Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 88...RESENT
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
CENTRAL INDIANA
WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL OHIO
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF MATTOON ILLINOIS TO 20 MILES EAST OF MANSFIELD OHIO.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG
A FRONTAL ZONE FROM CENTRAL IL EWD INTO INDIANA AND OH. A FEED OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY FROM THE SW AND DEEP WSWLY-WLY WIND PROFILES
WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 88 SEVERE TSTM IL IN OH 101755Z - 110100Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25WSW MTO/MATTOON IL/ - 20E MFD/MANSFIELD OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /26SSE AXC - 38SSW CLE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 39978870 41478213 40168213 38688870
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 88 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 88
VALID 110033Z - 110140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW LUK
TO 20 SSE MIE TO 35 WNW DAY TO 25 ESE FWA TO 35 SSE FDY TO 20 W
ZZV.
REMAINDER WW MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 100Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 433.
..EDWARDS..04/11/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...ILN...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC041-161-177-110140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE UNION WAYNE
$$
OHC003-011-021-023-037-041-049-057-065-089-091-097-107-109-113-
135-149-159-161-110140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AUGLAIZE CHAMPAIGN
CLARK DARKE DELAWARE
FRANKLIN GREENE HARDIN
LICKING LOGAN MADISON
MERCER MIAMI MONTGOMERY
PREBLE SHELBY UNION
VAN WERT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 88
VALID 102340Z - 110040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W FDY TO
20 W MFD TO 25 E MFD.
INDIANA/IL PORTIONS OF WW SOON WILL BE REPLACED/UPDATED WITH NEW
SVR TSTM WW.
..EDWARDS..04/10/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...ILN...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-041-045-049-079-101-139-147-159-173-
183-110040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DOUGLAS EDGAR EFFINGHAM
JASPER LAWRENCE MOULTRIE
PIATT RICHLAND SHELBY
VERMILION
$$
INC001-009-011-015-021-023-035-041-045-053-057-059-063-065-067-
075-081-095-097-107-109-119-121-133-135-139-145-153-157-159-161-
165-167-171-177-179-110040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLACKFORD BOONE
CARROLL CLAY CLINTON
DELAWARE FAYETTE FOUNTAIN
GRANT HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
JAY JOHNSON MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWEN PARKE PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RUSH SHELBY
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
UNION VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WAYNE WELLS
$$
OHC003-011-021-023-037-041-049-057-065-075-083-089-091-097-101-
107-109-113-117-135-149-151-159-161-169-110040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AUGLAIZE CHAMPAIGN
CLARK DARKE DELAWARE
FRANKLIN GREENE HARDIN
HOLMES KNOX LICKING
LOGAN MADISON MARION
MERCER MIAMI MONTGOMERY
MORROW PREBLE SHELBY
STARK UNION VAN WERT
WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 88
VALID 102225Z - 102340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..04/10/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...ILN...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-041-045-049-079-101-139-147-159-173-
183-102340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DOUGLAS EDGAR EFFINGHAM
JASPER LAWRENCE MOULTRIE
PIATT RICHLAND SHELBY
VERMILION
$$
INC001-009-011-015-021-023-035-041-045-053-057-059-063-065-067-
075-081-095-097-107-109-119-121-133-135-139-145-153-157-159-161-
165-167-171-177-179-102340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLACKFORD BOONE
CARROLL CLAY CLINTON
DELAWARE FAYETTE FOUNTAIN
GRANT HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
JAY JOHNSON MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWEN PARKE PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RUSH SHELBY
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
UNION VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WAYNE WELLS
$$
OHC003-005-011-021-023-033-037-041-049-057-063-065-075-077-083-
089-091-097-101-107-109-113-117-135-137-139-147-149-151-159-161-
169-175-102340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ASHLAND AUGLAIZE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CRAWFORD
DARKE DELAWARE FRANKLIN
GREENE HANCOCK HARDIN
HOLMES HURON KNOX
LICKING LOGAN MADISON
MARION MERCER MIAMI
MONTGOMERY MORROW PREBLE
PUTNAM RICHLAND SENECA
SHELBY STARK UNION
VAN WERT WAYNE WYANDOT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 88
VALID 102125Z - 102240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..04/10/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...ILN...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-041-045-049-079-101-139-147-159-173-
183-102240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DOUGLAS EDGAR EFFINGHAM
JASPER LAWRENCE MOULTRIE
PIATT RICHLAND SHELBY
VERMILION
$$
INC001-009-011-015-021-023-035-041-045-053-057-059-063-065-067-
075-081-095-097-107-109-119-121-133-135-139-145-153-157-159-161-
165-167-171-177-179-102240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLACKFORD BOONE
CARROLL CLAY CLINTON
DELAWARE FAYETTE FOUNTAIN
GRANT HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
JAY JOHNSON MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWEN PARKE PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RUSH SHELBY
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
UNION VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WAYNE WELLS
$$
OHC003-005-011-021-023-033-037-041-049-057-063-065-075-077-083-
089-091-097-101-107-109-113-117-135-137-139-147-149-151-159-161-
169-175-102240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ASHLAND AUGLAIZE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CRAWFORD
DARKE DELAWARE FRANKLIN
GREENE HANCOCK HARDIN
HOLMES HURON KNOX
LICKING LOGAN MADISON
MARION MERCER MIAMI
MONTGOMERY MORROW PREBLE
PUTNAM RICHLAND SENECA
SHELBY STARK UNION
VAN WERT WAYNE WYANDOT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 88
VALID 102030Z - 102140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 428
..MOSIER..04/10/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...ILN...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-041-045-049-079-101-139-147-159-173-
183-102140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DOUGLAS EDGAR EFFINGHAM
JASPER LAWRENCE MOULTRIE
PIATT RICHLAND SHELBY
VERMILION
$$
INC001-009-011-015-021-023-035-041-045-053-057-059-063-065-067-
075-081-095-097-107-109-119-121-133-135-139-145-153-157-159-161-
165-167-171-177-179-102140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLACKFORD BOONE
CARROLL CLAY CLINTON
DELAWARE FAYETTE FOUNTAIN
GRANT HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
JAY JOHNSON MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWEN PARKE PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RUSH SHELBY
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
UNION VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WAYNE WELLS
$$
OHC003-005-011-021-023-033-037-041-049-057-063-065-075-077-083-
089-091-097-101-107-109-113-117-135-137-139-147-149-151-159-161-
169-175-102140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ASHLAND AUGLAIZE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CRAWFORD
DARKE DELAWARE FRANKLIN
GREENE HANCOCK HARDIN
HOLMES HURON KNOX
LICKING LOGAN MADISON
MARION MERCER MIAMI
MONTGOMERY MORROW PREBLE
PUTNAM RICHLAND SENECA
SHELBY STARK UNION
VAN WERT WAYNE WYANDOT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 88
VALID 101920Z - 102040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOSIER..04/10/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...ILN...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-041-045-049-079-101-139-147-159-173-
183-102040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DOUGLAS EDGAR EFFINGHAM
JASPER LAWRENCE MOULTRIE
PIATT RICHLAND SHELBY
VERMILION
$$
INC001-009-011-015-021-023-035-041-045-053-057-059-063-065-067-
075-081-095-097-107-109-119-121-133-135-139-145-153-157-159-161-
165-167-171-177-179-102040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLACKFORD BOONE
CARROLL CLAY CLINTON
DELAWARE FAYETTE FOUNTAIN
GRANT HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
JAY JOHNSON MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWEN PARKE PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RUSH SHELBY
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
UNION VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WAYNE WELLS
$$
OHC003-005-011-021-023-033-037-041-049-057-063-065-075-077-083-
089-091-097-101-107-109-113-117-135-137-139-147-149-151-159-161-
169-175-102040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ASHLAND AUGLAIZE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CRAWFORD
DARKE DELAWARE FRANKLIN
GREENE HANCOCK HARDIN
HOLMES HURON KNOX
LICKING LOGAN MADISON
MARION MERCER MIAMI
MONTGOMERY MORROW PREBLE
PUTNAM RICHLAND SENECA
SHELBY STARK UNION
VAN WERT WAYNE WYANDOT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.