Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 72
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
EASTERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 555 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA TO 45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 70...WW 71...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EASTWARD ACROSS LA
THIS AFTERNOON IN VICINITY OF A RETREATING WARM FRONT. VERTICAL
SHEAR WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING PROVIDING A RISK OF
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS MAY LINGER IN THIS REGION
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 72 TORNADO AL LA MS CW 262255Z - 270600Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NNW LFT/LAFAYETTE LA/ - 45SE MOB/MOBILE AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM N/S /43SSE AEX - 45SE SJI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 31979216 31598772 28848772 29229216
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 72 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 72
VALID 270440Z - 270540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW 7R4
TO 30 SSW BTR TO 30 SW MCB TO 35 SSW PIB TO 40 WSW GZH.
..BROYLES..03/27/09
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-097-270540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN MOBILE
$$
LAC005-007-051-057-063-071-075-087-089-091-093-095-103-105-109-
117-270540-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION JEFFERSON
LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES
ST. HELENA ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST
ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TERREBONNE
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC039-045-047-059-109-131-270540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON PEARL RIVER STONE
$$
GMZ530-550-555-630-650-270540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 72
VALID 270330Z - 270440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW LFT
TO 40 NW BTR TO 20 S HEZ TO 25 NE MCB TO 30 E PIB TO 60 SE MEI.
..BROYLES..03/27/09
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-097-129-270440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN MOBILE WASHINGTON
$$
LAC005-007-033-037-047-051-057-063-071-075-077-087-089-091-093-
095-103-105-109-117-121-125-270440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON
LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD
ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
TERREBONNE WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC005-035-039-041-045-047-059-073-091-109-111-113-131-147-157-
270440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE FORREST GEORGE
GREENE HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON LAMAR MARION
PEARL RIVER PERRY PIKE
STONE WALTHALL WILKINSON
$$
GMZ530-550-555-630-650-270440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 72
VALID 270135Z - 270240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/27/09
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-097-129-270240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN MOBILE WASHINGTON
$$
LAC005-007-025-029-033-037-041-047-051-057-063-071-075-077-087-
089-091-093-095-103-105-107-109-117-121-125-270240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
FRANKLIN IBERVILLE JEFFERSON
LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD
ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS TERREBONNE WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-029-031-035-037-039-041-045-047-049-059-063-065-
067-073-077-085-091-109-111-113-121-127-131-147-153-157-
270240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
COPIAH COVINGTON FORREST
FRANKLIN GEORGE GREENE
HANCOCK HARRISON HINDS
JACKSON JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES LAMAR LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARION PEARL RIVER
PERRY PIKE RANKIN
SIMPSON STONE WALTHALL
WAYNE WILKINSON
$$
GMZ530-550-555-630-650-270240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 72
VALID 270100Z - 270240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/27/09
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-097-129-270240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN MOBILE WASHINGTON
$$
LAC005-007-025-029-033-037-041-047-051-057-063-071-075-077-087-
089-091-093-095-103-105-107-109-117-121-125-270240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
FRANKLIN IBERVILLE JEFFERSON
LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD
ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS TERREBONNE WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-029-031-035-037-039-041-045-047-049-059-063-065-
067-073-077-085-091-109-111-113-121-127-131-147-153-157-
270240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
COPIAH COVINGTON FORREST
FRANKLIN GEORGE GREENE
HANCOCK HARRISON HINDS
JACKSON JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES LAMAR LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARION PEARL RIVER
PERRY PIKE RANKIN
SIMPSON STONE WALTHALL
WAYNE WILKINSON
$$
GMZ530-550-555-630-650-270240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 72
VALID 262345Z - 270040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/26/09
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-097-129-270040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN MOBILE WASHINGTON
$$
LAC005-007-025-029-033-037-041-047-051-057-063-071-075-077-087-
089-091-093-095-103-105-107-109-117-121-125-270040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
FRANKLIN IBERVILLE JEFFERSON
LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD
ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS TERREBONNE WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-029-031-035-037-039-041-045-047-049-059-063-065-
067-073-077-085-091-109-111-113-121-127-131-147-153-157-
270040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
COPIAH COVINGTON FORREST
FRANKLIN GEORGE GREENE
HANCOCK HARRISON HINDS
JACKSON JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES LAMAR LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARION PEARL RIVER
PERRY PIKE RANKIN
SIMPSON STONE WALTHALL
WAYNE WILKINSON
$$
GMZ530-550-555-630-650-270040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
