SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 95
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   800 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
          SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 800 AM UNTIL
   300 PM CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
   TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF HOUMA
   LOUISIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE
   WATCH AREA THIS MORNING AS FORCING FOR ASCENT STRENGTHENS AHEAD OF
   SHORT-WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM SRN TX.  CONTINUED
   HEATING/MOISTENING OF THE PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD
   GRADUALLY REMOVE THE CAP OBSERVED BY THE 12Z REGIONAL
   SOUNDINGS...YIELDING MLCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG.  WHEN COUPLED WITH
   MODERATELY STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR /SEE 12Z JAN
   SOUNDING/...THE SETUP WILL SUPPORT A MIXTURE OF BOWING AND SUPERCELL
   STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 95
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   800 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
          SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 800 AM UNTIL
   300 PM CDT.
   
   SEVERAL TORNADOES
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF HOUMA
   LOUISIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE
   WATCH AREA THIS MORNING AS FORCING FOR ASCENT STRENGTHENS AHEAD OF
   SHORT-WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM SRN TX.  CONTINUED
   HEATING/MOISTENING OF THE PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD
   GRADUALLY REMOVE THE CAP OBSERVED BY THE 12Z REGIONAL
   SOUNDINGS...YIELDING MLCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG.  WHEN COUPLED WITH
   MODERATELY STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR /SEE 12Z JAN
   SOUNDING/...THE SETUP WILL SUPPORT A MIXTURE OF BOWING AND SUPERCELL
   STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 95
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   800 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
          SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 800 AM UNTIL
   300 PM CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
   TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF HOUMA
   LOUISIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE
   WATCH AREA THIS MORNING AS FORCING FOR ASCENT STRENGTHENS AHEAD OF
   SHORT-WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM SRN TX.  CONTINUED
   HEATING/MOISTENING OF THE PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD
   GRADUALLY REMOVE THE CAP OBSERVED BY THE 12Z REGIONAL
   SOUNDINGS...YIELDING MLCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG.  WHEN COUPLED WITH
   MODERATELY STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR /SEE 12Z JAN
   SOUNDING/...THE SETUP WILL SUPPORT A MIXTURE OF BOWING AND SUPERCELL
   STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   WOUS64 KWNS 111257
   WOU5
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 95
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   800 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013
   
   TORNADO WATCH 95 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   LAC005-007-033-037-045-047-051-057-063-071-075-077-087-089-091-
   093-095-099-101-103-105-109-117-121-125-112000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0095.130411T1300Z-130411T2000Z/
   
   LA 
   .    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ASCENSION            ASSUMPTION          EAST BATON ROUGE    
   EAST FELICIANA       IBERIA              IBERVILLE           
   JEFFERSON            LAFOURCHE           LIVINGSTON          
   ORLEANS              PLAQUEMINES         POINTE COUPEE       
   ST. BERNARD          ST. CHARLES         ST. HELENA          
   ST. JAMES            ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. MARTIN          
   ST. MARY             ST. TAMMANY         TANGIPAHOA          
   TERREBONNE           WASHINGTON          WEST BATON ROUGE    
   WEST FELICIANA       
   
   
   MSC005-023-029-031-035-039-041-045-047-059-061-065-067-073-077-
   085-091-109-111-113-127-129-131-147-153-112000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0095.130411T1300Z-130411T2000Z/
   
   MS 
   .    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   AMITE                CLARKE              COPIAH              
   COVINGTON            FORREST             GEORGE              
   GREENE               HANCOCK             HARRISON            
   JACKSON              JASPER              JEFFERSON DAVIS     
   JONES                LAMAR               LAWRENCE            
   LINCOLN              MARION              PEARL RIVER         
   PERRY                PIKE                SIMPSON             
   SMITH                STONE               WALTHALL            
   WAYNE                
   
   
   GMZ435-530-532-534-536-538-112000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0095.130411T1300Z-130411T2000Z/
   
   CW 
   
   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
   
   VERMILION BAY 
   
   LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS 
   
   MISSISSIPPI SOUND 
   
   LAKE BORGNE 
   
   CHANDELEUR SOUND 
   
   BRETON SOUND 
   
   ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...MOB...JAN...
   
   
   

   SAW5 
   WW 95 TORNADO LA MS CW 111300Z - 112000Z
   AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   55NNW PIB/PINE BELT MS/ - 35WSW HUM/HOUMA LA/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /30SE JAN - 59WNW LEV/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   LAT...LON 32208815 29378970 29379269 32209123
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU5.
   

Watch 95 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 95

VALID 111930Z - 112000Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE HUM
TO 10 SW MEI.

MOST OF THE LINE SHOULD BE THROUGH WW 95 BY 11/2000Z AND THE WATCH
CAN BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WOULD LIKELY BE
JACKSON COUNTY MS BUT THE CONVECTION SHOULD EXIT THAT COUNTY BY
2030Z AND AN EXTENSION IS PROBABLY UNNECESSARY. 

..MOSIER..04/11/13

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...MOB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC075-087-112000-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

PLAQUEMINES	     ST. BERNARD	 
$$


MSC023-035-039-041-045-047-059-069-075-103-111-131-153-112000-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLARKE		     FORREST		 GEORGE 	     
GREENE		     HANCOCK		 HARRISON	     
JACKSON 	     KEMPER		 LAUDERDALE	     
NOXUBEE 	     PERRY		 STONE		     
WAYNE		     
$$


GMZ532-534-536-538-112000-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

MISSISSIPPI SOUND 

LAKE BORGNE 

CHANDELEUR SOUND 

BRETON SOUND 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 95

VALID 111825Z - 111940Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE HUM
TO 40 N ASD TO 35 WSW MEI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 443

..MOSIER..04/11/13

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...MOB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC051-071-075-087-103-111940-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

JEFFERSON	     ORLEANS		 PLAQUEMINES	     
ST. BERNARD	     ST. TAMMANY	 
$$


MSC023-031-035-039-041-045-047-059-061-067-069-073-075-087-101-
103-109-111-131-153-111940-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLARKE		     COVINGTON		 FORREST	     
GEORGE		     GREENE		 HANCOCK	     
HARRISON	     JACKSON		 JASPER 	     
JONES		     KEMPER		 LAMAR		     
LAUDERDALE	     LOWNDES		 NEWTON 	     
NOXUBEE 	     PEARL RIVER	 PERRY		     
STONE		     WAYNE		 
$$


GMZ530-532-534-536-538-111940-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS 

MISSISSIPPI SOUND 

LAKE BORGNE 

CHANDELEUR SOUND 

BRETON SOUND 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 95

VALID 111740Z - 111840Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW HUM
TO 15 SE MCB TO 25 ESE JAN.

..MOSIER..04/11/13

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...MOB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC051-057-071-075-087-089-095-103-109-117-111840-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

JEFFERSON	     LAFOURCHE		 ORLEANS	     
PLAQUEMINES	     ST. BERNARD	 ST. CHARLES	     
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY	 TERREBONNE	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


MSC023-031-035-039-041-045-047-059-061-065-067-069-073-075-087-
091-101-103-109-111-129-131-147-153-111840-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLARKE		     COVINGTON		 FORREST	     
GEORGE		     GREENE		 HANCOCK	     
HARRISON	     JACKSON		 JASPER 	     
JEFFERSON DAVIS      JONES		 KEMPER 	     
LAMAR		     LAUDERDALE 	 LOWNDES	     
MARION		     NEWTON		 NOXUBEE	     
PEARL RIVER	     PERRY		 SMITH		     
STONE		     WALTHALL		 WAYNE		     
$$


GMZ530-532-534-536-538-111840-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS 

MISSISSIPPI SOUND 

LAKE BORGNE 

CHANDELEUR SOUND 

BRETON SOUND 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 95

VALID 111545Z - 111640Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW HUM
TO 10 SW BTR TO 25 SE HEZ TO 25 NNE MCB TO 10 SSW JAN.

..DIAL..04/11/13

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...MOB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC005-007-033-037-051-057-063-071-075-087-089-091-093-095-101-
103-105-109-117-111640-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ASCENSION	     ASSUMPTION 	 EAST BATON ROUGE    
EAST FELICIANA	     JEFFERSON		 LAFOURCHE	     
LIVINGSTON	     ORLEANS		 PLAQUEMINES	     
ST. BERNARD	     ST. CHARLES	 ST. HELENA	     
ST. JAMES	     ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. MARY	     
ST. TAMMANY	     TANGIPAHOA 	 TERREBONNE	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


MSC005-023-031-035-039-041-045-047-059-061-065-067-073-077-091-
109-111-113-127-129-131-147-153-111640-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AMITE		     CLARKE		 COVINGTON	     
FORREST 	     GEORGE		 GREENE 	     
HANCOCK 	     HARRISON		 JACKSON	     
JASPER		     JEFFERSON DAVIS	 JONES		     
LAMAR		     LAWRENCE		 MARION 	     
PEARL RIVER	     PERRY		 PIKE		     
SIMPSON 	     SMITH		 STONE		     
WALTHALL	     WAYNE		 
$$


GMZ530-532-534-536-538-111640-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS 

MISSISSIPPI SOUND 

LAKE BORGNE 

CHANDELEUR SOUND 

BRETON SOUND 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.