Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 89
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1020 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1020 AM UNTIL
600 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
MACON GEORGIA TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 87. WATCH NUMBER 87 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1020
AM EDT.
DISCUSSION...A LARGE MCS WITH EMBEDDED BOW ECHOES/SUPERCELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ENEWD IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK MESOLOW IN SW
GA...AND A WARM FRONT LIFTING SLOWLY NWD FROM SRN INTO CENTRAL GA.
A FEED OF MID-UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS FROM THE NE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
MAINTAIN SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR STRONG UPDRAFTS...WHILE
LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 89 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 281420Z - 282200Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35ENE MCN/MACON GA/ - 45WSW AAF/APALACHICOLA FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /31ENE MCN - 95SSE CEW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
REPLACES WW 87..AL FL GA MS CW
LAT...LON 32888188 29468455 29468687 32888430
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 89 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 89
VALID 282140Z - 282240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE PNS TO
25 E PFN TO 25 E MAI TO 30 SW ABY TO 45 ENE ABY TO 35 SW VDI.
..BROYLES..03/28/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 89
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC037-039-045-065-073-077-079-123-129-282240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC019-027-071-075-087-131-155-173-185-205-275-277-282240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BROOKS COLQUITT
COOK DECATUR GRADY
IRWIN LANIER LOWNDES
MITCHELL THOMAS TIFT
$$
GMZ730-755-282240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 89
VALID 282005Z - 282140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW PFN
TO 35 SW ABY TO 20 SW VDI.
..SPC..03/28/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 89
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC013-037-039-045-065-073-077-079-123-129-282140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN
GULF JEFFERSON LEON
LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR
WAKULLA
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-071-075-087-131-155-173-185-201-205-209-253-
271-275-277-279-309-321-282140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS COLQUITT COOK
DECATUR GRADY IRWIN
LANIER LOWNDES MILLER
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY SEMINOLE
TELFAIR THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS WHEELER WORTH
$$
GMZ730-755-282140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 89
VALID 281745Z - 281840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW DHN TO
25 W ABY TO 35 SSW AGS.
..SPC..03/28/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 89
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC069-281840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-281840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-071-075-087-091-095-099-107-131-155-173-
175-185-201-205-209-253-271-275-277-279-283-287-309-315-321-
281840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN COLQUITT
COOK DECATUR DODGE
DOUGHERTY EARLY EMANUEL
GRADY IRWIN LANIER
LAURENS LOWNDES MILLER
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY SEMINOLE
TELFAIR THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TURNER
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
GMZ730-750-755-281840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 89
VALID 281645Z - 281740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..03/28/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 89
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-281740-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-065-073-077-079-091-123-129-131-
133-281740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON
LIBERTY MADISON OKALOOSA
TAYLOR WAKULLA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-009-017-019-021-023-027-037-061-071-075-079-081-087-091-
093-095-099-107-131-153-155-163-167-169-173-175-177-185-193-201-
205-209-225-235-239-243-249-253-261-269-271-273-275-277-279-283-
287-289-303-309-315-319-321-281740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BEN HILL
BERRIEN BIBB BLECKLEY
BROOKS CALHOUN CLAY
COLQUITT COOK CRAWFORD
CRISP DECATUR DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
EMANUEL GRADY HOUSTON
IRWIN JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES LANIER LAURENS
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MILLER MITCHELL MONTGOMERY
PEACH PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCHLEY SEMINOLE
SUMTER TAYLOR TELFAIR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TURNER
TWIGGS WASHINGTON WHEELER
WILCOX WILKINSON WORTH
$$
GMZ655-730-750-755-281740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 89
VALID 281535Z - 281640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..03/28/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 89
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-281640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-065-073-077-079-091-113-123-129-
131-133-281640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON
LIBERTY MADISON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA TAYLOR WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-009-017-019-021-023-027-037-061-071-075-079-081-087-091-
093-095-099-107-131-153-155-163-167-169-173-175-177-185-193-201-
205-209-225-235-239-243-249-253-261-269-271-273-275-277-279-283-
287-289-303-309-315-319-321-281640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BEN HILL
BERRIEN BIBB BLECKLEY
BROOKS CALHOUN CLAY
COLQUITT COOK CRAWFORD
CRISP DECATUR DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
EMANUEL GRADY HOUSTON
IRWIN JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES LANIER LAURENS
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MILLER MITCHELL MONTGOMERY
PEACH PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCHLEY SEMINOLE
SUMTER TAYLOR TELFAIR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TURNER
TWIGGS WASHINGTON WHEELER
WILCOX WILKINSON WORTH
$$
GMZ655-730-750-755-281640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.