Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 90
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 PM CDT WED APR 10 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF SCOTT
AFB ILLINOIS TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF WEST PLAINS MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 88...WW 89...
DISCUSSION...SURFACE HEATING/DESTABILIZATION ACROSS SRN/ERN MO IS
CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATE INSTABILITY IN THE WARM SECTOR...WITH A
WEAKENING CAP AND INCREASING PROBABILITY FOR THUNDERSTORM INITIATION
IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. GIVEN THE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND MID
60S BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS...AN INCREASE IN VERTICAL SHEAR
/ALREADY NOTED IN THE VWP FROM SAINT LOUIS/ WILL RESULT IN AN
INCREASING RISK FOR SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL. LATER
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...CONVECTION SHOULD EVOLVE INTO MORE OF A
LINE ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN MO...WITH A CONTINUED RISK FOR EMBEDDED
CIRCULATIONS AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 90 TORNADO IL MO 101850Z - 110200Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NE BLV/SCOTT AFB IL/ - 35ESE UNO/WEST PLAINS MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /45E STL - 31NNW ARG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
LAT...LON 38798804 36548984 36549273 38799101
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 90 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 90
VALID 102325Z - 110040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW UNO TO
15 SSE TBN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 432
..GUYER..04/10/13
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 90
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-027-047-051-055-065-077-081-119-121-133-135-145-157-
163-165-181-185-189-191-193-199-110040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CLINTON
EDWARDS FAYETTE FRANKLIN
HAMILTON JACKSON JEFFERSON
MADISON MARION MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE UNION
WABASH WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-055-065-071-091-093-099-123-149-157-161-179-
181-183-186-187-189-201-203-207-215-221-223-510-110040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CRAWFORD DENT
FRANKLIN HOWELL IRON
JEFFERSON MADISON OREGON
PERRY PHELPS REYNOLDS
RIPLEY ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE
ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS SCOTT
SHANNON STODDARD TEXAS
WASHINGTON WAYNE
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 90
VALID 102100Z - 102240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 429
..JEWELL..04/10/13
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 90
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-027-051-055-077-081-119-121-133-135-145-157-163-181-
189-199-102240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CLINTON
FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON
JEFFERSON MADISON MARION
MONROE MONTGOMERY PERRY
RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR UNION
WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-055-065-067-071-091-093-099-123-149-153-157-
161-179-181-183-186-187-189-201-203-207-215-221-223-229-510-
102240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CRAWFORD DENT
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN HOWELL
IRON JEFFERSON MADISON
OREGON OZARK PERRY
PHELPS REYNOLDS RIPLEY
ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS
ST. LOUIS SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD TEXAS WASHINGTON
WAYNE WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 90
VALID 102030Z - 102140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 429
..MOSIER..04/10/13
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 90
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-027-051-055-077-081-119-121-133-135-145-157-163-181-
189-199-102140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CLINTON
FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON
JEFFERSON MADISON MARION
MONROE MONTGOMERY PERRY
RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR UNION
WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-055-065-067-071-091-093-099-123-149-153-157-
161-179-181-183-186-187-189-201-203-207-215-221-223-229-510-
102140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CRAWFORD DENT
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN HOWELL
IRON JEFFERSON MADISON
OREGON OZARK PERRY
PHELPS REYNOLDS RIPLEY
ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS
ST. LOUIS SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD TEXAS WASHINGTON
WAYNE WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 90
VALID 101935Z - 102040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/10/13
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 90
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-027-051-055-077-081-119-121-133-135-145-157-163-181-
189-199-102040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CLINTON
FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON
JEFFERSON MADISON MARION
MONROE MONTGOMERY PERRY
RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR UNION
WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-055-065-067-071-091-093-099-123-149-153-157-
161-179-181-183-186-187-189-201-203-207-215-221-223-229-510-
102040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CRAWFORD DENT
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN HOWELL
IRON JEFFERSON MADISON
OREGON OZARK PERRY
PHELPS REYNOLDS RIPLEY
ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS
ST. LOUIS SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD TEXAS WASHINGTON
WAYNE WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.