Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 108
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 PM EDT THU APR 2 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
NORTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHERN GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE
FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 103...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 104. WATCH NUMBER 103 104
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 300 PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 105...WW
106...WW 107...
DISCUSSION...A LARGE BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS N FL/S GA...WITH NEW
DEVELOPMENT LIKELY SPREADING INLAND FROM THE NE GULF. THE GREATER
THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL BE WITH SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION ON THE
LEADING EDGE OF THE BAND...WHERE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL
FLOW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE VERTICAL
SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS WITH A FEW TORNADOES. FARTHER W/N...SOMEWHAT
ELEVATED CONVECTION IS MORE PROBABLE TO THE N OF THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY WHICH REMAINS OFFSHORE. INCREASING WAA ABOVE THE SHALLOW
COLD POOL WILL SUPPORT A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING
WINDS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND SE AL/SW
GA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 108 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 021900Z - 030200Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45WNW PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/ - 25ENE JAX/JACKSONVILLE FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /27SE CEW - 21NNE CRG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
REPLACES WW 103..AL FL GA CW
REPLACES WW 104..FL GA CW
LAT...LON 31548637 31718129 29548129 29378637
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 108 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 108
VALID 022350Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE CEW
TO 15 SSE MGR TO 55 NE MGR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 377
..GUYER..04/02/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 108
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-005-007-013-019-023-029-031-037-039-041-045-047-063-
065-067-073-077-079-089-109-121-123-125-129-133-030040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BAY
BRADFORD CALHOUN CLAY
COLUMBIA DIXIE DUVAL
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GILCHRIST
GULF HAMILTON JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON NASSAU
ST. JOHNS SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION WAKULLA WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-017-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-075-087-101-127-
131-155-161-173-185-229-275-277-299-305-030040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BEN HILL BERRIEN BRANTLEY
BROOKS CAMDEN CHARLTON
CLINCH COFFEE COOK
DECATUR ECHOLS GLYNN
GRADY IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LOWNDES PIERCE
THOMAS TIFT WARE
WAYNE
$$
AMZ450-452-454-GMZ730-750-755-765-030040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 108
VALID 022255Z - 022340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..04/02/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 108
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-022340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC001-003-005-007-013-019-023-029-031-037-039-041-045-047-059-
063-065-067-073-077-079-089-109-121-123-125-129-131-133-
022340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BAY
BRADFORD CALHOUN CLAY
COLUMBIA DIXIE DUVAL
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GILCHRIST
GULF HAMILTON HOLMES
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
NASSAU ST. JOHNS SUWANNEE
TAYLOR UNION WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-037-039-049-061-065-069-071-
075-087-095-099-101-127-131-155-161-173-177-185-201-205-229-239-
243-253-273-275-277-287-299-305-321-022340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRANTLEY BROOKS CALHOUN
CAMDEN CHARLTON CLAY
CLINCH COFFEE COLQUITT
COOK DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY ECHOLS GLYNN
GRADY IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LEE LOWNDES
MILLER MITCHELL PIERCE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SEMINOLE
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WARE WAYNE
WORTH
$$
AMZ450-452-454-GMZ730-750-755-765-022340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 108
VALID 022050Z - 022140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 373.
..GRAMS..04/02/09
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 108
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-022140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC001-003-005-007-013-019-023-029-031-037-039-041-045-047-059-
063-065-067-073-077-079-089-109-121-123-125-129-131-133-
022140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BAY
BRADFORD CALHOUN CLAY
COLUMBIA DIXIE DUVAL
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GILCHRIST
GULF HAMILTON HOLMES
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
NASSAU ST. JOHNS SUWANNEE
TAYLOR UNION WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-037-039-049-061-065-069-071-
075-087-095-099-101-127-131-155-161-173-177-185-201-205-229-239-
243-253-273-275-277-287-299-305-321-022140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BRANTLEY BROOKS CALHOUN
CAMDEN CHARLTON CLAY
CLINCH COFFEE COLQUITT
COOK DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY ECHOLS GLYNN
GRADY IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LEE LOWNDES
MILLER MITCHELL PIERCE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SEMINOLE
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WARE WAYNE
WORTH
$$
AMZ450-452-454-GMZ730-750-755-765-022140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.