Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 97
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM EST TUE MAR 4 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY
PARTS OF WESTERN VIRGINIA
MUCH OF SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF LONDON KENTUCKY TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
DUBLIN VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 96...
DISCUSSION...INTENSE UPPER TROUGH AND DEEPENING SURFACE LOW MOVING
ACROSS TN VALLEY. LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG
COLD FRONT CENTRAL KY WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE RAPIDLY NEWD ACROSS
WATCH AREA. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 97 SEVERE TSTM KY VA WV 041930Z - 050100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NNW LOZ/LONDON KY/ - 25NNE PSK/DUBLIN VA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /28NNW LOZ - 24NNE PSK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 38348429 38338051 36598051 36618429
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 97 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 97
VALID 050030Z - 050140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE TRI
TO 30 WNW BLF TO 20 E CRW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 352 WHICH
WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY
..SCHNEIDER..03/05/08
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...RNK...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 97
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
VAC021-035-071-077-155-173-185-197-640-050140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND CARROLL GILES
GRAYSON PULASKI SMYTH
TAZEWELL WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
GALAX
$$
WVC015-019-025-047-055-063-067-081-089-109-050140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY FAYETTE GREENBRIER
MCDOWELL MERCER MONROE
NICHOLAS RALEIGH SUMMERS
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 97
VALID 042125Z - 042240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W TRI TO
40 W HTS.
..KERR..03/04/08
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...RNK...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 97
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC019-025-043-063-071-095-115-119-127-131-133-153-159-175-193-
195-042240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD BREATHITT CARTER
ELLIOTT FLOYD HARLAN
JOHNSON KNOTT LAWRENCE
LESLIE LETCHER MAGOFFIN
MARTIN MORGAN PERRY
PIKE
$$
VAC021-027-035-051-071-077-105-155-167-169-173-185-191-195-197-
520-640-720-042240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN CARROLL
DICKENSON GILES GRAYSON
LEE PULASKI RUSSELL
SCOTT SMYTH TAZEWELL
WASHINGTON WISE WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL GALAX NORTON
$$
WVC005-011-015-019-025-039-043-045-047-055-059-063-067-079-081-
089-099-109-042240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CABELL CLAY
FAYETTE GREENBRIER KANAWHA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCDOWELL
MERCER MINGO MONROE
NICHOLAS PUTNAM RALEIGH
SUMMERS WAYNE WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
