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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 66
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KANSAS
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF EMPORIA KANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOPLIN
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/STRENGTH ALONG
AND S OF W-E OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DRIFTING SSE THROUGH ERN KS/FAR WRN
MO. CONTINUED SFC HEATING/STEEPENING LOW-LVL LAPSE RATES AHEAD OF
BOUNDARY...DEEP EML ALOFT...AND MODEST BUT STRENGTHENING LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT IN WNWLY MID-LVL FLOW SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY LOCALLY DMGG WIND.
STORMS SHOULD CONSOLIDATE INTO A SMALL SE-MOVING CLUSTER LATER THIS
EVE. A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR MORE ISOLD STORMS WILL EXIST ALONG SW-NE
WIND SHIFT NOW LOCATED W OF ICT. IF STORMS DO FORM ALONG THIS
FEATURE...THEY ALSO WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31025.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 66 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 301905Z - 310300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NNE EMP/EMPORIA KS/ - 30SW JLN/JOPLIN MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /60WSW MCI - 24SE OSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31025.
LAT...LON 38869450 36839352 36839623 38869729
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 66 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 66
VALID 310135Z - 310240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW GMJ
TO 25 W JLN TO 25 NW JLN TO 15 N JLN TO 15 S SGF.
..DEAN..03/31/13
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 66
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC021-310240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE
$$
MOC009-097-109-119-145-209-310240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY JASPER LAWRENCE
MCDONALD NEWTON STONE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 66
VALID 310050Z - 310140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E BVO TO
25 SSE CNU TO 15 SE CNU TO 30 NNW JLN TO 20 NE SGF.
..DEAN..03/31/13
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 66
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC021-037-099-133-310140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LABETTE
NEOSHO
$$
MOC009-011-057-097-109-119-145-209-310140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON DADE
JASPER LAWRENCE MCDONALD
NEWTON STONE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 66
VALID 302335Z - 310040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE BVO
TO 25 S CNU TO 10 E CNU TO 40 E CNU TO 35 NNE JLN TO 20 NNE SGF.
..DEAN..03/30/13
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 66
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC021-037-099-133-310040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LABETTE
NEOSHO
$$
MOC009-011-057-097-109-119-145-209-310040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON DADE
JASPER LAWRENCE MCDONALD
NEWTON STONE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 66
VALID 302245Z - 302340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NE BVO TO
25 SE EMP TO 55 SSW SZL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 345.
..GRAMS..03/30/13
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 66
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-021-037-099-125-133-205-207-302340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHEROKEE
CRAWFORD LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-057-097-109-119-145-209-217-302340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON DADE
JASPER LAWRENCE MCDONALD
NEWTON STONE VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 66
VALID 302125Z - 302240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 341.
..GRAMS..03/30/13
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 66
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-041-049-059-061-073-
099-107-111-115-121-125-127-133-139-197-205-207-302240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE COFFEY COWLEY
CRAWFORD DICKINSON ELK
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
LABETTE LINN LYON
MARION MIAMI MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NEOSHO OSAGE
WABAUNSEE WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-013-039-057-097-109-119-145-209-217-302240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
CEDAR DADE JASPER
LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON
STONE VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 66
VALID 302030Z - 302140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BUNTING..03/30/13
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 66
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-041-049-059-061-073-
099-107-111-115-121-125-127-133-139-197-205-207-302140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE COFFEY COWLEY
CRAWFORD DICKINSON ELK
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
LABETTE LINN LYON
MARION MIAMI MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NEOSHO OSAGE
WABAUNSEE WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-013-039-057-097-109-119-145-209-217-302140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
CEDAR DADE JASPER
LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON
STONE VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.