SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 83
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   220 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST KANSAS
          SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL 900
   PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES WEST OF
   CHANUTE KANSAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD
   MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...INITIALLY ELEVATED STORMS NEAR ICT APPEAR TO BE
   EVOLVING INTO SURFACE-BASED STORMS WITH MORE SUPERCELL STRUCTURE. 
   GIVEN THE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG AND
   EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR NEAR 50 KT...THE RISK FOR ORGANIZED
   STORMS/SUPERCELLS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO SW MO. 
   LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISK...THOUGH ISOLATED
   DAMAGING GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS ANY
   UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A SMALL MCS LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27025.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 83
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   220 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST KANSAS
          SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL 900
   PM CDT.
   
   SCATTERED LARGE HAIL
   ISOLATED HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES WEST OF
   CHANUTE KANSAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD
   MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...INITIALLY ELEVATED STORMS NEAR ICT APPEAR TO BE
   EVOLVING INTO SURFACE-BASED STORMS WITH MORE SUPERCELL STRUCTURE. 
   GIVEN THE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG AND
   EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR NEAR 50 KT...THE RISK FOR ORGANIZED
   STORMS/SUPERCELLS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO SW MO. 
   LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISK...THOUGH ISOLATED
   DAMAGING GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS ANY
   UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A SMALL MCS LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27025.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 83
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   220 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST KANSAS
          SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL 900
   PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES WEST OF
   CHANUTE KANSAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD
   MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...INITIALLY ELEVATED STORMS NEAR ICT APPEAR TO BE
   EVOLVING INTO SURFACE-BASED STORMS WITH MORE SUPERCELL STRUCTURE. 
   GIVEN THE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG AND
   EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR NEAR 50 KT...THE RISK FOR ORGANIZED
   STORMS/SUPERCELLS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO SW MO. 
   LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISK...THOUGH ISOLATED
   DAMAGING GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS ANY
   UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A SMALL MCS LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27025.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   WOUS64 KWNS 071915
   WOU3
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 83
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   220 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 83 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   KSC001-011-015-019-021-035-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-
   080200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0083.130407T1920Z-130408T0200Z/
   
   KS 
   .    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ALLEN                BOURBON             BUTLER              
   CHAUTAUQUA           CHEROKEE            COWLEY              
   CRAWFORD             ELK                 GREENWOOD           
   LABETTE              MONTGOMERY          NEOSHO              
   WILSON               WOODSON             
   
   
   MOC011-039-057-077-085-097-109-167-185-217-080200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0083.130407T1920Z-130408T0200Z/
   
   MO 
   .    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BARTON               CEDAR               DADE                
   GREENE               HICKORY             JASPER              
   LAWRENCE             POLK                ST. CLAIR           
   VERNON               
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...
   
   
   

   SAW3 
   WW 83 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 071920Z - 080200Z
   AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   80W CNU/CHANUTE KS/ - 20NNE SGF/SPRINGFIELD MO/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM N/S /31E ICT - 9NNE SGF/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
   
   LAT...LON 38169694 37999323 36979323 37159694
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU3.
   

Watch 83 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 83

VALID 080040Z - 080140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE CNU TO
30 WSW JLN TO 15 NW UMN TO 50 SW SZL.

..BROYLES..04/08/13

ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 83 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC001-015-019-035-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-080140-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEN		     BUTLER		 CHAUTAUQUA	     
COWLEY		     ELK		 GREENWOOD	     
LABETTE 	     MONTGOMERY 	 NEOSHO 	     
WILSON		     WOODSON		 
$$


MOC039-057-059-077-085-105-109-167-185-225-229-080140-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CEDAR		     DADE		 DALLAS 	     
GREENE		     HICKORY		 LACLEDE	     
LAWRENCE	     POLK		 ST. CLAIR	     
WEBSTER 	     WRIGHT		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 83

VALID 072335Z - 080040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..BROYLES..04/07/13

ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 83 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC001-011-015-019-021-035-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-
080040-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEN		     BOURBON		 BUTLER 	     
CHAUTAUQUA	     CHEROKEE		 COWLEY 	     
CRAWFORD	     ELK		 GREENWOOD	     
LABETTE 	     MONTGOMERY 	 NEOSHO 	     
WILSON		     WOODSON		 
$$


MOC011-039-057-077-085-097-109-167-185-217-080040-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTON		     CEDAR		 DADE		     
GREENE		     HICKORY		 JASPER 	     
LAWRENCE	     POLK		 ST. CLAIR	     
VERNON		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 83

VALID 072250Z - 072340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..BROYLES..04/07/13

ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 83 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC001-011-015-019-021-035-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-
072340-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEN		     BOURBON		 BUTLER 	     
CHAUTAUQUA	     CHEROKEE		 COWLEY 	     
CRAWFORD	     ELK		 GREENWOOD	     
LABETTE 	     MONTGOMERY 	 NEOSHO 	     
WILSON		     WOODSON		 
$$


MOC011-039-057-077-085-097-109-167-185-217-072340-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTON		     CEDAR		 DADE		     
GREENE		     HICKORY		 JASPER 	     
LAWRENCE	     POLK		 ST. CLAIR	     
VERNON		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 83

VALID 072140Z - 072240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..BROYLES..04/07/13

ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 83 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC001-011-015-019-021-035-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-
072240-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEN		     BOURBON		 BUTLER 	     
CHAUTAUQUA	     CHEROKEE		 COWLEY 	     
CRAWFORD	     ELK		 GREENWOOD	     
LABETTE 	     MONTGOMERY 	 NEOSHO 	     
WILSON		     WOODSON		 
$$


MOC011-039-057-077-085-097-109-167-185-217-072240-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTON		     CEDAR		 DADE		     
GREENE		     HICKORY		 JASPER 	     
LAWRENCE	     POLK		 ST. CLAIR	     
VERNON		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.