Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 101
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
820 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHERN GEORGIA
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
WESTERN AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 820 PM
UNTIL 400 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
HICKORY NORTH CAROLINA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 98...WW 99...WW 100...
DISCUSSION...SSW-NNE SQLN NOW OVER ERN AL/NW GA EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
EWD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NRN/CNTRL GA AND ACROSS THE WRN
CAROLINAS THROUGH EARLY FRI...WITH SOME INCREASE IN SPEED POSSIBLE
AS ASSOCIATED UPR TROUGH NOW OVER MS ACCELERATES NEWD. COMBINATION
OF INCREASING ASCENT DOWNSTREAM FROM MS TROUGH...STRENGTHENING OF
EXISTING STRONG WIND FIELD...AND FAIRLY RICH LOW-LVL MOISTURE INFLOW
SUGGESTS A RISK FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/LEWPS/SMALL BOWS WITH DMGG
WIND/ISOLD TORNADOES. STRONGER WIND FIELD AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT MAY
COMPENSATE FOR SOMEWHAT DRIER LOW-LVL ENVIRONMENT AND THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING TO MAINTAIN A RISK FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF THE
SQLN FROM CNTRL GA NNE INTO THE WRN CAROLINAS. THESE STORMS MAY POSE
A RISK FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO SVR
HAIL.
WW 99 WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THAT PART OF THE SQLN IN E CNTRL AL.
A SMALL PART OF THAT WW MAY REQUIRE LOCAL EXTENSION IN TIME TO
ACCOUNT FOR A LINGERING RISK OF SVR WEATHER IN THAT REGION BEYOND
THE WATCH'S SCHEDULED EXPIRATION AT 03Z.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 101 TORNADO AL FL GA NC SC CW 120020Z - 120800Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25WNW HKY/HICKORY NC/ - 30SSE PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /39SSE HMV - 73SW TLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
LAT...LON 35848044 29808423 29808673 35848312
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 101 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 101
VALID 120735Z - 120840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW AGS
TO 45 ESE AND TO 30 ENE SPA TO 15 NW HKY.
..BROYLES..04/12/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 101
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC003-025-035-059-071-097-109-119-159-179-120840-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER CABARRUS CATAWBA
DAVIE GASTON IREDELL
LINCOLN MECKLENBURG ROWAN
UNION
$$
SCC023-037-039-057-071-081-091-120840-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER EDGEFIELD FAIRFIELD
LANCASTER NEWBERRY SALUDA
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 101
VALID 120650Z - 120740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW VDI
TO 30 S AND TO 15 N SPA TO 35 WNW HKY.
..BROYLES..04/12/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 101
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC073-107-125-163-167-181-189-209-279-283-301-303-120740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA EMANUEL GLASCOCK
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LINCOLN
MCDUFFIE MONTGOMERY TOOMBS
TREUTLEN WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
NCC003-023-025-027-035-045-059-071-097-109-119-159-179-120740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BURKE CABARRUS
CALDWELL CATAWBA CLEVELAND
DAVIE GASTON IREDELL
LINCOLN MECKLENBURG ROWAN
UNION
$$
SCC021-023-037-039-057-059-065-071-081-083-087-091-120740-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CHESTER EDGEFIELD
FAIRFIELD LANCASTER LAURENS
MCCORMICK NEWBERRY SALUDA
SPARTANBURG UNION YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 101
VALID 120327Z - 120440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW PFN TO
20 W MAI TO 40 NNE DHN TO 15 ESE AUO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 454.
..EDWARDS..04/12/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 101
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC067-069-120440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-129-133-120440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
WAKULLA WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-009-011-013-017-021-023-035-037-053-059-061-063-071-073-
077-079-081-085-087-089-091-093-095-099-105-113-117-119-121-125-
131-133-135-137-139-141-145-147-149-151-153-155-157-159-163-167-
169-171-175-177-181-187-189-193-195-197-199-201-205-207-211-215-
217-219-221-225-231-235-237-239-241-243-247-249-253-255-257-259-
261-263-265-269-273-275-277-285-287-289-293-297-301-303-307-311-
315-317-319-321-120440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BANKS
BARROW BEN HILL BIBB
BLECKLEY BUTTS CALHOUN
CHATTAHOOCHEE CLARKE CLAY
CLAYTON COLQUITT COLUMBIA
COWETA CRAWFORD CRISP
DAWSON DECATUR DEKALB
DODGE DOOLY DOUGHERTY
EARLY ELBERT FAYETTE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN FULTON
GLASCOCK GRADY GREENE
GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL
HANCOCK HARRIS HART
HEARD HENRY HOUSTON
IRWIN JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
LAMAR LAURENS LEE
LINCOLN LUMPKIN MCDUFFIE
MACON MADISON MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MITCHELL
MONROE MORGAN MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PEACH PIKE PULASKI
PUTNAM QUITMAN RABUN
RANDOLPH ROCKDALE SCHLEY
SEMINOLE SPALDING STEPHENS
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TALIAFERRO TAYLOR TERRELL
THOMAS TIFT TROUP
TURNER TWIGGS UPSON
WALTON WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WHITE WILCOX
WILKES WILKINSON WORTH
$$
NCC003-023-025-027-035-045-059-071-097-109-111-119-149-159-161-
179-120440-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BURKE CABARRUS
CALDWELL CATAWBA CLEVELAND
DAVIE GASTON IREDELL
LINCOLN MCDOWELL MECKLENBURG
POLK ROWAN RUTHERFORD
UNION
$$
SCC001-007-021-023-037-039-045-047-057-059-065-071-073-077-081-
083-087-091-120440-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON CHEROKEE
CHESTER EDGEFIELD FAIRFIELD
GREENVILLE GREENWOOD LANCASTER
LAURENS MCCORMICK NEWBERRY
OCONEE PICKENS SALUDA
SPARTANBURG UNION YORK
$$
GMZ730-750-755-120440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 101
VALID 120245Z - 120340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SE PNS TO
15 NW DHN TO 35 S AUO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 454.
..EDWARDS..04/12/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 101
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC045-061-067-069-120340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALE GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-065-073-077-129-131-133-120340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON
LIBERTY WAKULLA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-009-011-013-017-021-023-035-037-053-057-059-061-063-067-
071-073-077-079-081-085-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-105-113-117-
119-121-125-131-133-135-137-139-141-145-147-149-151-153-155-157-
159-163-167-169-171-175-177-181-187-189-193-195-197-199-201-205-
207-211-215-217-219-221-225-231-235-237-239-241-243-247-249-253-
255-257-259-261-263-265-269-273-275-277-285-287-289-293-297-301-
303-307-311-315-317-319-321-120340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BANKS
BARROW BEN HILL BIBB
BLECKLEY BUTTS CALHOUN
CHATTAHOOCHEE CHEROKEE CLARKE
CLAY CLAYTON COBB
COLQUITT COLUMBIA COWETA
CRAWFORD CRISP DAWSON
DECATUR DEKALB DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY DOUGLAS
EARLY ELBERT FAYETTE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN FULTON
GLASCOCK GRADY GREENE
GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL
HANCOCK HARRIS HART
HEARD HENRY HOUSTON
IRWIN JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
LAMAR LAURENS LEE
LINCOLN LUMPKIN MCDUFFIE
MACON MADISON MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MITCHELL
MONROE MORGAN MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PEACH PIKE PULASKI
PUTNAM QUITMAN RABUN
RANDOLPH ROCKDALE SCHLEY
SEMINOLE SPALDING STEPHENS
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TALIAFERRO TAYLOR TERRELL
THOMAS TIFT TROUP
TURNER TWIGGS UPSON
WALTON WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WHITE WILCOX
WILKES WILKINSON WORTH
$$
NCC003-023-025-027-035-045-059-071-097-109-111-119-149-159-161-
179-120340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BURKE CABARRUS
CALDWELL CATAWBA CLEVELAND
DAVIE GASTON IREDELL
LINCOLN MCDOWELL MECKLENBURG
POLK ROWAN RUTHERFORD
UNION
$$
SCC001-007-021-023-037-039-045-047-057-059-065-071-073-077-081-
083-087-091-120340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON CHEROKEE
CHESTER EDGEFIELD FAIRFIELD
GREENVILLE GREENWOOD LANCASTER
LAURENS MCCORMICK NEWBERRY
OCONEE PICKENS SALUDA
SPARTANBURG UNION YORK
$$
GMZ730-750-755-120340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 101
VALID 120131Z - 120240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA
EXCEPT FOR NWRN COUNTIES REMOVED FROM THE LIST BELOW.
..EDWARDS..04/12/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 101
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-120240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-065-073-077-129-131-133-120240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON
LIBERTY WAKULLA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-035-037-045-053-057-059-061-
063-067-071-073-077-079-081-085-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-105-
111-113-117-119-121-123-125-131-133-135-137-139-141-145-147-149-
151-153-155-157-159-163-167-169-171-175-177-181-187-189-193-195-
197-199-201-205-207-211-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-235-237-
239-241-243-247-249-253-255-257-259-261-263-265-269-273-275-277-
281-285-287-289-291-293-297-301-303-307-311-315-317-319-321-
120240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BANKS
BARROW BARTOW BEN HILL
BIBB BLECKLEY BUTTS
CALHOUN CARROLL CHATTAHOOCHEE
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAY
CLAYTON COBB COLQUITT
COLUMBIA COWETA CRAWFORD
CRISP DAWSON DECATUR
DEKALB DODGE DOOLY
DOUGHERTY DOUGLAS EARLY
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN FULTON
GILMER GLASCOCK GRADY
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HANCOCK HARRIS
HART HEARD HENRY
HOUSTON IRWIN JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES LAMAR LAURENS
LEE LINCOLN LUMPKIN
MCDUFFIE MACON MADISON
MARION MERIWETHER MILLER
MITCHELL MONROE MORGAN
MUSCOGEE NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PEACH
PICKENS PIKE PULASKI
PUTNAM QUITMAN RABUN
RANDOLPH ROCKDALE SCHLEY
SEMINOLE SPALDING STEPHENS
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TALIAFERRO TAYLOR TERRELL
THOMAS TIFT TOWNS
TROUP TURNER TWIGGS
UNION UPSON WALTON
WARREN WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WHITE WILCOX WILKES
WILKINSON WORTH
$$
NCC003-023-025-027-035-045-059-071-097-109-111-119-149-159-161-
179-120240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BURKE CABARRUS
CALDWELL CATAWBA CLEVELAND
DAVIE GASTON IREDELL
LINCOLN MCDOWELL MECKLENBURG
POLK ROWAN RUTHERFORD
UNION
$$
SCC001-007-021-023-037-039-045-047-057-059-065-071-073-077-081-
083-087-091-120240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON CHEROKEE
CHESTER EDGEFIELD FAIRFIELD
GREENVILLE GREENWOOD LANCASTER
LAURENS MCCORMICK NEWBERRY
OCONEE PICKENS SALUDA
SPARTANBURG UNION YORK
$$
GMZ730-750-755-120240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.