Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 105
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1100 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1100 AM UNTIL 600
PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
PENSACOLA FLORIDA TO 35 MILES NORTH OF CROSS CITY FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD EASTWARD ALONG FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA INTO AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STORMS WILL POSE A RISK
FOR AT LEAST DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL...BUT AS THE NEAR
GROUND ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO WARM AND MOISTEN...POTENTIAL FOR
TORNADOES WILL ALSO INCREASE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...KERR
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 105 TORNADO FL GA CW 141500Z - 142200Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15SSW PNS/PENSACOLA FL/ - 35N CTY/CROSS CITY FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /46SW CEW - 32N CTY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 30988727 30868309 29408309 29548727
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 105 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 105
VALID 142025Z - 142140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW AAF TO
25 SE MAI TO 15 SE VLD.
..DIAL..04/14/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 105
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC029-037-039-045-065-067-073-077-079-123-129-142140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DIXIE FRANKLIN GADSDEN
GULF JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GMZ730-755-765-142140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 105
VALID 141950Z - 142040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SW PFN TO
15 SSW PFN TO 25 NNE PFN TO 15 WNW MAI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 470
..DIAL..04/14/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 105
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-029-037-039-045-063-065-067-073-077-079-123-129-
142040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN DIXIE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC027-087-131-185-253-275-142040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKS DECATUR GRADY
LOWNDES SEMINOLE THOMAS
$$
GMZ730-750-755-765-142040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 105
VALID 141735Z - 141840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S PNS TO
40 SE PNS TO 30 SSE CEW TO 15 NE CEW.
..DIAL..04/14/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 105
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-029-037-039-045-059-063-065-067-073-077-079-123-129-
131-133-141840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN DIXIE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF
HOLMES JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LEON LIBERTY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC027-087-131-185-253-275-141840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKS DECATUR GRADY
LOWNDES SEMINOLE THOMAS
$$
GMZ635-730-750-755-765-141840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 105
VALID 141630Z - 141740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..04/14/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 105
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-029-033-037-039-045-059-063-065-067-073-077-079-091-
113-123-129-131-133-141740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN DIXIE
ESCAMBIA FRANKLIN GADSDEN
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA TAYLOR WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC027-087-131-185-253-275-141740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKS DECATUR GRADY
LOWNDES SEMINOLE THOMAS
$$
GMZ634-635-655-730-750-755-765-141740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PENSACOLA BAY AREA
CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.