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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 113
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
915 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN IOWA
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
NORTHERN MISSOURI
LAKE MICHIGAN
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 915 AM
UNTIL 500 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST OF
LAMONI IOWA TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MARSEILLES ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
DISCUSSION...VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST ALONG A WARM FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA...INTO AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SEVERE HAIL IS
PROBABLE IN STRONGER CELLS. THE EVOLUTION OF AN INCREASINGLY
ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF STORMS IS POSSIBLE BY THIS
AFTERNOON...ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASING RISK FOR POTENTIALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26040.
...KERR
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 113 SEVERE TSTM IA IL MO LM 171415Z - 172200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30W LWD/LAMONI IA/ - 50ENE MMO/MARSEILLES IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /63SW DSM - 21SSE ORD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
LAT...LON 41479450 42508779 40778779 39749450
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 113 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 113
VALID 172145Z - 172240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE BRL TO
50 S RAC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 499
..COHEN..04/17/13
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...LOT...ILX...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 113
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC063-067-091-093-099-109-155-197-172240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRUNDY HANCOCK KANKAKEE
KENDALL LA SALLE MCDONOUGH
PUTNAM WILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 113
VALID 172035Z - 172140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW UIN
TO 35 N PIA TO 35 S RAC.
..LEITMAN..04/17/13
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...LOT...ILX...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 113
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC031-043-057-063-067-089-091-093-095-099-105-109-123-143-155-
179-197-203-172140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COOK DUPAGE FULTON
GRUNDY HANCOCK KANE
KANKAKEE KENDALL KNOX
LA SALLE LIVINGSTON MCDONOUGH
MARSHALL PEORIA PUTNAM
TAZEWELL WILL WOODFORD
$$
LMZ741-742-172140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND IL
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR IL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 113
VALID 171935Z - 172040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW LWD TO
15 S OTM TO 25 W BRL TO 20 ENE BRL TO 20 ESE MLI TO 15 SW RFD TO
25 ESE JVL.
..LEITMAN..04/17/13
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...LOT...ILX...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 113
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC007-011-031-037-043-057-063-067-071-073-089-091-093-095-097-
099-103-105-109-111-123-143-155-175-179-187-197-203-172040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BUREAU COOK
DE KALB DUPAGE FULTON
GRUNDY HANCOCK HENDERSON
HENRY KANE KANKAKEE
KENDALL KNOX LAKE
LA SALLE LEE LIVINGSTON
MCDONOUGH MCHENRY MARSHALL
PEORIA PUTNAM STARK
TAZEWELL WARREN WILL
WOODFORD
$$
IAC007-051-053-111-159-173-177-185-172040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE DAVIS DECATUR
LEE RINGGOLD TAYLOR
VAN BUREN WAYNE
$$
MOC001-003-045-061-063-075-079-081-103-111-129-147-171-197-199-
211-227-172040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW CLARK
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON KNOX
LEWIS MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
LMZ740-741-742-172040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND IL
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR IL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 113
VALID 171835Z - 171940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 494.
..LEITMAN..04/17/13
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...LOT...ILX...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 113
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC007-011-015-031-037-043-057-063-067-071-073-085-089-091-093-
095-097-099-103-105-109-111-123-131-141-143-155-161-175-177-179-
187-195-197-201-203-171940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BUREAU CARROLL
COOK DE KALB DUPAGE
FULTON GRUNDY HANCOCK
HENDERSON HENRY JO DAVIESS
KANE KANKAKEE KENDALL
KNOX LAKE LA SALLE
LEE LIVINGSTON MCDONOUGH
MCHENRY MARSHALL MERCER
OGLE PEORIA PUTNAM
ROCK ISLAND STARK STEPHENSON
TAZEWELL WARREN WHITESIDE
WILL WINNEBAGO WOODFORD
$$
IAC007-031-039-045-051-053-057-087-095-097-099-101-103-107-111-
115-117-123-125-135-139-157-159-163-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-
171940-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE CEDAR CLARKE
CLINTON DAVIS DECATUR
DES MOINES HENRY IOWA
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KEOKUK LEE
LOUISA LUCAS MAHASKA
MARION MONROE MUSCATINE
POWESHIEK RINGGOLD SCOTT
TAYLOR UNION VAN BUREN
WAPELLO WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
MOC001-003-045-061-063-075-079-081-103-111-129-147-171-197-199-
211-227-171940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW CLARK
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON KNOX
LEWIS MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
LMZ740-741-742-171940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND IL
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR IL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 113
VALID 171640Z - 171740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..04/17/13
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...LOT...ILX...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 113
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC007-011-015-031-037-043-057-063-067-071-073-085-089-091-093-
095-097-099-103-105-109-111-123-131-141-143-155-161-175-177-179-
187-195-197-201-203-171740-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BUREAU CARROLL
COOK DE KALB DUPAGE
FULTON GRUNDY HANCOCK
HENDERSON HENRY JO DAVIESS
KANE KANKAKEE KENDALL
KNOX LAKE LA SALLE
LEE LIVINGSTON MCDONOUGH
MCHENRY MARSHALL MERCER
OGLE PEORIA PUTNAM
ROCK ISLAND STARK STEPHENSON
TAZEWELL WARREN WHITESIDE
WILL WINNEBAGO WOODFORD
$$
IAC007-031-039-045-051-053-057-087-095-097-099-101-103-107-111-
115-117-123-125-135-139-157-159-163-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-
171740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE CEDAR CLARKE
CLINTON DAVIS DECATUR
DES MOINES HENRY IOWA
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KEOKUK LEE
LOUISA LUCAS MAHASKA
MARION MONROE MUSCATINE
POWESHIEK RINGGOLD SCOTT
TAYLOR UNION VAN BUREN
WAPELLO WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
MOC001-003-045-061-063-075-079-081-103-111-129-147-171-197-199-
211-227-171740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW CLARK
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON KNOX
LEWIS MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
LMZ740-741-742-171740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND IL
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR IL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 113
VALID 171545Z - 171640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..04/17/13
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...LOT...ILX...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 113
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC007-011-015-031-037-043-057-063-067-071-073-085-089-091-093-
095-097-099-103-105-109-111-123-131-141-143-155-161-175-177-179-
187-195-197-201-203-171640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BUREAU CARROLL
COOK DE KALB DUPAGE
FULTON GRUNDY HANCOCK
HENDERSON HENRY JO DAVIESS
KANE KANKAKEE KENDALL
KNOX LAKE LA SALLE
LEE LIVINGSTON MCDONOUGH
MCHENRY MARSHALL MERCER
OGLE PEORIA PUTNAM
ROCK ISLAND STARK STEPHENSON
TAZEWELL WARREN WHITESIDE
WILL WINNEBAGO WOODFORD
$$
IAC007-031-039-045-051-053-057-087-095-097-099-101-103-107-111-
115-117-123-125-135-139-157-159-163-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-
171640-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE CEDAR CLARKE
CLINTON DAVIS DECATUR
DES MOINES HENRY IOWA
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KEOKUK LEE
LOUISA LUCAS MAHASKA
MARION MONROE MUSCATINE
POWESHIEK RINGGOLD SCOTT
TAYLOR UNION VAN BUREN
WAPELLO WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
MOC001-003-045-061-063-075-079-081-103-111-129-147-171-197-199-
211-227-171640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW CLARK
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON KNOX
LEWIS MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
LMZ740-741-742-171640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND IL
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR IL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.