Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 93
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN INDIANA
CENTRAL KENTUCKY
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY EVENING FROM 625 PM UNTIL 1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CROSSVILLE
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 90...WW 91...WW 92...
DISCUSSION...LINE OF SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO TRACK
EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL KY/MIDDLE TN. SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
SUGGESTS STORMS MAY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 2-3 HOURS WITH A CONTINUED
THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 93 TORNADO IN KY TN 282325Z - 290400Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NNW SDF/LOUISVILLE KY/ - 25SW CSV/CROSSVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /46NNW LOU - 46NNW GQO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
LAT...LON 38778530 35688468 35688611 38778679
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 93 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 93
VALID 290245Z - 290340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW CHA
TO 60 W LOZ TO 60 W LUK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 324
..HURLBUT..03/29/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 93
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC077-290340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON
$$
KYC005-021-045-053-103-155-167-207-211-215-217-223-229-290340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOYLE CASEY
CLINTON HENRY MARION
MERCER RUSSELL SHELBY
SPENCER TAYLOR TRIMBLE
WASHINGTON
$$
TNC035-049-137-290340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUMBERLAND FENTRESS PICKETT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 93
VALID 290135Z - 290240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW CHA
TO 35 W CSV TO 45 S SDF TO 30 SE BMG.
..HURLBUT..03/29/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 93
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-043-077-123-143-175-290240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK FLOYD JEFFERSON
PERRY SCOTT WASHINGTON
$$
KYC001-005-021-027-029-045-053-057-087-093-103-111-123-155-167-
169-171-179-185-207-211-215-217-223-229-290240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDERSON BOYLE
BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT CASEY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN
HARDIN HENRY JEFFERSON
LARUE MARION MERCER
METCALFE MONROE NELSON
OLDHAM RUSSELL SHELBY
SPENCER TAYLOR TRIMBLE
WASHINGTON
$$
TNC027-035-049-061-087-133-137-141-175-185-290240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CUMBERLAND FENTRESS
GRUNDY JACKSON OVERTON
PICKETT PUTNAM VAN BUREN
WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 93
VALID 290035Z - 290140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 323
..HURLBUT..03/29/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 93
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-037-043-061-077-117-123-143-175-290140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DUBOIS
FLOYD HARRISON JEFFERSON
ORANGE PERRY SCOTT
WASHINGTON
$$
KYC001-005-009-021-029-045-053-057-087-093-099-103-111-123-155-
163-167-169-171-179-185-207-211-215-217-223-229-290140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDERSON BARREN
BOYLE BULLITT CASEY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN
HARDIN HART HENRY
JEFFERSON LARUE MARION
MEADE MERCER METCALFE
MONROE NELSON OLDHAM
RUSSELL SHELBY SPENCER
TAYLOR TRIMBLE WASHINGTON
$$
TNC027-035-041-049-061-087-133-137-141-175-177-185-290140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CUMBERLAND DEKALB
FENTRESS GRUNDY JACKSON
OVERTON PICKETT PUTNAM
VAN BUREN WARREN WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.