Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 107
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM CDT THU APR 2 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES NORTH OF HUNTSVILLE
ALABAMA TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 103...WW 104...WW
105...WW 106...
DISCUSSION...A PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF SEVERE STORMS IN MS WILL SPREAD
EWD/NEWD INTO AL/TN DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTING AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC WAVE
NEAR TXK. THOUGH THE ONGOING GULF COAST CONVECTION HAS DISRUPTED
MOIST INFLOW ACROSS AL AND WILL TEND TO LIMIT THE ERN EXTENT OF THE
SEVERE THREAT FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN
THE 60S AND SOME HEATING IN CLOUD BREAKS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY TO MAINTAIN A SEVERE STORM THREAT A LITTLE
FARTHER W THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LOCAL VWP/S ALSO SHOW SUFFICIENT
VEERING AND SPEED INCREASES WITH HEIGHT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND AN
ATTENDANT THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING
WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 107 TORNADO AL FL MS TN CW 021835Z - 030100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
90N HSV/HUNTSVILLE AL/ - 50SW PNS/PENSACOLA FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /12SSW BNA - 56SSE SJI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 35958570 29958676 29958876 35958784
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 107 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 107
VALID 022050Z - 022140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 373.
..GRAMS..04/02/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...HUN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 107
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-007-009-013-021-023-025-033-035-039-041-043-047-053-
057-059-063-065-073-075-077-079-083-085-089-091-093-095-097-099-
103-105-107-115-117-119-125-127-129-131-133-022140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BIBB
BLOUNT BUTLER CHILTON
CHOCTAW CLARKE COLBERT
CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW
CULLMAN DALLAS ESCAMBIA
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
HALE JEFFERSON LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
LOWNDES MADISON MARENGO
MARION MARSHALL MOBILE
MONROE MORGAN PERRY
PICKENS ST. CLAIR SHELBY
SUMTER TUSCALOOSA WALKER
WASHINGTON WILCOX WINSTON
$$
FLC033-091-113-022140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
TNC003-055-081-099-101-103-117-119-127-135-149-181-187-022140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD GILES HICKMAN
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MARSHALL MAURY MOORE
PERRY RUTHERFORD WAYNE
WILLIAMSON
$$
GMZ630-650-655-022140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.