Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 111...CORRECTED
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013
CORRECTED FOR WORDING IN FIRST SECTION
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST INDIANA
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN OHIO
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 120
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ATHENS OHIO TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF AKRON OHIO. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
DISCUSSION...THE ENVIRONMENT IS BECOMING CONDUCIVE TO THE EVOLUTION
OF AN ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OHIO LATE THIS
AFTERNOON ...WITH AN ACCOMPANYING RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND STRONG
WIND GUSTS AS IT DEVELOPS EASTWARD OR EAST SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE
WESTERN SLOPES OF THE NORTH CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THROUGH THIS
EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...KERR
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 111 SEVERE TSTM IN KY OH PA WV 161945Z - 170300Z
AXIS..120 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45SW UNI/ATHENS OH/ - 25NNE CAK/AKRON OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 105NM E/W /37W HNN - 29ESE CLE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 38748505 41228355 41227894 38748058
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 111 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 111
VALID 170040Z - 170140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW HTS TO
30 WNW PIT TO 25 W DUJ.
..MOSIER..04/17/13
ATTN...WFO...ILN...RLX...CLE...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 111
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC019-043-089-127-170140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD CARTER GREENUP
LAWRENCE
$$
OHC009-013-053-059-067-079-081-087-105-111-115-121-163-167-
170140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS BELMONT GALLIA
GUERNSEY HARRISON JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN NOBLE
VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
PAC003-005-007-019-051-059-063-125-129-170140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BUTLER FAYETTE GREENE
INDIANA WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC007-009-011-013-015-017-021-029-033-035-039-041-043-049-051-
053-061-069-073-079-085-087-091-095-099-103-105-107-170140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAXTON BROOKE CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY DODDRIDGE
GILMER HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON KANAWHA LEWIS
LINCOLN MARION MARSHALL
MASON MONONGALIA OHIO
PLEASANTS PUTNAM RITCHIE
ROANE TAYLOR TYLER
WAYNE WETZEL WIRT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 111
VALID 162200Z - 162340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N DAY TO
15 SSW CLE.
..MARSH..04/16/13
ATTN...WFO...ILN...RLX...CLE...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 111
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC029-115-155-162340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEARBORN OHIO SWITZERLAND
$$
KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-089-117-135-161-187-191-201-162340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRACKEN CAMPBELL
CARROLL GALLATIN GRANT
GREENUP KENTON LEWIS
MASON OWEN PENDLETON
ROBERTSON
$$
OHC001-009-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-041-045-047-
049-053-057-059-061-067-071-073-075-079-081-083-087-089-097-099-
105-109-111-113-115-119-121-127-129-131-135-141-145-151-157-159-
163-165-167-162340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATHENS BELMONT
BROWN BUTLER CARROLL
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLERMONT
CLINTON COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON
DELAWARE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLIA GREENE
GUERNSEY HAMILTON HARRISON
HIGHLAND HOCKING HOLMES
JACKSON JEFFERSON KNOX
LAWRENCE LICKING MADISON
MAHONING MEIGS MIAMI
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
MUSKINGUM NOBLE PERRY
PICKAWAY PIKE PREBLE
ROSS SCIOTO STARK
TUSCARAWAS UNION VINTON
WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
PAC003-005-007-019-031-051-053-059-063-065-073-085-121-125-129-
162340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BUTLER CLARION FAYETTE
FOREST GREENE INDIANA
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MERCER
VENANGO WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC007-009-013-017-021-029-033-035-041-049-051-053-061-069-073-
085-087-091-095-103-105-107-162340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAXTON BROOKE CALHOUN
DODDRIDGE GILMER HANCOCK
HARRISON JACKSON LEWIS
MARION MARSHALL MASON
MONONGALIA OHIO PLEASANTS
RITCHIE ROANE TAYLOR
TYLER WETZEL WIRT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.