINA MILAM MONTGOMERY
POLK REAL ROBERTSON
SAN JACINTO TRAVIS TRINITY
UVALDE WALKER WASHINGTON
WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.