Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 80
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF HOUSTON TEXAS TO 70 MILES WEST OF ANGLETON TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 79...
DISCUSSION...GIVEN PERSISTENT MOIST LOW-LVL INFLOW AND EXPECTED
INCREASE IN UPR-LVL DIVERGENCE WITH THE CONTINUED ENE MOVEMENT OF
NRN MEXICO UPR IMPULSE...SCTD...SUSTAINED...DISCRETE STORMS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE FORMING INVOF DIFFUSE WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE ERN
PARTS OF THE TX HILL COUNTRY SE TO NEAR BAY CITY ON THE MIDDLE TX
GULF CST. THESE STORMS MAY POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY
DMGG WIND...AND MAY SLOWLY MERGE INTO A SMALL MCS LATER THIS EVE. IN
ADDITION...35 KT WSWLY DEEP SHEAR AND BACKED LOW-LVL WINDS MAY
PROMOTE LOW-LVL STORM ROTATION AND A CONDITIONAL TORNADO RISK.
ATTM...MODEST STRENGTH OF 850-700 MB FLOW EXPECTED TO LIMIT
HODOGRAPH SIZE AND TORNADO POTENTIAL...BUT ENVIRONMENT AND STORM
BEHAVIOR WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW UPGRADE THROUGH THE EVE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26020.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 80 SEVERE TSTM TX CW 022045Z - 030400Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
65NNW HOU/HOUSTON TX/ - 70W LBX/ANGLETON TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /38NNW IAH - 27NW PSX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26020.
LAT...LON 30519434 29119530 29119794 30519704
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 80 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 80
VALID 030335Z - 030440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE PSX
TO 25 W HOU TO 10 SSW UTS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 377
..COHEN..04/03/13
ATTN...WFO...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 80
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC039-071-157-167-201-291-321-339-373-407-471-030440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CHAMBERS FORT BEND
GALVESTON HARRIS LIBERTY
MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY POLK
SAN JACINTO WALKER
$$
GMZ335-030440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 80
VALID 030235Z - 030340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE BAZ
TO 50 N VCT TO 25 SW UTS.
..GRAMS..04/03/13
ATTN...WFO...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 80
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC015-039-071-089-157-167-201-239-291-321-339-373-407-471-473-
481-030340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA CHAMBERS
COLORADO FORT BEND GALVESTON
HARRIS JACKSON LIBERTY
MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY POLK
SAN JACINTO WALKER WALLER
WHARTON
$$
GMZ335-030340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 80
VALID 030130Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E BAZ TO
10 ESE CLL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 376.
..GRAMS..04/03/13
ATTN...WFO...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 80
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC015-039-071-089-157-167-185-201-239-291-321-339-373-407-471-
473-477-481-030240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA CHAMBERS
COLORADO FORT BEND GALVESTON
GRIMES HARRIS JACKSON
LIBERTY MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY
POLK SAN JACINTO WALKER
WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ335-030240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 80
VALID 030040Z - 030140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..04/03/13
ATTN...WFO...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 80
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-201-291-339-373-407-471-
473-477-481-030140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARRIS LIBERTY MONTGOMERY
POLK SAN JACINTO WALKER
WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ335-030140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 80
VALID 022335Z - 030040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 373.
..GRAMS..04/02/13
ATTN...WFO...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 80
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-201-291-339-373-407-471-
473-477-481-030040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARRIS LIBERTY MONTGOMERY
POLK SAN JACINTO WALKER
WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ335-030040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 80
VALID 022250Z - 022340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 373
..COHEN..04/02/13
ATTN...WFO...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 80
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-201-291-339-373-407-471-
473-477-481-022340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARRIS LIBERTY MONTGOMERY
POLK SAN JACINTO WALKER
WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ335-022340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.