Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 82
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM EDT THU APR 4 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1215 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF FORT
MEYERS FLORIDA TO 35 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VERO BEACH FLORIDA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...TSTMS ASSOCIATED WITH E GULF OF MEXICO MCS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE EWD INTO THE SRN HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA THROUGH THIS
AFTN. CURRENT WIND PROFILES OVER CNTRL/SRN FL...ALREADY SUFFICIENT
FOR SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO SOMEWHAT STRENGTHEN
WITH THE CONTINUED ESE ADVANCE OF ARKLATEX UPR TROUGH. AT THE SAME
TIME...OTHER STORMS MAY FORM ALONG AND S OF QSTNRY W-E OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY NOW EXTENDING FROM S OF TPA TO NEAR MLB. COMBINATION OF
STRENGTHENING SHEAR...MODERATE SFC HEATING...AND
MOISTURE-RICH...CONFLUENT LOW-LVL SLY FLOW S OF THE BOUNDARY/E OF
THE MCS SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LONGER-LIVED SUPERCELLS WITH A
RISK FOR TORNADOES...DMGG WIND....AND POSSIBLY SVR HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 82 TORNADO FL CW 041615Z - 050000Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
35WSW FMY/FORT MEYERS FL/ - 35SE VRB/VERO BEACH FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM EITHER SIDE /34WSW RSW - 34SE VRB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 27618288 28528051 26057952 25158191
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 82 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 82
VALID 042330Z - 050000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW MTH TO
25 NE PBI.
WW 82 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 050000Z.
..GARNER..04/04/13
ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 82
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-021-051-086-087-099-050000-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD COLLIER HENDRY
MIAMI-DADE MONROE PALM BEACH
$$
AMZ610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-050000-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 82
VALID 042235Z - 042340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW APF
TO 55 E FMY TO 25 NNE PBI.
..GARNER..04/04/13
ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 82
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-021-051-086-087-099-042340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD COLLIER HENDRY
MIAMI-DADE MONROE PALM BEACH
$$
AMZ610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-042340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 82
VALID 042135Z - 042240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW APF TO
10 N APF TO 55 W PBI TO 35 NNE PBI.
..GARNER..04/04/13
ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 82
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-021-051-086-087-099-042240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD COLLIER HENDRY
MIAMI-DADE MONROE PALM BEACH
$$
AMZ610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-042240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 82
VALID 042035Z - 042140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW APF
TO 15 ENE VRB.
..DIAL..04/04/13
ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 82
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-021-051-085-086-087-099-111-042140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD COLLIER HENDRY
MARTIN MIAMI-DADE MONROE
PALM BEACH ST. LUCIE
$$
AMZ555-610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-042140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 82
VALID 041940Z - 042040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W APF TO
20 NNE MLB.
..DIAL..04/04/13
ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 82
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-021-043-051-061-071-085-086-087-093-099-111-042040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD COLLIER GLADES
HENDRY INDIAN RIVER LEE
MARTIN MIAMI-DADE MONROE
OKEECHOBEE PALM BEACH ST. LUCIE
$$
AMZ552-555-610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-042040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 82
VALID 041830Z - 041940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW FMY
TO 25 SE ORL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 386
..DIAL..04/04/13
ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 82
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-011-015-021-027-043-051-055-061-071-085-086-087-093-097-
099-111-041940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD BROWARD CHARLOTTE
COLLIER DESOTO GLADES
HENDRY HIGHLANDS INDIAN RIVER
LEE MARTIN MIAMI-DADE
MONROE OKEECHOBEE OSCEOLA
PALM BEACH ST. LUCIE
$$
AMZ552-555-610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-856-041940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 82
VALID 041745Z - 041840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW FMY
TO 35 SSW ORL.
..DIAL..04/04/13
ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 82
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-011-015-021-027-043-049-051-055-061-071-081-085-086-087-
093-097-099-105-111-115-041840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD BROWARD CHARLOTTE
COLLIER DESOTO GLADES
HARDEE HENDRY HIGHLANDS
INDIAN RIVER LEE MANATEE
MARTIN MIAMI-DADE MONROE
OKEECHOBEE OSCEOLA PALM BEACH
POLK ST. LUCIE SARASOTA
$$
AMZ552-555-610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-856-041840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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