Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 90
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
CENTRAL AND COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1250 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF VALDOSTA
GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 89...
DISCUSSION...A LARGE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER WITH AN EMBEDDED MCV WILL
LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WHILE MOVING NEWD FROM GA INTO
SC. INSTABILITY IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG E OF THE ONGOING
STORMS...BUT SOME MOISTENING AND CONTINUED SURFACE HEATING SHOULD
RESULT IN SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION TO MAINTAIN THE CLUSTER. GIVEN
THE ORGANIZED BOWING SEGMENTS AND MODERATELY STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR...A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO
DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 90 TORNADO GA SC CW 281650Z - 290000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NNW CHS/CHARLESTON SC/ - 30ESE VLD/VALDOSTA GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /35NNW CHS - 58SSW AMG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 33437916 30618172 30618391 33438141
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 90 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 90
VALID 282240Z - 282340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW VDI
TO 35 NW SAV TO 40 NNE SAV TO 20 NNW CHS TO 40 N CHS.
..BROYLES..03/28/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 90
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC001-003-005-025-029-031-039-049-051-065-069-101-103-109-127-
161-179-183-191-229-267-299-305-282340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BRANTLEY BRYAN BULLOCH
CAMDEN CHARLTON CHATHAM
CLINCH COFFEE ECHOLS
EFFINGHAM EVANS GLYNN
JEFF DAVIS LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH PIERCE TATTNALL
WARE WAYNE
$$
SCC013-019-029-053-282340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CHARLESTON COLLETON
JASPER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-282340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 90
VALID 282140Z - 282240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW VDI TO
45 NNW SAV TO 30 SSW OGB TO 5 SSW OGB TO 10 WNW OGB.
..BROYLES..03/28/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 90
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC001-003-005-025-029-031-039-049-051-065-069-101-103-109-127-
161-179-183-191-229-267-299-305-282240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BRANTLEY BRYAN BULLOCH
CAMDEN CHARLTON CHATHAM
CLINCH COFFEE ECHOLS
EFFINGHAM EVANS GLYNN
JEFF DAVIS LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH PIERCE TATTNALL
WARE WAYNE
$$
SCC013-015-017-019-027-029-035-049-053-075-085-282240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERKELEY CALHOUN
CHARLESTON CLARENDON COLLETON
DORCHESTER HAMPTON JASPER
ORANGEBURG SUMTER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-282240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 90
VALID 282005Z - 282140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW VDI
TO 20 NNW SAV TO 35 S OGB TO 10 W OGB.
..SPC..03/28/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 90
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC001-003-005-025-029-031-039-049-051-065-069-101-103-109-127-
161-179-183-191-229-267-299-305-282140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BRANTLEY BRYAN BULLOCH
CAMDEN CHARLTON CHATHAM
CLINCH COFFEE ECHOLS
EFFINGHAM EVANS GLYNN
JEFF DAVIS LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH PIERCE TATTNALL
WARE WAYNE
$$
SCC013-015-017-019-027-029-035-049-053-075-085-282140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERKELEY CALHOUN
CHARLESTON CLARENDON COLLETON
DORCHESTER HAMPTON JASPER
ORANGEBURG SUMTER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-282140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 90
VALID 281755Z - 281840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..03/28/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 90
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC001-003-005-025-029-031-033-039-043-049-051-065-069-101-103-
109-127-161-165-179-183-191-229-245-251-267-299-305-281840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BRANTLEY BRYAN BULLOCH
BURKE CAMDEN CANDLER
CHARLTON CHATHAM CLINCH
COFFEE ECHOLS EFFINGHAM
EVANS GLYNN JEFF DAVIS
JENKINS LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH PIERCE RICHMOND
SCREVEN TATTNALL WARE
WAYNE
$$
SCC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-035-049-053-075-085-
281840-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AIKEN ALLENDALE BAMBERG
BARNWELL BEAUFORT BERKELEY
CALHOUN CHARLESTON CLARENDON
COLLETON DORCHESTER HAMPTON
JASPER ORANGEBURG SUMTER
$$
AMZ330-350-352-354-450-281840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.