Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 65
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
710 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 710 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PALACIOS TEXAS TO 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 63...WW 64...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF SURFACE COLD FRONT EXPECTED
TO PUSH SEWD INTO SOUTHEASTERN TX THIS EVENING. DEEP LAYER SHEAR
REMAINS QUITE STRONG...AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
ADDITIONAL HAZARDS FROM THE STRONGER CORES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 65 TORNADO TX CW 260010Z - 260600Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35NW PSX/PALACIOS TX/ - 15ENE BPT/PORT ARTHUR TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /27NW PSX - 36W LCH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 29879666 30829379 29239379 28299666
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 65 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 65
VALID 260435Z - 260540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S LBX TO
10 NNW GLS TO 20 ENE BPT.
..HURLBUT..03/26/09
ATTN...WFO...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC167-260540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON
$$
GMZ430-450-260540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 65
VALID 260335Z - 260440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE VCT TO
15 W HOU TO 30 W BPT TO 40 NW LCH.
..BROYLES..03/26/09
ATTN...WFO...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC071-167-245-361-260440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMBERS GALVESTON JEFFERSON
ORANGE
$$
GMZ335-355-430-450-260440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 65
VALID 260230Z - 260340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N VCT TO
25 SE UTS.
..HURLBUT..03/26/09
ATTN...WFO...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC039-071-157-167-199-201-239-245-291-321-361-481-260340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CHAMBERS FORT BEND
GALVESTON HARDIN HARRIS
JACKSON JEFFERSON LIBERTY
MATAGORDA ORANGE WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-430-450-260340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 65
VALID 260135Z - 260240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..03/26/09
ATTN...WFO...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC015-039-071-089-157-167-199-201-239-245-291-321-361-473-481-
260240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA CHAMBERS
COLORADO FORT BEND GALVESTON
HARDIN HARRIS JACKSON
JEFFERSON LIBERTY MATAGORDA
ORANGE WALLER WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-430-450-260240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 65
VALID 260040Z - 260140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/26/09
ATTN...WFO...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC015-039-071-089-157-167-199-201-239-245-291-321-361-473-481-
260140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA CHAMBERS
COLORADO FORT BEND GALVESTON
HARDIN HARRIS JACKSON
JEFFERSON LIBERTY MATAGORDA
ORANGE WALLER WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-430-450-260140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.