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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 67
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 AM EST MON FEB 18 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTH FLORIDA
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 300 AM UNTIL 1000 AM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF WAYCROSS
GEORGIA TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 66...
DISCUSSION...SRN END OF LONG-LIVED BROKEN SQLN IN GA/NW FL EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO CONTAIN OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/SUSTAINED
STORMS THAT...GIVEN STRENGTH OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL SHEAR...WILL POSE
ADDITIONAL RISK FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS/POSSIBLE TORNADOES.
WHILE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INFLOW SHOULD BE MORE LIMITED WITH ERN/NRN
EXTENT IN WATCH...SOME DESTABILIZATION MAY BE PROVIDED BY
ASCENT/COOLING ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH PROGRESSIVE LARGE SCALE UPR
TROUGH.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 67 TORNADO FL GA CW 180800Z - 181500Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30N AYS/WAYCROSS GA/ - 35ESE AAF/APALACHICOLA FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /10NNE AMG - 62S TLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 31688120 29538333 29538566 31688358
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 67 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 67
VALID 181440Z - 181540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE CTY
TO 30 S AYS TO 25 ESE AYS TO 30 SSW SAV.
..MEAD..02/18/08
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 67
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC003-023-041-125-181540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER COLUMBIA GILCHRIST
UNION
$$
GAC025-039-049-127-181540-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY CAMDEN CHARLTON
GLYNN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 67
VALID 181335Z - 181440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE CTY
TO 30 SW AYS TO 30 NNE AYS.
..PETERS..02/18/08
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 67
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC003-023-041-125-181440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER COLUMBIA GILCHRIST
UNION
$$
GAC025-039-049-065-127-229-299-305-181440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY CAMDEN CHARLTON
CLINCH GLYNN PIERCE
WARE WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 67
VALID 181255Z - 181340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE CTY
TO 20 S VLD TO 35 NNE VLD TO 45 NW AYS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 270.
..PETERS..02/18/08
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 67
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC003-023-041-047-121-125-181340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER COLUMBIA GILCHRIST
HAMILTON SUWANNEE UNION
$$
GAC001-003-005-025-039-049-065-069-101-127-161-229-299-305-
181340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BRANTLEY CAMDEN CHARLTON
CLINCH COFFEE ECHOLS
GLYNN JEFF DAVIS PIERCE
WARE WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 67
VALID 181145Z - 181240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW CTY
TO 10 SE MGR TO 25 N VLD TO 45 NW AYS.
..PETERS..02/18/08
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 67
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC003-023-029-041-047-067-079-121-123-125-181240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER COLUMBIA DIXIE
GILCHRIST HAMILTON LAFAYETTE
MADISON SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION
$$
GAC001-003-005-025-027-039-049-065-069-101-127-161-173-185-229-
299-305-181240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BRANTLEY BROOKS CAMDEN
CHARLTON CLINCH COFFEE
ECHOLS GLYNN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LOWNDES PIERCE
WARE WAYNE
$$
GMZ765-181240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 67
VALID 181045Z - 181140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S AAF TO
45 NW AYS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 268.
..PETERS..02/18/08
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 67
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC003-023-029-037-041-047-065-067-079-121-123-125-129-181140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER COLUMBIA DIXIE
FRANKLIN GILCHRIST HAMILTON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE MADISON
SUWANNEE TAYLOR UNION
WAKULLA
$$
GAC001-003-005-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-075-101-127-161-173-
185-229-299-305-181140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BERRIEN BRANTLEY BROOKS
CAMDEN CHARLTON CLINCH
COFFEE COOK ECHOLS
GLYNN JEFF DAVIS LANIER
LOWNDES PIERCE WARE
WAYNE
$$
GMZ730-755-765-181140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 67
VALID 180930Z - 181040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..02/18/08
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 67
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC003-023-029-037-039-041-045-047-065-067-073-077-079-121-123-
125-129-181040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER COLUMBIA DIXIE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GILCHRIST
GULF HAMILTON JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LEON LIBERTY
MADISON SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION WAKULLA
$$
GAC001-003-005-017-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-071-075-101-127-
131-155-161-173-185-229-275-277-299-305-321-181040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BEN HILL BERRIEN BRANTLEY
BROOKS CAMDEN CHARLTON
CLINCH COFFEE COLQUITT
COOK ECHOLS GLYNN
GRADY IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LOWNDES PIERCE
THOMAS TIFT WARE
WAYNE WORTH
$$
GMZ730-755-765-181040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.