Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 117
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 AM CDT SUN APR 5 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
MUCH OF SOUTHERN INDIANA
MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
PARTS OF NORTHWEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1145 AM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
BLOOMINGTON INDIANA TO 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLARKSVILLE
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...STRONG S/WV TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED 100KT MID LEVEL JET
MAX WILL BE TRACKING INTO LOWER OH VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. DEEPENING
SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS CENTRAL IL INTO IND WITH COLD FRONT
EXTENDING SSWWD INTO CENTRAL AR ATTM. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASING
IN WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SURFACE HEATING WILL RAISE MLCAPES TO NEAR
1000 J/KG. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WILL DEVELOP
AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW AND COLD FRONT AND TRACK RAPIDLY ENEWD ACROSS
THE WATCH. IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL...TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT IS ABLE TO DEVELOP
IN WARM SECTOR.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 117 TORNADO IL IN KY MO TN 051645Z - 052300Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20NNE BMG/BLOOMINGTON IN/ - 60SW CKV/CLARKSVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /24SSW IND - 55E DYR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
LAT...LON 39408487 35978666 35978969 39408806
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 117 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 117
VALID 052025Z - 052140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/05/09
ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK...ILN...OHX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 117
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC047-059-065-069-087-101-127-151-153-165-185-193-199-052140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDWARDS GALLATIN HAMILTON
HARDIN JOHNSON LAWRENCE
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
SALINE WABASH WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC005-013-019-025-027-029-031-037-043-047-051-055-061-071-077-
079-083-093-101-105-115-117-123-125-129-137-143-147-155-163-173-
175-052140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK
CRAWFORD DAVIESS DEARBORN
DECATUR DUBOIS FLOYD
FRANKLIN GIBSON GREENE
HARRISON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JENNINGS KNOX LAWRENCE
MARTIN MONROE OHIO
ORANGE PERRY PIKE
POSEY RIPLEY SCOTT
SPENCER SWITZERLAND VANDERBURGH
WARRICK WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-007-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-047-055-059-061-075-083-
085-091-093-101-105-107-111-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-
185-213-219-221-223-225-227-233-052140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL
CALLOWAY CARLISLE CARROLL
CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES
GRAYSON HANCOCK HARDIN
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON LOGAN
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG
OHIO OLDHAM SIMPSON
TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE
UNION WARREN WEBSTER
$$
TNC021-079-083-095-125-131-147-161-165-183-052140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEATHAM HENRY HOUSTON
LAKE MONTGOMERY OBION
ROBERTSON STEWART SUMNER
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 117
VALID 051935Z - 052040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/05/09
ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK...ILN...OHX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 117
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-047-059-065-069-087-101-127-151-153-165-181-185-193-199-
052040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS GALLATIN
HAMILTON HARDIN JOHNSON
LAWRENCE MASSAC POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC005-013-019-025-027-029-031-037-043-047-051-055-061-071-077-
079-083-093-101-105-115-117-123-125-129-137-143-147-155-163-173-
175-052040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK
CRAWFORD DAVIESS DEARBORN
DECATUR DUBOIS FLOYD
FRANKLIN GIBSON GREENE
HARRISON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JENNINGS KNOX LAWRENCE
MARTIN MONROE OHIO
ORANGE PERRY PIKE
POSEY RIPLEY SCOTT
SPENCER SWITZERLAND VANDERBURGH
WARRICK WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-007-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-047-055-059-061-075-083-
085-091-093-101-105-107-111-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-
185-213-219-221-223-225-227-233-052040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL
CALLOWAY CARLISLE CARROLL
CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES
GRAYSON HANCOCK HARDIN
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON LOGAN
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG
OHIO OLDHAM SIMPSON
TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE
UNION WARREN WEBSTER
$$
MOC133-052040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI
$$
TNC021-079-083-095-125-131-147-161-165-183-052040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEATHAM HENRY HOUSTON
LAKE MONTGOMERY OBION
ROBERTSON STEWART SUMNER
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 117
VALID 051830Z - 051940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/05/09
ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK...ILN...OHX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 117
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-047-059-065-069-087-101-127-151-153-165-181-185-193-199-
051940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS GALLATIN
HAMILTON HARDIN JOHNSON
LAWRENCE MASSAC POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC005-013-019-025-027-029-031-037-043-047-051-055-061-071-077-
079-083-093-101-105-115-117-123-125-129-137-143-147-155-163-173-
175-051940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK
CRAWFORD DAVIESS DEARBORN
DECATUR DUBOIS FLOYD
FRANKLIN GIBSON GREENE
HARRISON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JENNINGS KNOX LAWRENCE
MARTIN MONROE OHIO
ORANGE PERRY PIKE
POSEY RIPLEY SCOTT
SPENCER SWITZERLAND VANDERBURGH
WARRICK WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-007-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-047-055-059-061-075-083-
085-091-093-101-105-107-111-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-
185-213-219-221-223-225-227-233-051940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL
CALLOWAY CARLISLE CARROLL
CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES
GRAYSON HANCOCK HARDIN
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON LOGAN
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG
OHIO OLDHAM SIMPSON
TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE
UNION WARREN WEBSTER
$$
MOC133-051940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI
$$
TNC021-079-083-095-125-131-147-161-165-183-051940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEATHAM HENRY HOUSTON
LAKE MONTGOMERY OBION
ROBERTSON STEWART SUMNER
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 117
VALID 051735Z - 051840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/05/09
ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK...ILN...OHX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 117
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-047-059-065-069-087-101-127-151-153-165-181-185-193-199-
051840-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS GALLATIN
HAMILTON HARDIN JOHNSON
LAWRENCE MASSAC POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC005-013-019-025-027-029-031-037-043-047-051-055-061-071-077-
079-083-093-101-105-115-117-123-125-129-137-143-147-155-163-173-
175-051840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK
CRAWFORD DAVIESS DEARBORN
DECATUR DUBOIS FLOYD
FRANKLIN GIBSON GREENE
HARRISON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JENNINGS KNOX LAWRENCE
MARTIN MONROE OHIO
ORANGE PERRY PIKE
POSEY RIPLEY SCOTT
SPENCER SWITZERLAND VANDERBURGH
WARRICK WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-007-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-047-055-059-061-075-083-
085-091-093-101-105-107-111-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-
185-213-219-221-223-225-227-233-051840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL
CALLOWAY CARLISLE CARROLL
CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES
GRAYSON HANCOCK HARDIN
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON LOGAN
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG
OHIO OLDHAM SIMPSON
TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE
UNION WARREN WEBSTER
$$
MOC133-051840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI
$$
TNC021-079-083-095-125-131-147-161-165-183-051840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEATHAM HENRY HOUSTON
LAKE MONTGOMERY OBION
ROBERTSON STEWART SUMNER
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.