SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 69
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   850 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
          EASTERN OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 850 PM
   UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHEAST OF MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 66...WW 68...
   
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
   NEAR AND N OF TULSA IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT SETTLING SWD THROUGH
   NRN OK.  AMBIENT AIR MASS REMAINS RELATIVELY WARM AND MOIST WITH
   MLCAPE ESTIMATED AROUND 1000 J/KG.  MOREOVER...THE TULSA VAD HAS
   SHOW A STEADY STRENGTHENING OF SLY WINDS BELOW 1 KM WHICH IS
   RESULTING IN AN ENLARGED HODOGRAPH WITH MORE THAN SUFFICIENT SHEAR
   FOR SUPERCELLS.  WHILE A BRIEF TORNADO IS POSSIBLE...LARGE HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS AS STORMS SPREAD SEWD
   ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 31025.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 69
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   850 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
          EASTERN OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 850 PM
   UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL
   ISOLATED HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHEAST OF MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 66...WW 68...
   
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
   NEAR AND N OF TULSA IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT SETTLING SWD THROUGH
   NRN OK.  AMBIENT AIR MASS REMAINS RELATIVELY WARM AND MOIST WITH
   MLCAPE ESTIMATED AROUND 1000 J/KG.  MOREOVER...THE TULSA VAD HAS
   SHOW A STEADY STRENGTHENING OF SLY WINDS BELOW 1 KM WHICH IS
   RESULTING IN AN ENLARGED HODOGRAPH WITH MORE THAN SUFFICIENT SHEAR
   FOR SUPERCELLS.  WHILE A BRIEF TORNADO IS POSSIBLE...LARGE HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS AS STORMS SPREAD SEWD
   ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 31025.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 69
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   850 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
          EASTERN OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 850 PM
   UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHEAST OF MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 66...WW 68...
   
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
   NEAR AND N OF TULSA IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT SETTLING SWD THROUGH
   NRN OK.  AMBIENT AIR MASS REMAINS RELATIVELY WARM AND MOIST WITH
   MLCAPE ESTIMATED AROUND 1000 J/KG.  MOREOVER...THE TULSA VAD HAS
   SHOW A STEADY STRENGTHENING OF SLY WINDS BELOW 1 KM WHICH IS
   RESULTING IN AN ENLARGED HODOGRAPH WITH MORE THAN SUFFICIENT SHEAR
   FOR SUPERCELLS.  WHILE A BRIEF TORNADO IS POSSIBLE...LARGE HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS AS STORMS SPREAD SEWD
   ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 31025.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   WOUS64 KWNS 310143
   WOU9
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 69
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   850 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 69 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-310900-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0069.130331T0150Z-130331T0900Z/
   
   AR 
   .    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BENTON               CARROLL             CRAWFORD            
   FRANKLIN             MADISON             SEBASTIAN           
   WASHINGTON           
   
   
   OKC001-021-023-037-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-107-111-121-127-
   131-135-143-145-310900-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0069.130331T0150Z-130331T0900Z/
   
   OK 
   .    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ADAIR                CHEROKEE            CHOCTAW             
   CREEK                DELAWARE            HASKELL             
   LATIMER              LE FLORE            MAYES               
   MCINTOSH             MUSKOGEE            OKFUSKEE            
   OKMULGEE             PITTSBURG           PUSHMATAHA          
   ROGERS               SEQUOYAH            TULSA               
   WAGONER              
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TSA...
   
   
   

   SAW9 
   WW 69 SEVERE TSTM AR OK 310150Z - 310900Z
   AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   40SSE MLC/MCALESTER OK/ - 35NNW FYV/FAYETTEVILLE AR/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /33SSE MLC - 19NW RZC/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31025.
   
   LAT...LON 34349673 36459566 36459315 34349427
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU9.
   

Watch 69 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 69

VALID 310540Z - 310640Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE DUA TO
20 S MLC TO 30 E MLC TO 30 NW FSM TO 25 W FYV TO 20 SSW HRO.

..EDWARDS..03/31/13

ATTN...WFO...TSA...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 69 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC033-047-087-131-143-310640-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CRAWFORD	     FRANKLIN		 MADISON	     
SEBASTIAN	     WASHINGTON 	 
$$


OKC001-023-061-077-079-127-135-310640-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     CHOCTAW		 HASKELL	     
LATIMER 	     LE FLORE		 PUSHMATAHA	     
SEQUOYAH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 69

VALID 310430Z - 310540Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE ADM
TO 20 WNW FYV TO 10 SW HRO.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 348.

..GRAMS..03/31/13

ATTN...WFO...TSA...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 69 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC033-047-087-131-143-310540-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CRAWFORD	     FRANKLIN		 MADISON	     
SEBASTIAN	     WASHINGTON 	 
$$


OKC001-021-023-061-077-079-101-121-127-135-310540-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     CHEROKEE		 CHOCTAW	     
HASKELL 	     LATIMER		 LE FLORE	     
MUSKOGEE	     PITTSBURG		 PUSHMATAHA	     
SEQUOYAH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 69

VALID 310235Z - 310340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..DEAN..03/31/13

ATTN...WFO...TSA...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 69 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-310340-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON		     CARROLL		 CRAWFORD	     
FRANKLIN	     MADISON		 SEBASTIAN	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


OKC001-021-023-035-037-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-105-107-111-
115-121-127-131-135-143-145-310340-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     CHEROKEE		 CHOCTAW	     
CRAIG		     CREEK		 DELAWARE	     
HASKELL 	     LATIMER		 LE FLORE	     
MCINTOSH	     MAYES		 MUSKOGEE	     
NOWATA		     OKFUSKEE		 OKMULGEE	     
OTTAWA		     PITTSBURG		 PUSHMATAHA	     
ROGERS		     SEQUOYAH		 TULSA		     
WAGONER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.