Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 64
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
445 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 445 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHWEST OF MERIDIAN
MISSISSIPPI TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...WW 59...WW 60...WW
61...WW 62...WW 63...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING THROUGH THIS
EVENING ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AND STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS. ISOLATED
TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...DIAL
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 64 TORNADO MS 022245Z - 030500Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NW MEI/MERIDIAN MS/ - 45WSW PIB/PINE BELT MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /44NW MEI - 13ESE MCB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 32888830 31208893 31209112 32889054
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 64 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 64
VALID 030130Z - 030240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 224
..ROGERS..03/03/12
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 64
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC023-029-031-035-049-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-089-
091-099-101-121-123-127-129-030240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST HINDS JASPER
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LINCOLN MADISON
MARION NESHOBA NEWTON
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 64
VALID 022335Z - 030040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..ROGERS..03/02/12
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 64
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC023-029-031-035-049-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-089-
091-099-101-121-123-127-129-030040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST HINDS JASPER
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LINCOLN MADISON
MARION NESHOBA NEWTON
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
