Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 74
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHERN GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1225 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FL PANHANDLE INTO
SOUTHWEST GA WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS WW AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL INTERACT WITH RETREATING WARM
FRONT...POSING A THREAT OF EMBEDDED BOW/LEWP STRUCTURES AND A RISK
OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 74
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHERN GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1225 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FL PANHANDLE INTO
SOUTHWEST GA WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS WW AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL INTERACT WITH RETREATING WARM
FRONT...POSING A THREAT OF EMBEDDED BOW/LEWP STRUCTURES AND A RISK
OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 74 SEVERE TSTM FL GA CW 221725Z - 230100Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15SW PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/ - 25SE SAV/SAVANNAH GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /63SE CEW - 20SSE SAV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 30718586 32528090 31218090 29428586
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 74 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 74
VALID 222250Z - 222340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW PFN
TO 15 S MAI TO 10 NNE VLD TO 20 SW SSI.
..SPC..02/22/08
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 74
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-037-039-045-065-073-077-079-129-222340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
WAKULLA
$$
GAC065-101-185-222340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLINCH ECHOLS LOWNDES
$$
GMZ750-755-222340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 74
VALID 222140Z - 222240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE MAI
TO 10 N VLD TO 15 WNW SSI TO 35 NNE SAV.
..DARROW..02/22/08
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 74
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-129-222240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON WAKULLA
$$
GAC025-027-051-065-087-101-127-131-185-191-253-275-299-222240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY BROOKS CHATHAM
CLINCH DECATUR ECHOLS
GLYNN GRADY LOWNDES
MCINTOSH SEMINOLE THOMAS
WARE
$$
GMZ750-755-222240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 74
VALID 222045Z - 222140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE MAI
TO 10 SSW MGR TO 20 N AYS TO 15 E VDI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 295
..HURLBUT..02/22/08
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 74
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-129-222140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON WAKULLA
$$
GAC025-027-029-051-065-087-101-127-131-173-179-183-185-191-229-
253-275-299-305-222140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN
CHATHAM CLINCH DECATUR
ECHOLS GLYNN GRADY
LANIER LIBERTY LONG
LOWNDES MCINTOSH PIERCE
SEMINOLE THOMAS WARE
WAYNE
$$
GMZ750-755-222140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 74
VALID 221930Z - 222040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW PFN TO
40 ENE MAI TO 15 NNW MGR TO 45 NE MGR.
..HURLBUT..02/22/08
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 74
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-129-222040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON WAKULLA
$$
GAC001-003-005-019-025-027-029-051-065-069-071-075-087-101-127-
131-161-173-179-183-185-191-229-253-275-299-305-222040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BERRIEN BRANTLEY BROOKS
BRYAN CHATHAM CLINCH
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
DECATUR ECHOLS GLYNN
GRADY JEFF DAVIS LANIER
LIBERTY LONG LOWNDES
MCINTOSH PIERCE SEMINOLE
THOMAS WARE WAYNE
$$
GMZ750-755-222040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 74
VALID 221835Z - 221940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..02/22/08
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 74
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-129-133-221940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON WAKULLA WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-029-051-065-069-071-075-087-
095-101-127-131-155-161-173-179-183-185-191-201-205-229-253-275-
277-287-299-305-321-221940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRANTLEY BROOKS BRYAN
CHATHAM CLINCH COFFEE
COLQUITT COOK DECATUR
DOUGHERTY ECHOLS GLYNN
GRADY IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LIBERTY LONG
LOWNDES MCINTOSH MILLER
MITCHELL PIERCE SEMINOLE
THOMAS TIFT TURNER
WARE WAYNE WORTH
$$
GMZ750-755-221940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.