Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 83
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
200 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
PARTS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 200 PM UNTIL 800
PM CST.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF GAGE OKLAHOMA TO 50 MILES EAST OF WICHITA KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...STRONG COLD FRONT CONTINUES SEWD AND BEGINNING TO MOVE
INTO THE MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. WITH STEEP
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 40-50KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR...STORMS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP VICINITY OF THE FRONT WITH PRIMARY THREAT LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...HALES
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 83
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
200 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
PARTS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 200 PM UNTIL 800
PM CST.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF GAGE OKLAHOMA TO 50 MILES EAST OF WICHITA KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...STRONG COLD FRONT CONTINUES SEWD AND BEGINNING TO MOVE
INTO THE MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. WITH STEEP
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 40-50KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR...STORMS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP VICINITY OF THE FRONT WITH PRIMARY THREAT LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 83 SEVERE TSTM KS OK TX 022000Z - 030200Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35SW GAG/GAGE OK/ - 50E ICT/WICHITA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /29SSW GAG - 51E ICT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 36860020 38599651 36709651 34990020
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 83 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 83
VALID 030055Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW END
TO 35 E ICT TO 45 SE SLN.
..DARROW..03/03/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 83
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-035-115-030140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE COWLEY
MARION
$$
OKC047-071-103-030140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARFIELD KAY NOBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 83
VALID 022335Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE END TO
15 SW END TO 15 NW END TO 40 E P28 TO 15 E HUT.
..CROSBIE..03/02/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 83
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-035-077-079-115-173-191-030040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE COWLEY
HARPER HARVEY MARION
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC047-053-071-103-030040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARFIELD GRANT KAY
NOBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 83
VALID 022235Z - 022340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE END TO
15 SW END TO 15 NW END TO 25 WSW AVK TO 25 WNW P28.
..CROSBIE..03/02/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 83
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-017-035-077-079-095-115-155-173-191-022340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHASE
COWLEY HARPER HARVEY
KINGMAN MARION RENO
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-047-053-071-103-151-022340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA GARFIELD GRANT
KAY NOBLE WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 83
VALID 022140Z - 022240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE END TO
15 SW END TO 10 NW END TO 20 WSW AVK TO 50 SSE DDC.
..CROSBIE..03/02/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 83
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-017-033-035-077-079-095-115-155-173-191-022240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHASE
COMANCHE COWLEY HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN MARION
RENO SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-047-053-071-103-151-022240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA GARFIELD GRANT
KAY NOBLE WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 83
VALID 022100Z - 022240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..CROSBIE..03/02/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 83
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-017-033-035-077-079-095-115-155-173-191-022240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHASE
COMANCHE COWLEY HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN MARION
RENO SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-047-053-059-071-103-151-022240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA GARFIELD GRANT
HARPER KAY NOBLE
WOODS
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-022240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
