Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 63
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
440 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 440 AM UNTIL 1100 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
ALBANY GEORGIA TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 62...
DISCUSSION...THE SURFACE WARM FRONT IS MOVING INLAND ACROSS THE FL
PANHANDLE TOWARD THE GA BORDER AS NEW STORMS DEVELOP ALONG A
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH/CONFLUENCE BAND MOVING EWD ACROSS THE WRN FL
PANHANDLE AND NE GULF OF MEXICO. AS THE LOW LEVELS DESTABILIZE
INLAND...THE RISK FOR SURFACE-BASED SUPERCELLS WILL INCREASE IN AN
ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE NEAR 1000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AOA
50 KT. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS. ADDITIONALLY...THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES AS STORMS INTERACT WITH THE ZONE OF STRONGER
L0W-LEVEL SHEAR ALONG THE WARM FRONT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 63 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 240840Z - 241500Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NNE ABY/ALBANY GA/ - 10SE AAF/APALACHICOLA FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /26NE PZD - 63SSW TLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
LAT...LON 31988286 29628383 29628598 31988508
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 63 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 63
VALID 241420Z - 241500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E AAF TO
15 N VLD.
WW 63 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 241500Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 320
..CARBIN..03/24/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC029-067-079-123-241500-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DIXIE LAFAYETTE MADISON
TAYLOR
$$
GAC173-185-241500-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LANIER LOWNDES
$$
GMZ765-241500-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 63
VALID 241250Z - 241340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE AAF TO
15 NW MGR TO 45 WSW VDI.
..BUNTING..03/24/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC029-065-067-079-123-129-241340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DIXIE JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC017-019-027-071-075-155-173-185-275-277-241340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEN HILL BERRIEN BROOKS
COLQUITT COOK IRWIN
LANIER LOWNDES THOMAS
TIFT
$$
GMZ765-241340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 63
VALID 241130Z - 241240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW PFN
TO 30 W TLH TO 35 N ABY.
..MOSIER..03/24/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC029-037-039-045-065-067-073-077-079-123-129-241240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DIXIE FRANKLIN GADSDEN
GULF JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-071-075-087-095-131-155-173-177-185-205-275-
277-287-321-241240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS COLQUITT COOK
DECATUR DOUGHERTY GRADY
IRWIN LANIER LEE
LOWNDES MITCHELL THOMAS
TIFT TURNER WORTH
$$
GMZ730-750-755-765-241240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 63
VALID 240935Z - 241040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOSIER..03/24/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC067-069-241040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-029-037-039-045-063-065-067-073-077-079-123-129-133-
241040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN DIXIE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
TAYLOR WAKULLA WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-095-099-131-155-173-177-
185-201-205-239-243-253-273-275-277-287-321-241040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CLAY
COLQUITT COOK DECATUR
DOUGHERTY EARLY GRADY
IRWIN LANIER LEE
LOWNDES MILLER MITCHELL
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SEMINOLE
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WORTH
$$
GMZ730-750-755-765-241040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.